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Markets & Investment · updated 31 Oct 2026

Following the money into AI infrastructure

Billions are flowing into AI chips, data centres and power. See what the biggest companies have spent, what they plan, what they have signed and what is only rumoured, each figure labelled and sourced.

Not investment advice. Figures come from company filings, investor relations pages and named publishers. Forecasts are the companies' or publishers' own, shown with their date. We do not set price targets or make recommendations.

Confirmed

US$201.9bn

filed capex of Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon and Meta in Q3 2026 (purchases of property and equipment)

Source: SEC filings (EDGAR)

Confirmed

+108%

year on year against Q3 2025, our calculation from the same filings

Commentary: our calculation

Live

US$12.76/W

average cost to build in Europe, up 13% in a year, the highest of any region

Source: Turner & Townsend via Construction Briefing (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

US$63bn

financing for Broadcom AI chips leased to Anthropic (26 Oct 2026)

Source: Broadcom (opens in a new tab)

Quarterly capex as filed

Quarterly capex as filed: Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon and Meta (US$bn) Filed

Purchases of property and equipment from each company's 10-Q and 10-K. Microsoft's fiscal quarters are shown by the calendar quarter they end in. Oracle is left out because its quarters end on different dates. Tap a legend name to hide or show a company.

Source: US Securities and Exchange Commission: EDGAR XBRL company facts (10-Q and 10-K filings) (opens in a new tab). Latest filings accessed 31 Oct 2026. Each quarter links to its filing in the table above.

Show the data as a table
QuarterAlphabetMicrosoftAmazonMetaFour-company total
Q3 2024US$13.1bnUS$14.9bnUS$22.6bnUS$8.3bnUS$58.9bn
Q4 2024US$14.3bnUS$15.8bnUS$27.8bnUS$14.4bnUS$72.3bn
Q1 2025US$17.2bnUS$16.7bnUS$25.0bnUS$12.9bnUS$71.9bn
Q2 2025US$22.4bnUS$17.1bnUS$32.2bnUS$16.5bnUS$88.2bn
Q3 2025US$24.0bnUS$19.4bnUS$35.1bnUS$18.8bnUS$97.3bn
Q4 2025US$27.9bnUS$29.9bnUS$39.5bnUS$21.4bnUS$118.6bn
Q1 2026US$35.7bnUS$30.9bnUS$44.2bnUS$19.0bnUS$129.8bn
Q2 2026US$44.9bnUS$35.8bnUS$54.2bnUS$30.1bnUS$165.1bn
Q3 2026US$51.4bnUS$39.4bnUS$77.3bnUS$33.9bnUS$201.9bn

How the AI buildout is financed

Five kinds of money behind AI data centres, from cash already spent to unconfirmed reports. Each figure is sourced further down this page. They measure different things over different periods, so they are never added up.

  1. FiledSpent from company budgetsUS$201.9bnAlphabet, Microsoft, Amazon and Meta combined, Q3 2026, from filings
  2. ForecastPlanned in company guidanceUS$90bn to US$220bnRange of 2026 capex guidance per company, each with its own basis
  3. CommittedLong-term compute commitmentsUS$542bn to US$567bnAnthropic, disclosed future payments
  4. CommittedChip and lease financingUS$63bnBanks and Blackstone finance Broadcom AI chips leased to Anthropic, 26 Oct 2026
  5. Reported, not confirmedReported deals2Media reports not confirmed by the companies
How to read these figures
Filed
Money already spent and reported in a regulatory filing for a stated period.
Forecast
A company's own guidance about future spending. It can change.
Committed
Contractual future payments a company has disclosed, such as leases and purchase commitments. Not yet spent.
Reported, not confirmed
A media report, usually citing unnamed people. Not confirmed by the companies.
Operational vs Planned
Capacity running today vs capacity a company says it intends to build.
Fiscal periods
Microsoft's year ends on 30 June and Oracle's on 31 May, so their quarters are labelled with their own fiscal names. Calendar-quarter totals include only companies whose quarters end on the same dates.
Funding vs valuation
Funding is money raised. Valuation is the price investors put on the whole company. We never add one to the other.

Spent: latest quarter Filed

US$51.4bn

Alphabet, Q3 2026

US$39.4bn

Microsoft, Q1 FY2027

US$77.3bn

Amazon, Q3 2026

US$33.9bn

Meta, Q3 2026

US$28.5bn

Oracle, Q1 FY2027

Show data and filings
CompanyQuarterPurchases of property and equipmentBasis
AlphabetQ3 2026, ended 30 Sept 2026
calendar year
US$51.4bnDerived from year-to-date filing figures. Filing (opens in a new tab), accessed 31 Oct 2026
MicrosoftQ1 FY2027, ended 30 Sept 2026
fiscal year ending 30 June
US$39.4bnAs filed. Filing (opens in a new tab), accessed 31 Oct 2026
AmazonQ3 2026, ended 30 Sept 2026
calendar year
US$77.3bnAs filed. Filing (opens in a new tab), accessed 31 Oct 2026
MetaQ3 2026, ended 30 Sept 2026
calendar year
US$33.9bnDerived from year-to-date filing figures. Filing (opens in a new tab), accessed 31 Oct 2026
OracleQ1 FY2027, ended 31 Aug 2026
fiscal year ending 31 May
US$28.5bnAs filed. Filing (opens in a new tab), accessed 19 Oct 2026

Excludes equipment under finance leases, so it can be lower than capex quoted on earnings calls. Full history and charts: Market intelligence.

Analysis: the AI capex surge, power prices, building spend and Gulf money in six charts

Our commentary (not advice): the four companies filed US$201.9bn of capex in Q3 2026, 108% more than a year earlier and 3.4 times the US$58.9bn of Q3 2024. The largest single quarter in the set was Amazon in Q3 2026, at US$77.3bn. These are cash payments only. Equipment taken on finance leases is not included, which is why company capex guidance below can be higher.

2026 capex guidance, side by side (US$bn, company forecasts) Forecast

Each bar runs to the low end of the company's own guidance, and the darker tip shows the range up to the high end (or a single figure where it gave one). Bases differ: Microsoft and Meta include finance leases, Amazon guides on cash capex net of proceeds and incentives, and Oracle's fiscal year runs June to May. So the bars show each company's plan, not a like-for-like ranking.

Sources: Microsoft Investor Relations: Fiscal Year 2027 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call (opens in a new tab) (given 28 Oct 2026); CNBC: Alphabet (GOOGL) earnings Q3 2026 (opens in a new tab) (given 28 Oct 2026); Amazon.com, Inc.: Amazon.com Announces Third Quarter Results (opens in a new tab) (given 29 Oct 2026); Meta Platforms (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Meta Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (opens in a new tab) (given 21 Oct 2026); The Motley Fool (call transcript): Oracle (ORCL) Q1 2027 Earnings Call Transcript (opens in a new tab) (given 10 Sept 2026).

Show the data as a table
CompanyGuidancePeriodBasisGiven
Microsoftabout US$170bnCalendar year (stated on the 28 October 2026 call)Capital expenditure including finance leases (Microsoft records the full principal value of finance leases in capex at lease commencement)28 Oct 2026
AlphabetUS$195bn to US$205bn2026Company-wide capital expenditure28 Oct 2026
Amazonabout US$220bn2026Cash capital expenditures (Amazon's own measure, net of proceeds and incentives, so it differs from gross purchases of property and equipment)29 Oct 2026
MetaUS$135bn to US$145bn2026Capital expenditures including principal payments on finance leases21 Oct 2026
OracleUS$90bn to US$95bnFiscal 2027 (June 2026 to May 2027)Capital expenditure; Oracle also said net cash capex, net of customer prepayments, would be not more than $70 billion10 Sept 2026

Hyperscaler free cash flow: is capex now bigger than the cash coming in? Filed

Not investment advice. Filed cash-flow figures from each company's 10-Q and 10-K. Free cash flow here is our own calculation (operating cash flow less purchases of property and equipment), which may differ from the companies' own measures. No forecasts.

−US$34.8bn

Amazon: free cash flow, Q3 2026 (capex 182% of operating cash flow)

−US$9.1bn

Alphabet: free cash flow, Q3 2026 (capex 121% of operating cash flow)

−US$1.2bn

Meta: free cash flow, Q3 2026 (capex 104% of operating cash flow)

US$18.6bn

Microsoft: free cash flow, Q3 2026 (capex 68% of operating cash flow)

Operating cash flow, capex and free cash flow: Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon and Meta combined (US$bn) Filed

Sums of the four companies' filed figures per calendar quarter. Free cash flow bars below zero (red) mean the four together spent more on property and equipment than their operations brought in. Capex excludes equipment taken on finance leases. Tap a legend name to hide or show a series.

Source: US Securities and Exchange Commission: EDGAR XBRL company concept: net cash provided by operating activities (opens in a new tab) (one file per company) and the capex filings linked on our statistics page. Accessed 1 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
QuarterOperating cash flowCapexFree cash flow (our calculation)
Q3 2024US$115.6bnUS$58.9bnUS$56.7bn
Q4 2024US$135.0bnUS$72.3bnUS$62.7bn
Q1 2025US$114.2bnUS$71.9bnUS$42.3bn
Q2 2025US$128.5bnUS$88.2bnUS$40.2bn
Q3 2025US$159.0bnUS$97.3bnUS$61.7bn
Q4 2025US$178.8bnUS$118.6bnUS$60.2bn
Q1 2026US$150.7bnUS$129.8bnUS$21.0bn
Q2 2026US$171.8bnUS$165.1bnUS$6.7bn
Q3 2026US$175.5bnUS$201.9bnminus US$26.4bn
Capex as a share of operating cash flow, Q3 2025 and Q3 2026 Filed

Purchases of property and equipment divided by net cash from operating activities in the same quarter, our calculation from the filings. Above 100% (red) means the quarter's capex was larger than the cash its operations produced.

Source: US Securities and Exchange Commission: EDGAR XBRL company concept: net cash provided by operating activities (opens in a new tab). Accessed 1 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
CompanyOperating cash flow Q3 2026Capex Q3 2026Ratio Q3 2025Ratio Q3 2026Filing
AmazonUS$42.4bnUS$77.3bn99%182%SEC EDGAR (opens in a new tab)
AlphabetUS$42.3bnUS$51.4bn49%121%SEC EDGAR (opens in a new tab)
MetaUS$32.8bnUS$33.9bn63%104%SEC EDGAR (opens in a new tab)
MicrosoftUS$58.0bnUS$39.4bn43%68%SEC EDGAR (opens in a new tab)

Our commentary (not advice): in Q3 2026 the four companies brought in US$175.5bn from operations and spent US$201.9bn on property and equipment, so on our calculation their combined free cash flow was minus US$26.4bn, against US$61.7bn a year earlier. Amazon, Alphabet and Meta spent more than their operating cash flow in the quarter. Below zero, the gap has to be covered by cash on hand or new financing, which is why financing deals such as the US$63bn Broadcom chip lease vehicle below matter for suppliers' order books. For engineers and suppliers, this is cash already paid, not just guidance.

What it costs to build a data centre, 2026-27 index (US$ per watt) Consultant benchmark

Indicative construction cost per watt for a typical 60 MW design, as published in Turner & Townsend's tenth Data Centre Construction Cost Index (62 markets, over 500 projects, survey of 401 industry leaders). Europe averages US$12.76 per watt (up 13% year on year, the largest regional rise), against US$12.10 in Asia, US$12.06 in North America and US$9.93 in the Middle East.

Flag of TokyoTokyoFlag of ZurichZurichFlag of SingaporeSingaporeFlag of CopenhagenCopenhagenFlag of OsloOsloFlag of StockholmStockholmFlag of HelsinkiHelsinkiFlag of LondonLondon

Sources: Turner & Townsend: Data centre construction cost index 2026-27: cost trends (opens in a new tab) Published 20 Oct 2026, accessed 31 Oct 2026. Zurich, Singapore, London and regional averages: Construction Briefing (reporting Turner & Townsend's index): Revealed: world's costliest, most competitive places to build data centres (opens in a new tab) Published 26 Oct 2026.

Show the data as a table
MarketUS$ per watt (2026-27 index)
TokyoUS$18.28
ZurichUS$15.93
SingaporeUS$15.39
CopenhagenUS$14.41
OsloUS$13.95
StockholmUS$13.92
HelsinkiUS$13.33
LondonUS$12.95
Europe (regional average)US$12.76
Asia (regional average)US$12.10
North America (regional average)US$12.06
Middle East (regional average)US$9.93

Our commentary (not advice): four of the five most expensive European markets are Nordic capitals, the places that attract AI campuses with cheap clean power and cool air. Comparing editions as published, London went from US$12.00 to US$12.95 per watt (8%) and Tokyo from US$15.20 to US$18.28 (20%). Index methods can change between editions, so treat this as a rough trend. 2025 figures: Turner & Townsend: AI data center rush raises alarm over construction supply chain (Data center construction cost index 2025-2026 press release) (opens in a new tab). Regional detail: UK and Europe data centres.

PJM capacity auction clearing price by delivery year (US$ per MW-day) Committed

RTO-wide Base Residual Auction clearing price for unforced capacity (UCAP). From 2026/27 to 2028/29 the price cleared at a FERC-approved price cap, so the true market price would have been higher. PJM's own simulation without the cap and floor gives US$554.72 for 2028/29. Delivery years run June to May. Darker bars are years that cleared at the cap.

Source: PJM Interconnection: 2028/2029 Base Residual Auction Report (opens in a new tab) Published 14 Jul 2026, accessed 31 Oct 2026. Data centre share of the demand rise: PJM Inside Lines: PJM auction procures 134,479 MW of generation resources (2027/2028 auction) (opens in a new tab)

Show the data as a table
Delivery year (June to May)Clearing price, US$ per MW-day (UCAP)Note
2018/19US$164.77
2019/20US$100.00
2020/21US$76.53
2021/22US$140.00
2022/23US$50.00
2023/24US$34.13
2024/25US$28.92
2025/26US$269.92
2026/27US$329.17Cleared at the cap
2027/28US$333.44Cleared at the cap
2028/29US$325.00Cleared at the cap

Our commentary (not advice): PJM's capacity price, paid to keep enough generation available for the region's grid, went from US$28.92 per MW-day for 2024/25 to US$325.00 for 2028/29, about 11 times higher. PJM said nearly 5,100 MW of the 5,250 MW rise in forecast peak demand for 2027/28 came from data centres. PJM puts cleared capacity multiplied by the price at about US$16.4bn for 2028/29, though not all load pays the auction price. For data centre developers this shows up as higher power bills and more pressure to bring their own generation. Regional detail: Northern Virginia and the PJM grid.

Flag of United States US power: what capacity costs and what utilities plan to spend

Not investment advice. PJM's auction value is a grid-operator figure, AEP's plan is a company plan (not money spent), and utility pipelines use each company's own definitions. Full detail: US data centre power.

PJM capacity auction: value of cleared capacity by delivery year (US$bn) Committed

PJM's figure: cleared megawatts times the clearing price in each zone. PJM says it is not the total cost to consumers, because load hedged through self-supply or bilateral contracts does not pay the auction price. Its own simulation with no price cap or floor puts 2028/29 at US$29.7bn. Darker bars are years that cleared at the cap.

Source: PJM Interconnection: 2028/2029 Base Residual Auction Report (opens in a new tab) Published 14 Jul 2026, accessed 31 Oct 2026.

Show the data as a table
Delivery yearCleared value (US$bn)Note
2018/19US$10.9bn
2019/20US$7.0bn
2020/21US$7.0bn
2021/22US$9.3bn
2022/23US$3.9bn
2023/24US$2.2bn
2024/25US$2.2bn
2025/26US$14.7bn
2026/27US$16.1bnCleared at the cap
2027/28US$16.4bnCleared at the cap
2028/29US$16.4bnCleared at the cap
AEP five-year capital plan: previous versus new (US$bn) Forecast

AEP's own plan as reported by Utility Dive from its third-quarter 2026 call on 28 October 2026. The new plan runs through 2031 and also includes about US$8bn for renewable energy. These are planned amounts, not money spent. AEP said the rise is driven by generation and transmission needed for contracted load, mostly data centres.

Source: Utility Dive: AEP increases investment plan 30% on generation, transmission spending (opens in a new tab) Published 29 Oct 2026, accessed 31 Oct 2026.

Show the data as a table
Part of planPrevious planNew plan (Oct 2026)
Whole planUS$78bnUS$100bn
TransmissionUS$33bnUS$37bn
Gas-fired generationUS$13bnUS$20bn

Our commentary (not advice): the money now moving in US power has two sides. Buyers of capacity in PJM face a cleared value of US$16.4bn a year, about 7 times the 2024/25 level, and PJM's simulation without the cap is US$29.7bn. On the supply side, AEP raised its five-year plan from US$78bn to US$100bn, with gas-fired generation up 54% on our calculation. Utility pipelines are far larger than the load actually running today, so how much of them turns into contracts and connections is the number to watch.

Flag of United States Entergy US utility capex: who plans to spend most on the grid for data centres? Forecast

Not investment advice. These are each utility's own five-year capital plans (company forecasts of planned spending, not money spent), from SEC filings, results releases and an earnings call presentation. The windows differ (2026 to 2030 or 2027 to 2031), so the plans are shown side by side and never added up. Shares by function and yearly totals are our calculation from the filed figures. We do not rate the shares.

Key takeaways

  • Duke Energy (US$103bn) and AEP (US$100bn) now each plan to spend about US$100bn in five years. AEP's plan rose from US$78bn, as reported by Utility Dive: AEP increases investment plan 30% on generation, transmission spending (opens in a new tab).
  • Entergy puts about 67% of its US$66.5bn plan into generation, with spending peaking in 2027. AEP spends most on transmission.
  • Xcel's US$70bn base plan leaves out investment for future large load customers, so data centre contracts would come on top. Duke says signed data centre contracts could add US$5bn to US$10bn to its plan.

Data centres need power before they need cooling. When a utility signs large-load contracts it has to build generation, substations and transmission lines first, and that spending shows up in these plans years before a data hall is energised. For power buyers, developers, EPC contractors and suppliers of switchgear, transformers and cooling, the plans show where grid capacity is being built and how fast. Pipelines in gigawatts, on each utility's own definition, are on US data centre power.

Projected

US$103bn

Largest five-year plan in this group: Duke Energy, 2026 to 2030

Source: Duke Energy (SEC Form 8-K exhibit): Duke Energy reports fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results (opens in a new tab)

Projected

US$16.8bn

Entergy's planned capital investment in 2027, the peak year of its 2026 to 2030 plan (our sum of the filed lines)

Source: Entergy Corporation (SEC Form 10-Q): Entergy Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 June 2026 (opens in a new tab)

Projected

67%

Share of Entergy's 2026 to 2030 plan going to generation (our calculation)

Source: Entergy Corporation (SEC Form 10-Q): Entergy Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 June 2026 (opens in a new tab)

Projected

US$26.2bn

New debt Xcel plans to raise to fund its 2027 to 2031 base plan, next to US$8bn of equity

Source: Xcel Energy (SEC Form 8-K exhibit 99.01): Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Report (opens in a new tab)

Five-year capital plans of six US utilities serving data centre load (US$bn, company forecasts) Forecast

Each bar is the company's own plan for the years shown under its name. Windows differ, so the bars are not added up and are not a ranking of who serves the most data centres. Hover or tap a bar for the basis and date.

Sources: Duke Energy (SEC Form 8-K exhibit): Duke Energy reports fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results (opens in a new tab); American Electric Power: AEP Reports Third-Quarter 2026 Earnings, Expands Capital Plan and Increases Growth Outlook (opens in a new tab); Southern Company: Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call presentation (opens in a new tab); Xcel Energy (SEC Form 8-K exhibit 99.01): Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Report (opens in a new tab); Entergy Corporation (SEC Form 10-Q): Entergy Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 June 2026 (opens in a new tab); Dominion Energy (SEC Form 10-K): Dominion Energy annual report on Form 10-K for 2025 (opens in a new tab). Accessed 2 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
UtilityPlan (US$bn)YearsGivenBasis
Duke EnergyUS$103bn2026 to 203010 Feb 2026Five-year capital plan announced with Q4 2025 results. Duke said on its Q2 2026 call that signed data centre contracts could add US$5bn to US$10bn on top
American Electric PowerUS$100bn2027 to 203128 Oct 2026Expanded five-year plan announced with Q3 2026 results (US$100.4bn in AEP's Q3 2026 Form 10-Q)
Southern CompanyUS$81.2bn2026 to 203019 Feb 2026Projected capital investment of about US$81bn (US$81.2bn in the company view table). Excludes potential spending from the Alabama and Georgia generation requests for proposals. Q3 2026 results are due on 5 November 2026
Xcel EnergyUS$70bn2027 to 203129 Oct 2026Base capital forecast. Xcel says it excludes investments to serve future large load customers and incremental generation from current requests for proposals
EntergyUS$66.53bn2026 to 203031 Jul 2026Planned construction and capital investments in Entergy's Q2 2026 Form 10-Q, raised mainly for generation in Entergy Louisiana's March 2026 application. Entergy affirmed its financial outlooks with Q3 2026 results on 2 November 2026
Dominion EnergyUS$65bn2026 to 203023 Feb 2026Approximately US$65bn capital expenditure plan in Dominion's 2025 Form 10-K, reaffirmed with Q3 2026 results on 30 October 2026
Where the money goes: generation, transmission, distribution and other, share of each five-year plan (%) Forecast

US$bn over each plan's five years. Xcel: Renewables plus Electric Generation are grouped as generation, Natural Gas plus Other as other. Entergy: Utility Support as other. AEP gave only rounded figures for transmission (about US$37bn), generation (US$36bn) and distribution (about US$22bn), so its 'other' is the remainder of US$100bn, our calculation. Only these three utilities publish a split we can group this way.

Sources: Entergy Corporation (SEC Form 10-Q): Entergy Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 June 2026 (opens in a new tab); American Electric Power: AEP Reports Third-Quarter 2026 Earnings, Expands Capital Plan and Increases Growth Outlook (opens in a new tab); Xcel Energy (SEC Form 8-K exhibit 99.01): Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Report (opens in a new tab). Accessed 2 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
Utility and yearsGeneration (US$bn)Transmission (US$bn)Distribution (US$bn)Other (US$bn)
Entergy (2026 to 2030)44.610.010.31.7
AEP (2027 to 2031)36.037.022.05.0
Xcel Energy (2027 to 2031)30.618.613.77.2
Entergy's planned capital investment by year and function, 2026 to 2030 (US$bn, company plan) Forecast

Entergy planned construction and capital investments by year, US$m, from its Q2 2026 Form 10-Q. Generation is the largest line in every year. Entergy says the increase in this plan is mainly for generation in Entergy Louisiana's March 2026 application.

Source: Entergy Corporation (SEC Form 10-Q): Entergy Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 June 2026 (opens in a new tab) Accessed 2 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
YearGeneration (US$m)Transmission (US$m)Distribution (US$m)Utility support (US$m)
20267,7352,2502,725455
202711,7652,6852,055340
202811,0402,2951,715330
20297,6901,8651,965300
20306,3258951,830270

Our commentary (not advice): AEP raised its plan, Xcel rolled forward to a new base plan for 2027 to 2031, and Dominion and Entergy reaffirmed their outlooks with results in the last week. The plans are mostly paid for with new debt and shares as well as cash from operations (Xcel: US$35.8bn from operations, US$26.2bn of new debt and US$8bn of equity), so interest costs and rate cases decide how fast the money is spent. Dates to watch: Duke Energy and Southern Company report Q3 2026 results on 5 November 2026. Related: PJM capacity costs, utility data centre pipelines, North America.

Flag of United States Constellation EnergyTalen Energy Nuclear and gas power producers selling to data centres: Constellation, Vistra and Talen Q3 2026 results Filed

Not investment advice. Results and guidance are from each company's own release (Talen 3 November, Vistra 6 November, Constellation 9 November 2026). Guidance is the company's forecast, not ours. The three lead with different non-GAAP measures (adjusted operating earnings, Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA, Adjusted EBITDA), so we compare only each company's growth on its own measure, not the amounts.

Independent power producers own the nuclear and gas plants that AI data centre builders are signing long contracts with, because new grid connections and new turbines take years. Their quarterly results show whether those contracts and higher power prices are turning into earnings, and how much of their future output is already sold. For cooling and power suppliers, the deals below show where large new loads will sit and when.

Confirmed

88.2%

growth in Constellation's adjusted operating earnings, Q3 2026 on Q3 2025 (US$1,792m, our calculation)

Source: Constellation Energy: Constellation Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (9 November 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

US$2,378m

Vistra Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 2026, up more than 50% on a year earlier

Source: Vistra: Vistra Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (6 November 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

890 MW

of nuclear uprates across 11 Constellation units backed by a 20-year Google PPA, first uprate expected in 2028

Source: Constellation Energy: Constellation Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (9 November 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

1,920 MW

Talen's Susquehanna nuclear PPA with Amazon at full contract quantity, through 2042

Source: Talen Energy: Talen Energy Expands Nuclear Energy Relationship with Amazon (11 June 2025) (opens in a new tab)

Q3 2026 profit growth on a year earlier, each company's own lead measure (%) Filed

Tap or hover a bar for the measure, both quarters' amounts and GAAP net income. Talen's GAAP net income fell (US$138m against US$207m) because of unrealised losses on hedges and higher interest from acquisition debt, while its adjusted EBITDA rose. Growth rates are our calculation from the companies' figures.

Sources: Constellation Energy: Constellation Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (9 November 2026) (opens in a new tab) (GAAP net income checked against Constellation Energy (SEC filing): Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (filed 9 November 2026) (opens in a new tab)); Vistra: Vistra Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (6 November 2026) (opens in a new tab); Talen Energy: Talen Energy Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results, Reaffirms 2026 Guidance, and Introduces 2027 Guidance (3 November 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 9 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
CompanyLead measureQ3 2025 (US$m)Q3 2026 (US$m)Growth (%, our calculation)GAAP net income Q3 2026 (US$m)
Constellation EnergyAdjusted (non-GAAP) operating earnings952179288.21835
VistraOngoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA1581237850.41140
Talen EnergyAdjusted EBITDA36366984.3138
Adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026 and 2027 (US$bn, company forecasts) Forecast

Each bar runs from the low to the high end of the company's own range. Both companies set 2027 guidance above 2026. Constellation guides on earnings per share instead: US$12.50 to US$12.80 adjusted operating earnings per share for 2026 (midpoint raised), so it is not on this chart.

Sources: Vistra: Vistra Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (6 November 2026) (opens in a new tab); Talen Energy: Talen Energy Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results, Reaffirms 2026 Guidance, and Introduces 2027 Guidance (3 November 2026) (opens in a new tab); Constellation Energy: Constellation Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (9 November 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 9 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
Company and yearMeasureLow (US$bn)High (US$bn)Status
Vistra 2026Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA7.17.5raised midpoint, narrowed
Vistra 2027Ongoing Operations Adjusted EBITDA7.78.5initiated
Talen Energy 2026Adjusted EBITDA2.052.2reaffirmed, narrowed
Talen Energy 2027Adjusted EBITDA2.52.85introduced
How much future output is already sold: share of expected generation hedged (%) Filed

Share of expected generation volumes already hedged (sold forward) as each company states it. Vistra as of 30 October 2026; Talen as of 30 September 2026, including the nuclear production tax credit, and its first figure covers October to December 2026 only. A high share locks in today's prices; an unhedged share is what can still be sold to new buyers such as data centres, or at future market prices. Use the legend to show one company.

Sources: Vistra: Vistra Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (6 November 2026) (opens in a new tab); Talen Energy: Talen Energy Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results, Reaffirms 2026 Guidance, and Introduces 2027 Guidance (3 November 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 9 Nov 2026.

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Company2026 hedged (%)2027 hedged (%)2028 hedged (%)
Vistra1009878
Talen Energy807035
Power agreements with large buyers named in the releases (MW) Committed

Megawatts are as each company states them, but the agreements differ: some sell output from existing plants, some pay for new capacity (uprates or an expansion), one is a solar plant now operating. Tap or hover a bar for the terms. Not added together.

Sources: Constellation Energy: Constellation Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (9 November 2026) (opens in a new tab); Vistra: Vistra Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (6 November 2026) (opens in a new tab); Talen Energy: Talen Energy Expands Nuclear Energy Relationship with Amazon (11 June 2025) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 9 Nov 2026.

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SellerBuyerMWTermsDate
Constellation EnergyAmazon69020-year PPA and retail supply, Calvert Cliffs (PJM), with a 190 MW expansion expected 2030 to 20322026-09
Constellation EnergyGoogle89020-year PPA enabling about 890 MW of nuclear uprates across 11 units (first uprate expected 2028), plus a separate 15-year 2,700 MW financial load-following agreement2026-10
Constellation EnergyCustomer not named in the release27020-year unit-contingent energy, capacity and attributes from the existing nuclear fleet, from 20282026-Q3
VistraMicrosoft405Pulaski Solar Facility (Illinois) began operating under a PPA2026-Q3
VistraNew Era Energy and Digital20720-year PPA at the Odessa combined cycle gas plant (Texas)2026-Q3
Talen EnergyAmazon1920PPA from Susquehanna nuclear through 2042 at full contract quantity, ramping to full volume no later than 20322025-06

Key takeaways

  • All three grew their lead profit measure by between 50.4% and 88.2% on a year earlier, helped by acquisitions (Calpine at Constellation, Lotus at Vistra, Cornerstone at Talen) and higher power and capacity prices, as the companies explain.
  • Vistra and Talen both guide 2027 adjusted EBITDA above 2026. Constellation raised the midpoint of its 2026 earnings per share range for the second time this year.
  • Vistra has sold forward about 78% of its expected 2028 output and Talen about 35%, so Talen has more 2028 output still open to new contracts or market prices.
  • New capacity from existing nuclear sites is being paid for by named tech buyers: Google (about 890 MW of uprates) and Amazon (690 MW at Calvert Cliffs, including a 190 MW expansion due 2030 to 2032).

Our commentary (not advice): for data centre developers, these releases show that firm power from existing plants is being contracted years ahead, and that the extra megawatts come mostly from uprates, acquisitions and gas plants rather than new reactors. For suppliers of cooling, switchgear and backup power, the sites named here (Calvert Cliffs and the Susquehanna campus in PJM, Odessa in Texas) are where large co-located or nearby loads are planned. Watch Constellation's 10-Q (due 9 November), the PJM capacity auction results and state large-load rules after the midterms. Related: US utility capex, midterms risk by state, US data centre power, power, water and noise explained.

Flag of United States On-site power for data centres: Bloom Energy, Caterpillar and Cummins Q3 2026 results Filed

Not investment advice. Figures are from each company's own results release and SEC filing (Bloom Energy 22 October, Caterpillar 29 October, Cummins 5 November 2026). None of the three reports data centre revenue on its own, so we show the segment or product line each company says data centres are driving. The margins are different measures (non-GAAP operating margin, segment profit margin, segment EBITDA margin), so compare each company with its own year-earlier figure, not with the others. Growth rates are our calculation. Guidance is the companies' own.

With grid connections taking years in many markets, more AI data centres are buying their own power on site: fuel cells, gas turbines and large gas or diesel engines, as prime power, bridge power until the grid arrives, or backup. These three makers' results show how fast that demand is turning into sales, and where the bottlenecks are (factory and supplier capacity, with Cummins' largest generator sets on order into late 2028). For cooling and electrical engineers, on-site generation also changes the site: fuel supply, exhaust and noise, heat that can be reused, and space for engines or fuel cells next to the halls.

Confirmed

US$3,421m

Caterpillar Power Generation sales in Q3 2026, up 30%, mainly turbines and large engines for data centres

Source: Caterpillar (SEC filing, exhibit 99.1): Caterpillar third-quarter 2026 results release (29 October 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

75%

rise in Caterpillar's Power Generation sales to end users in Q3 2026 on a year earlier (dealer statistics)

Source: Caterpillar (SEC filing, exhibit 99.2): Caterpillar quarterly retail sales statistics, third quarter 2026 (29 October 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

25.4%

Cummins Power Systems EBITDA margin in Q3 2026, up from 22.9%, its most profitable segment

Source: Cummins: Cummins Reports Strong Third Quarter 2026 Results (5 November 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Q3 2026 sales growth in the line each company says data centres drive (%) Filed

Tap or hover a bar for the line measured, both quarters' amounts and what the company says drove it. Bloom's figure is total company revenue; Caterpillar's and Cummins' are one part of much larger groups. Growth rates are our calculation.

Sources: Bloom Energy: Bloom Energy Reports Record Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Raises Full Year 2026 Guidance (22 October 2026) (opens in a new tab); Caterpillar (SEC filing, exhibit 99.1): Caterpillar third-quarter 2026 results release (29 October 2026) (opens in a new tab); Cummins: Cummins Reports Strong Third Quarter 2026 Results (5 November 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 9 Nov 2026.

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CompanyLine measuredQ3 2025 (US$m)Q3 2026 (US$m)Growth (%, our calculation)
Bloom EnergyTotal revenue5191235.8138.1
CaterpillarPower Generation sales (Power & Energy segment)2634342129.9
CumminsPower Systems segment sales1996228914.7
Profit margin a year earlier and now, each company's own measure (%) Filed

Use the legend to show one quarter. All three widened their margins as volumes and prices rose. The measures differ, so the bars are for each company's own change, not a ranking.

Sources: Bloom Energy: Bloom Energy Reports Record Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Raises Full Year 2026 Guidance (22 October 2026) (opens in a new tab); Caterpillar (SEC filing, exhibit 99.1): Caterpillar third-quarter 2026 results release (29 October 2026) (opens in a new tab); Cummins: Cummins Reports Strong Third Quarter 2026 Results (5 November 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 9 Nov 2026.

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CompanyMeasureQ3 2025 (%)Q3 2026 (%)
Bloom EnergyNon-GAAP operating margin8.923.1
CaterpillarPower & Energy segment profit margin21.924.4
CumminsPower Systems segment EBITDA margin22.925.4
Cummins power generation sales by quarter, two segments (US$m) Filed

Sales of the power generation product line in two Cummins segments, as published in the release's segment sales tables. Distribution resells and installs products that Power Systems makes, so the two lines overlap and must not be added together. Power Systems' power generation line grew 21.6% on Q3 2025 (our calculation). On the call, Cummins said a supplier problem held back Q3 shipments in Power Systems and Distribution, which it expects mostly to recover in Q4.

Source: Cummins: Cummins Reports Strong Third Quarter 2026 Results (5 November 2026) (opens in a new tab) (segment sales data tables). Accessed 9 Nov 2026.

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QuarterPower Systems: power generation (US$m)Distribution: power generation (US$m)
Q1 202510011090
Q2 202512051200
Q3 202512801247
Q4 202512451395
Q1 202612831275
Q2 202615361378
Q3 202615571328
Caterpillar Power Generation sales to end users: change on a year earlier (%) Filed

Change in Caterpillar's Power Generation sales to end users against the same quarter a year earlier, reported in dollars from dealer reports and direct sales. This is not the same measure as Caterpillar's own sales to dealers.

Source: Caterpillar (SEC filing, exhibit 99.2): Caterpillar quarterly retail sales statistics, third quarter 2026 (29 October 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 9 Nov 2026.

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QuarterChange on a year earlier (%)
Q3 202533
Q4 202544
Q1 202648
Q2 202672
Q3 202675

What the companies expect (their forecasts, not ours)

Key takeaways

  • Bloom Energy's revenue more than doubled (US$519m to US$1,235.8m) and its adjusted EBITDA rose from US$59m to US$299.5m, but operating cash flow was negative (US$27.1m used) as inventories and contract assets grew and capex reached US$153.5m.
  • Caterpillar's Power Generation sales grew 29.9% and its sales to end users 75%, the fastest of its reported end markets, with turbines and large engines for data centres named as the cause.
  • Cummins' Power Systems grew more slowly (14.7%), with shipments held back by a supplier problem, but earned its widest margin (25.4%). On the call it said orders for its largest generator sets now run into the second half of 2028; weaker pickup truck demand, not power generation, led it to trim group guidance.
  • All three are adding factory capacity, so delivery slots, not demand, are the near-term limit for on-site power buyers.

Our commentary (not advice): for developers short of grid power, these results confirm that on-site generation is now bought at scale, but lead times are set by the makers' factories. For engineers, an on-site plant brings fuel logistics, air permits, exhaust heat and noise to the site, and fuel cells and engines reject heat differently from the grid-fed electrical plant they replace. Related: energy supply pathways, power producers, cooling and power supplier results, power, water and noise explained, generator set suppliers.

Flag of United States Bitcoin miners' AI pivot: IREN, TeraWulf and Cipher Digital results to September 2026 Filed

Not investment advice. Figures are from each company's own results release (Cipher Digital 2 November, IREN 5 November, TeraWulf 6 November 2026), for the quarter to 30 September 2026. IREN's quarter is its fiscal Q1 FY27 and it compares with the previous quarter (to 30 June 2026); TeraWulf and Cipher Digital compare with Q3 2025. Shares of revenue, revenue against interest, debt totals and cash sums are our calculation from the companies' tables. Guidance and targets are the companies' own.

Former bitcoin miners own something AI developers are short of: land with large grid connections already built or agreed. Three of them now earn most of their growth from renting that power to AI labs and hyperscalers, either as leased data halls (TeraWulf, Cipher Digital) or as GPU cloud services in their own buildings (IREN). The results show how fast the switch is happening, and how much debt is being taken on to build liquid-cooled halls before the rent arrives. For engineers, these are retrofits and new builds on mining sites: air-cooled halls converted for GPUs, and new liquid-cooled buildings (IREN names NVIDIA GB300 NVL72 systems at its Horizon 1 hall for Microsoft).

Confirmed

182%

rise in IREN's AI Cloud revenue on the previous quarter, to US$200m

Source: IREN: IREN Reports Q1 FY27 Results (5 November 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

82.6%

share of TeraWulf's Q3 2026 revenue from HPC leases, up from 14.2% a year earlier (our calculation)

Source: TeraWulf: TeraWulf Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (6 November 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

US$20.3bn

IREN revenue backlog at 30 September 2026, about two-thirds with investment-grade counterparties

Source: IREN: IREN Reports Q1 FY27 Results (5 November 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

US$9.1bn

contracted revenue at Cipher Digital's Barber Lake site after the lease was extended to 20 years

Source: Cipher Digital: Cipher Digital Provides Third Quarter 2026 Business Update (2 November 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Revenue in the quarter to 30 September 2026: AI and HPC vs bitcoin mining (US$m) Filed

Tap or hover a bar for each company's own labels. IREN's AI figure combines AI Cloud services (GPU rental) and AI Cloud leases; TeraWulf's and Cipher Digital's are data hall leases. Use the legend to show one type.

Sources: IREN: IREN Reports Q1 FY27 Results (5 November 2026) (opens in a new tab); TeraWulf: TeraWulf Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (6 November 2026) (opens in a new tab); Cipher Digital: Cipher Digital Provides Third Quarter 2026 Business Update (2 November 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 10 Nov 2026.

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CompanyAI and HPC revenue (US$m)Bitcoin mining revenue (US$m)Total revenue (US$m)
IREN20028228
TeraWulf6313.276.2
Cipher Digital5.920.826.7
Share of revenue from AI and HPC: earlier quarter and now (%) Filed

Our calculation from the companies' revenue tables. The earlier quarter is Q3 2025 for TeraWulf and Cipher Digital, and the quarter to 30 June 2026 for IREN, which reports against the previous quarter. Cipher Digital earned its first HPC rent in Q3 2026.

Sources: IREN: IREN Reports Q1 FY27 Results (5 November 2026) (opens in a new tab); TeraWulf: TeraWulf Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (6 November 2026) (opens in a new tab); Cipher Digital: Cipher Digital Provides Third Quarter 2026 Business Update (2 November 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 10 Nov 2026.

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CompanyEarlier quarterAI and HPC share then (%)AI and HPC share, quarter to 30 Sep 2026 (%)
IRENquarter to 30 June 202651.887.7
TeraWulfQ3 202514.282.6
Cipher DigitalQ3 2025021.9
AI and HPC revenue against interest cost in the quarter (US$m) Filed

Interest is charged on debt raised to build halls and buy GPUs before the rent or cloud revenue starts, so a young AI business can earn less than its interest bill. All three also earned interest income on cash held (tap a bar). Not a measure of profit.

Sources: IREN: IREN Reports Q1 FY27 Results (5 November 2026) (opens in a new tab) (finance expense); TeraWulf: TeraWulf Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (6 November 2026) (opens in a new tab); Cipher Digital: Cipher Digital Provides Third Quarter 2026 Business Update (2 November 2026) (opens in a new tab) (interest expense). Accessed 10 Nov 2026.

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CompanyAI and HPC revenue (US$m)Interest or finance expense (US$m)Interest income (US$m)Adjusted EBITDA (US$m, company measure)
IREN200735166
TeraWulf6353.628.6-12.8
Cipher Digital5.95932.7-10
Debt and cash at 30 September 2026 (US$m) Filed

Debt is our total of the borrowing lines on each balance sheet (tap a bar for what is included); warrant liabilities are left out. Cash includes restricted cash, much of which is held for specific projects or lenders. The companies define debt differently, so compare each with its own cash rather than ranking them.

Sources: balance sheets in IREN: IREN Reports Q1 FY27 Results (5 November 2026) (opens in a new tab); TeraWulf: TeraWulf Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (6 November 2026) (opens in a new tab); Cipher Digital: Cipher Digital Provides Third Quarter 2026 Business Update (2 November 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 10 Nov 2026.

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CompanyDebt (US$m, our total)What is includedCash incl. restricted (US$m)
IREN10208Debt and finance leases, current and non-current (the company's total debt line)5778
TeraWulf5233Long-term debt and its current portion, convertible notes (short and long term) and finance leases; warrant liabilities excluded2355
Cipher Digital5582Short-term and long-term borrowings and finance leases; warrant liability excluded2853

What the companies expect (their targets, not ours)

  • IREN: more than US$4bn of annualised run-rate revenue (ARR, an operating metric, not GAAP revenue) targeted to be operating by 31 January 2027, possibly extending to the end of February 2027, moved from year-end 2026 after a customer-requested design change and supplier timing; US$15bn of planned FY27 capex still to spend from 30 September 2026, of which US$9bn is covered by cash, committed GPU financing and prepayments; 0.8 GW of data centre capacity targeted by the end of 2027. Source: IREN: IREN Reports Q1 FY27 Results (5 November 2026) (opens in a new tab).
  • TeraWulf: CB-4 at Lake Mariner on track for phased delivery and rent from Q4 2026 and CB-5 from early 2027, at its guided US$8m to US$10m per critical IT MW; phased ready-for-service dates at the Justified campus (about 401 MW leased to Anthropic for 20 years, about US$19bn of contracted revenue) from late 2027 to Q2 2028; target of contracting 250 MW to 500 MW of new critical IT capacity a year. Source: TeraWulf: TeraWulf Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (6 November 2026) (opens in a new tab).
  • Cipher Digital: data halls at Black Pearl and Barber Lake coming online in phases through year-end; Barber Lake lease extended to 20 years with about US$9.1bn of contracted revenue; a development pipeline of about 5.9 GW, including 270 MW available in 2027, and gas laterals for up to 2.5 GW of possible on-site generation. Source: Cipher Digital: Cipher Digital Provides Third Quarter 2026 Business Update (2 November 2026) (opens in a new tab).

Key takeaways

  • IREN is furthest along: AI Cloud was 87.7% of revenue and its adjusted EBITDA rose from US$19m to US$66m in one quarter, but it paid about US$4.8bn for buildings and computer hardware in the quarter (our sum of two cash flow lines) and still reported a net loss of US$263m.
  • TeraWulf's HPC leases (102 MW operating, 336 MW under construction at Lake Mariner) now bring in more than its interest bill, though adjusted EBITDA was still negative (minus US$12.8m). Its reported net income of about US$710m came mostly from a non-cash change in the value of warrants.
  • Cipher Digital is earliest: first rent of US$5.9m against US$59m of interest, with most of its contracted revenue still to start as halls come online.
  • All three are counting on long leases with AI labs and hyperscalers (Anthropic, Microsoft and a leading AI lab are named) to repay construction debt, so delivery dates matter: IREN has already moved its ARR target from year-end to January 2027.

Our commentary (not advice): for cooling, electrical and construction suppliers, these companies are buying now: retrofits of air-cooled mining halls, new liquid-cooled buildings and, at Cipher Digital, gas pipelines for on-site generation. Their schedules are tied to lease start dates, so late equipment delays rent that pays interest. CoreWeave's Q3 results of 10 November answer the same question at a larger scale. Related: CoreWeave Q3 against guidance, AI debt, on-site power, direct liquid cooling, power, water and noise explained.

Flag of United States Who builds data centres? Comfort Systems USA, EMCOR and Quanta Services Q3 2026 results Filed

Not investment advice. Figures are from each company's own results release or quarterly report for the quarter to 30 September 2026 (Comfort Systems USA 22 October, EMCOR and Quanta Services 29 October 2026). Revenue and operating income are GAAP figures as filed. Growth rates, margins and the EMCOR data centre share are our calculation. Each company measures its order book in its own way, so order books are shown company by company and never ranked. Guidance is the companies' own.

Data centres are built by contractors as much as by their owners. Mechanical contractors install the chillers, cooling towers, pumps, piping and, increasingly, liquid cooling loops; electrical contractors fit the switchgear, busways and generators; grid contractors build the substations and lines that connect the site. These three listed US contractors show how much data centre work is queued up, and how fast it is turning into revenue. For buyers and suppliers, their order books are an early sign of when equipment has to arrive on site.

Confirmed

60.8%

of Comfort Systems USA's Q3 2026 revenue came from technology customers, mainly data centres (45.8% a year earlier)

Source: Comfort Systems USA (SEC filing): Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

US$8.74bn

EMCOR data centre remaining performance obligations at 30 September 2026, more than double a year earlier

Source: Facilities Dive: Emcor grows US building services revenue 4.7% (4 November 2026, on the 29 October results call) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

57.4%

rise in Quanta Services' Q3 2026 revenue on a year earlier, to US$12.0bn (our calculation)

Source: Quanta Services: Quanta Services Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (29 October 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Quarterly revenue, Q3 2025 and Q3 2026 (US$bn) Filed

GAAP revenue for the quarter to 30 September, as filed. Tap or hover a bar for what each company does and its growth. Comfort Systems USA and Quanta Services both include acquisitions made during the year.

Sources: Comfort Systems USA (SEC filing): Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (opens in a new tab); EMCOR Group: EMCOR Group, Inc. Reports Record Third Quarter 2026 Results (29 October 2026, PDF) (opens in a new tab); Quanta Services: Quanta Services Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (29 October 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 10 Nov 2026.

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CompanyQ3 2025 revenue (US$m)Q3 2026 revenue (US$m)Change (%, our calculation)
Comfort Systems USA24513766.353.7
EMCOR Group4301.55541.528.8
Quanta Services7631.412014.957.4
Operating margin, Q3 2025 and Q3 2026 (GAAP operating income as % of revenue) Filed

Our calculation from GAAP operating income and revenue; it matches the margins the companies print. EMCOR's Q3 2026 figure includes a US$34m non-cash impairment (10.5% without it, EMCOR's non-GAAP measure). A higher margin does not mean a better business: grid, mechanical and electrical work carry different costs.

Sources: Comfort Systems USA (SEC filing): Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (opens in a new tab); EMCOR Group: EMCOR Group, Inc. Reports Record Third Quarter 2026 Results (29 October 2026, PDF) (opens in a new tab); Quanta Services: Quanta Services Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (29 October 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 10 Nov 2026.

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CompanyOperating income Q3 2025 (US$m)Operating income Q3 2026 (US$m)Margin Q3 2025 (%)Margin Q3 2026 (%)
Comfort Systems USA378.9624.615.516.6
EMCOR Group405.7545.89.49.8
Quanta Services517.21026.56.88.5

EMCOR Group (EME) · Remaining performance obligations

US$18.57bn

At 30 September 2026, against US$12.61bn a year earlier (up 47.2%, as stated). Data centre (network and communications) RPOs US$8.74bn, more than double a year earlier, as EMCOR said on its results call.

What it measures: Contracted revenue still to be recognised on awarded construction and service contracts.

Source: EMCOR Group: EMCOR Group, Inc. Reports Record Third Quarter 2026 Results (29 October 2026, PDF) (opens in a new tab); Facilities Dive: Emcor grows US building services revenue 4.7% (4 November 2026, on the 29 October results call) (opens in a new tab)

Quanta Services (PWR) · Total backlog (non-GAAP)

US$63.73bn

At 30 September 2026, against US$39.17bn a year earlier (up 62.7%, our calculation). US$38.4bn expected within 12 months. Remaining performance obligations alone US$41.8bn. Electric segment backlog US$51.9bn.

What it measures: Remaining performance obligations plus estimated orders under master service agreements and short-term contracts.

Source: Quanta Services: Quanta Services Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (29 October 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Comfort Systems USA revenue by customer type, Q3 2025 and Q3 2026 (US$m) Filed

Technology, mostly data centres, made up 60.8% of revenue, against 45.8% a year earlier, while office building revenue fell. "Other" is our sum of office buildings, retail and entertainment, multi-family and residential, and other.

Source: revenue by customer type in Comfort Systems USA (SEC filing): Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (opens in a new tab). Accessed 10 Nov 2026.

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Customer typeQ3 2025 (US$m)Q3 2026 (US$m)
Technology1122.52290
Manufacturing543.1631.6
Healthcare207236.4
Education171.7178.5
Government122.3139.3
Other (office, retail, residential and other, our sum)284.4290.5

What the companies expect (their forecasts, not ours)

Key takeaways

  • Data centre work is now the largest single driver for all three: technology was 60.8% of Comfort Systems USA's revenue, and about 47% of EMCOR's remaining performance obligations are data centre work.
  • Order books grew faster than revenue at all three, so the work queued for 2027 is larger than the work done in 2026. Comfort Systems USA's backlog roughly doubled in a year (US$9.38bn to US$17.81bn).
  • Margins rose as revenue grew, which suggests contractors with skilled labour can still choose their projects. Comfort Systems USA said on its results call that labour, not demand, is what limits its growth (Investing.com: Earnings call transcript: Comfort Systems USA Q3 2026 (22 October 2026) (opens in a new tab)).
  • Comfort Systems USA's mechanical backlog (US$12.2bn) covers the cooling plant: chillers, cooling towers, air handling and piping. Late equipment holds up this work, and with it the date a hall can take IT load.

Our commentary (not advice): for cooling and power equipment suppliers, these contractors are often the buyer or the installer, so their order books show when equipment has to be delivered. For developers and consultants, a full order book at the few contractors able to build large liquid-cooled halls is a schedule risk, which is one reason modular and factory-built plant is growing. Related: cooling and power supplier results, on-site power, utility capex, data centre build cost per MW, modular infrastructure suppliers, data centre operators.

Johnson Controls Carrier vs Johnson Controls: data centre cooling orders, backlog and sales, Q3 2026 Filed

Not investment advice. Both companies' quarters run from July to September 2026: Carrier's third quarter (reported 29 October 2026) and Johnson Controls' fiscal fourth quarter (reported 27 October 2026). Sales are as reported in US$. Order growth is each company's own organic figure, rounded as stated (Carrier says "about"). Backlog is defined differently by each company, so the two are never added up or ranked. Data centre sales and year-to-date data centre orders are from Carrier's results call. Sales growth rates are our calculation. Guidance is the companies' own, not ours. We do not rate the shares.

Most large data centres reject their heat through chillers, dry coolers or cooling towers, and liquid-cooled AI halls add coolant distribution units (CDUs) between the plant and the racks. Carrier and Johnson Controls are two large listed makers of that equipment, and both now report data centres as the main driver of their orders. Their order books are an early signal for engineers and procurement teams of how long chiller and CDU lead times may run, and for investors of how much of the AI build-out is reaching the cooling plant.

Confirmed

~300%

rise in Carrier's data centre orders in Q3 2026 on a year earlier, as Carrier states it

Source: Carrier Global: Carrier Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (29 October 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

>US$8.5bn

Carrier record backlog at 30 September 2026, up 60%; excludes minimum volumes under long-term agreements

Source: Carrier Global: Carrier Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (29 October 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

58%

organic rise in Johnson Controls' Americas orders, 'supported by sustained demand for data centers'

Source: Johnson Controls (SEC filing, Exhibit 99.1): Johnson Controls Reports Q4 and FY26 Results; Initiates FY27 Guidance (27 October 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Order growth, July to September 2026 against a year earlier (organic, %, as each company states it) Filed

Blue bars are Carrier, green bars Johnson Controls (JCI), grouped by company, not ranked. Each bar is the company's own organic growth figure; Carrier rounds its figures ('about'). The bars measure different scopes (data centre orders, systems orders, regions), so read each against its own label. Tap or hover a bar for its source.

Sources: Carrier Global: Carrier Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (29 October 2026) (opens in a new tab); Johnson Controls (SEC filing, Exhibit 99.1): Johnson Controls Reports Q4 and FY26 Results; Initiates FY27 Guidance (27 October 2026) (opens in a new tab); Investing.com: Johnson Controls Q4 2026 slides: record backlog fuels growth outlook (27 October 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 11 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
Order measureGrowth on a year earlier (%)Source
Carrier: total ordersabout 35Carrier Global
Carrier: commercial HVAC ordersabout 60Carrier Global
Carrier: data centre ordersabout 300Carrier Global
Johnson Controls: total orders44Johnson Controls (SEC filing, Exhibit 99.1)
Johnson Controls: systems orders63Investing.com
Johnson Controls: Americas orders58Johnson Controls (SEC filing, Exhibit 99.1)
Johnson Controls: Americas systems orders81Investing.com
Johnson Controls: EMEA orders12Johnson Controls (SEC filing, Exhibit 99.1)
Johnson Controls: APAC orders11Johnson Controls (SEC filing, Exhibit 99.1)
Sales, July to September 2025 and 2026 (US$bn): total and Americas Filed

Carrier's total sales rose 12.3% and its Climate Solutions Americas segment 23.7%; Johnson Controls' total sales rose 10.4% and its Americas segment 14% (our calculation). Both companies sold businesses during the year, so organic growth (Carrier 15%, Johnson Controls 12%) is higher than reported growth for both.

Sources: Carrier Global: Carrier Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (29 October 2026) (opens in a new tab); Johnson Controls (SEC filing, Exhibit 99.1): Johnson Controls Reports Q4 and FY26 Results; Initiates FY27 Guidance (27 October 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 11 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
Company and scopeJul to Sep 2025 (US$m)Jul to Sep 2026 (US$m)Change (%, our calculation)
Carrier Global total5,5796,26312.3
Carrier Global Climate Solutions Americas segment2,7113,35423.7
Johnson Controls total6,4427,11310.4
Johnson Controls Americas segment4,3254,93014
Johnson Controls backlog by region at 30 September 2026 (US$bn) Filed

The Americas hold 77% of Johnson Controls' US$23.0bn backlog (our calculation) and grew fastest. Carrier gives no regional split and only a floor ("more than US$8.5bn"), which leaves out long-term agreements such as the hyperscaler deal of more than US$3bn signed in October, so its backlog is shown in its own card below, not on this chart: the two companies define backlog differently.

Sources: Johnson Controls (SEC filing, Exhibit 99.1): Johnson Controls Reports Q4 and FY26 Results; Initiates FY27 Guidance (27 October 2026) (opens in a new tab); for Carrier's backlog and agreement, Carrier Global: Carrier Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results (29 October 2026) (opens in a new tab); Investing.com: Earnings call transcript: Carrier Q3 2026 (29 October 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 11 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
RegionBacklog (US$bn)Organic change on a year earlier (%)
Americas17.854
EMEA3.118
Asia Pacific2.112
Total23.043

Johnson Controls Johnson Controls (JCI) · fiscal Q4 2026 (July to September)

US$7.11bn

Sales, against US$6.44bn a year earlier (up 10.4%, our calculation). Americas adjusted segment EBITA margin (non-GAAP): 22%, against 19.9%.

Backlog: Backlog of US$23.0bn, up 43% organically; covers Solutions and Services and was restated to include equipment-only sales for longer projects.

Source: Johnson Controls (SEC filing, Exhibit 99.1): Johnson Controls Reports Q4 and FY26 Results; Initiates FY27 Guidance (27 October 2026) (opens in a new tab)

What the companies expect (their forecasts, not ours)

Key takeaways

Our commentary (not advice): for engineers and procurement teams, order books growing faster than sales at the big chiller makers may mean longer lead times for large air-cooled chillers and CDUs in 2027, so equipment choices and slots may need fixing earlier in a project. Carrier said its new 2 MW and 3 MW air-cooled chillers had early supply chain teething problems, which it expects to ease in 2027 (Investing.com: Earnings call transcript: Carrier Q3 2026 (29 October 2026) (opens in a new tab)). For consultants, long-term agreements with minimum volumes show hyperscalers reserving cooling capacity the way they reserve power and chips. These are two of many cooling suppliers; Trane Technologies, Vertiv and others are in the supplier results tracker. Related: data centre builders, chiller suppliers, direct liquid cooling, power, water and noise explained.

Flag of European Union Flag of United Kingdom European electricity prices by country: wholesale power in data centre markets, 2019 to 2026 Official statistic

Not investment advice. These are monthly average day-ahead wholesale prices, the price generators receive on the spot market, as compiled by Ember from ENTSO-E, EMR and SEMOpx. A data centre pays more than this: network charges, taxes, levies and supplier margins come on top, and most large sites buy through fixed-price contracts or power purchase agreements (PPAs), so spot prices show the market level, not any operator's bill. Averages, changes and the cost per MW are our calculation. We make no price forecast.

Electricity is the largest running cost of a data centre, and it is bought country by country. This chart puts the wholesale price in the main European data centre markets on one scale: the FLAP-D hubs (Frankfurt, London, Amsterdam, Paris, Dublin), the Nordics and the fast-growing southern and central markets. Tap a country in the legend to add or remove it, and drag the slider under the chart to zoom into any period since January 2019.

Flag of ItalyItalyFlag of IrelandIrelandFlag of United KingdomUnited KingdomFlag of PolandPolandFlag of NetherlandsNetherlandsFlag of GermanyGermanyFlag of BelgiumBelgiumFlag of DenmarkDenmarkFlag of NorwayNorwayFlag of FranceFranceFlag of SpainSpainFlag of SwedenSwedenFlag of FinlandFinland

Key takeaways (our reading of Ember's monthly data)

  • Dearer everywhere in 2026: all 13 markets averaged more from Jan to Oct 2026 than in the same months of 2025. The biggest rise was in Norway (up 135.3%).
  • The Nordic gap holds: Finland (€58.2) and Sweden (€69.4) were the cheapest markets on average, against €114.1 in Germany and €123.7 in the UK.
  • Oct 2026 jumped: the UK averaged €167 per MWh, its highest month since Dec 2022, and Germany €170.

Flag of United KingdomConfirmed

€124

UK average wholesale price per MWh, Jan to Oct 2026, up 29.3% on the same months of 2025 (our calculation)

Source: Ember: European Wholesale Electricity Price Data (monthly, CC-BY-4.0, updated 4 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Flag of ItalyConfirmed

€154

Italy, the dearest of the 13 markets, Jan to Oct 2026 average per MWh

Source: Ember: European Wholesale Electricity Price Data (monthly, CC-BY-4.0, updated 4 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Flag of FinlandConfirmed

€58

Finland, the cheapest of the 13 markets, Jan to Oct 2026 average per MWh

Source: Ember: European Wholesale Electricity Price Data (monthly, CC-BY-4.0, updated 4 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

€1.08m

Wholesale energy for 1 MW running all year (8,760 MWh) at the UK's 2026 average, before network charges and taxes (our calculation)

Source: Ember: European Wholesale Electricity Price Data (monthly, CC-BY-4.0, updated 4 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab) and our arithmetic

Monthly wholesale electricity prices in European data centre markets, January 2019 to Oct 2026 (€ per MWh) Official statistic

Six markets are shown at first. Tap any country in the legend to add it or take it away, and drag or pinch the slider to change the period (it opens at January 2024). The 2022 peak came during the European gas crisis. Oct 2026 is the latest full month, because Ember's file only covers the first days of November.

Source: Ember: European Wholesale Electricity Price Data (monthly, CC-BY-4.0, updated 4 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab), compiled from ENTSO-E, EMR (UK) and SEMOpx (Ireland), load-weighted monthly averages. Accessed 4 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
MonthUnited Kingdom (€/MWh)Ireland (€/MWh)Germany (€/MWh)Netherlands (€/MWh)France (€/MWh)Belgium (€/MWh)Spain (€/MWh)Italy (€/MWh)Poland (€/MWh)Denmark (€/MWh)Sweden (€/MWh)Norway (€/MWh)Finland (€/MWh)
Oct 2026167.20191.45169.53171.94165.92174.30166.57230.74169.36160.5475.72124.7838.08
Sep 2026156.23183.68145.40152.18143.26156.40143.23207.28149.87141.4875.39119.9357.28
Aug 2026149.45172.36126.14127.53125.66131.67119.03180.09134.38127.5757.26114.4340.94
Jul 2026125.37155.29106.79106.8596.61110.15104.79156.77112.99102.6945.8892.2215.35
Jun 2026115.23135.69111.13107.0266.25112.3669.58132.27114.52108.6368.3767.1245.07
May 2026120.90144.9895.5694.8552.1691.7354.05120.05101.81100.2469.5084.6753.07
Apr 202695.47132.2780.5384.3939.4778.7142.60120.1382.8982.5549.0785.5149.55
Mar 2026106.55129.9299.4498.9864.0792.7541.68143.44104.7697.4951.5985.9527.71
Feb 202692.43109.6096.6996.0846.9585.0316.43114.23115.68102.89102.14103.18137.20
Jan 2026107.83126.37109.73107.14101.29107.9871.34132.58142.95107.0799.13101.08117.35
Dec 202586.19108.3193.6787.6768.6785.3477.93115.48116.5282.3045.8158.8636.14
Nov 202588.28120.72102.9993.7859.2186.2658.71117.03124.0593.1758.8464.7347.90
Oct 202578.28101.4284.4982.2957.3674.9975.63111.42104.9579.6249.9640.3048.98
Sep 202576.9291.7884.2883.7557.2474.9579.69109.10100.6283.9342.1038.0737.87
Aug 202582.5299.2877.8074.5254.2568.8968.25121.5489.5474.1042.3441.6855.57
Jul 202591.6399.9487.5587.5357.9683.0669.94123.69102.4381.6630.2338.4124.18
Jun 202579.0493.8364.1467.7040.9065.3672.81123.0481.5258.1719.8338.9518.58
May 202582.11112.1266.7464.2119.4461.0816.99114.3694.0464.1236.6841.0617.97
Apr 202591.73110.4277.4074.8342.0573.3626.65117.0985.9675.3833.0034.3547.82
Mar 2025106.14129.0794.0691.6976.8491.1753.10127.3999.2683.6540.8634.5147.50
Feb 2025127.54140.35129.35125.81122.63128.73108.26142.33133.81114.8261.4560.7547.34
Jan 2025141.29163.65114.19116.82102.44112.1796.69138.68114.2398.9550.3047.8752.82
Dec 2024109.25138.26105.65107.9498.12105.10111.25135.04109.3692.0344.5641.6438.79
Nov 2024117.07146.87111.61113.47100.55108.95104.48130.93120.7895.7953.0436.5345.35
Oct 2024100.32124.1483.9887.8062.2578.1368.49116.72103.1676.6819.7228.2640.69
Sep 202491.52113.1278.5577.6251.6166.4172.54117.0894.9970.9715.5321.1756.02
Aug 202470.75102.4281.7677.1054.5665.5391.10128.51100.1272.7812.9519.0512.53
Jul 202482.56108.2968.4065.0446.5754.5972.43112.38109.0162.3321.1927.2016.84
Jun 202484.27108.1072.8868.0637.7860.9256.26103.18105.5364.9028.9132.0136.13
May 202484.72107.5867.5365.7027.0654.4530.3294.9485.6358.5123.1429.7435.07
Apr 202462.4587.9961.9658.4228.2348.0413.7786.7680.8859.6348.4749.9648.91
Mar 202472.0786.3863.1863.3853.5461.1320.2888.8575.3661.1552.7556.1759.41
Feb 202469.5284.8461.2363.9158.3961.5339.9087.6075.9757.0544.5452.6851.59
Jan 202483.9699.6876.2378.4376.6678.6374.1199.1493.4876.1668.6669.57106.16
Dec 202380.5191.2269.0873.0468.3369.2672.12115.4580.0869.9569.3274.7176.19
Nov 2023108.76122.7490.9094.4689.0291.5363.57121.7498.4385.6368.3676.6469.77
Oct 202394.51125.0487.1090.1984.2086.3489.84134.2095.3858.6626.1130.1237.70
Sep 202396.07111.90100.8198.7088.7194.35103.36115.69109.8385.0322.1017.3532.75
Aug 202395.75108.9594.3591.4290.9692.0596.09111.93107.0686.1830.7730.1666.42
Jul 202381.69141.9978.1271.6977.6275.2990.46112.08115.7364.7432.7236.4732.93
Jun 202398.14116.9093.9092.0491.2893.1793.05105.39118.3092.2252.3052.1943.43
May 202392.60105.6682.0377.8877.4880.1174.17105.65105.6770.8437.3851.4226.52
Apr 2023116.08126.30102.1498.71106.47105.6273.82134.90122.0391.4360.9679.4560.54
Mar 2023129.99147.19101.23104.44111.82109.4889.58136.31120.4395.2769.3282.5174.13
Feb 2023153.37156.59127.81134.91148.78143.51133.49161.03136.85111.3771.6980.7880.04
Jan 2023149.67163.69117.22126.13132.33130.8769.73174.44132.59107.5680.9897.3278.87
Dec 2022287.79279.75250.71258.49270.49268.8896.75294.82173.55248.97235.20217.45245.60
Nov 2022159.80137.04173.20179.48192.16180.70115.57224.79170.95141.90119.3788.73195.62
Oct 2022136.05133.04155.30155.51178.89157.51127.22211.16134.12137.0869.0489.01113.21
Sep 2022309.95292.98352.81340.89393.39345.73140.92429.25175.50336.73189.94236.96215.46
Aug 2022438.03383.32463.59447.25493.08448.12154.99543.55268.88454.43189.00245.94261.53
Jul 2022286.35267.21317.03306.86400.95321.55142.68441.77220.08259.5474.92129.21183.92
Jun 2022187.08180.39218.17210.70248.73219.29169.43271.67185.27214.16114.26105.17140.33
May 2022148.13141.41177.04181.40197.46176.67187.16230.04140.64168.5195.76107.34132.35
Apr 2022211.27222.54168.78195.31232.92186.72191.52245.79124.27159.6683.77127.8079.42
Mar 2022297.45292.69252.07261.03295.17265.51283.19307.97141.33232.73108.74131.9286.63
Feb 2022193.98172.98129.86168.29185.65162.64200.31211.76116.81108.2065.0884.5080.85
Jan 2022219.28198.70167.81189.24211.85191.56201.80224.49143.99115.6488.36101.60106.83
Dec 2021288.48253.74225.08237.80274.51245.43238.97281.01179.38189.95156.77136.54193.27
Nov 2021219.34201.38176.28186.30217.27202.17193.72225.99117.80139.9680.7684.0586.05
Oct 2021208.46213.26142.22163.81172.58165.37199.67217.66103.23112.9461.3872.3464.85
Sep 2021220.54195.23128.98136.39135.30136.15156.40158.74102.24124.7589.2387.0289.30
Aug 2021125.34131.0482.1886.6677.4079.55106.08112.5782.4083.4967.3264.5468.14
Jul 2021108.97143.3381.5082.5878.3177.3792.37102.7082.3480.4658.4349.3278.79
Jun 202191.0493.5673.8776.5173.5574.4983.3184.8476.2373.7344.6042.7556.18
May 202186.0498.3553.4956.1255.2555.6167.1869.9565.6554.6242.9143.8045.90
Apr 202176.3683.9354.7353.8763.1557.0465.0669.0559.3647.9933.6738.6836.83
Mar 202164.8470.3446.6848.8950.2346.6345.4860.4159.6345.7335.9036.0238.32
Feb 202162.0956.9948.9849.2349.0348.5728.5456.5658.8950.0551.6548.2157.10
Jan 202189.4478.4853.3153.6259.4757.4460.1060.7054.7950.4448.1246.0351.25
Dec 202060.6958.5343.7548.2848.4247.4041.9754.0756.6536.4029.7318.1239.27
Nov 202049.1244.6338.2241.0540.1439.9341.9648.7553.5528.2622.404.8527.64
Oct 202047.0847.3834.0537.1137.8839.3836.5543.5252.1926.1622.5812.3931.08
Sep 202048.1444.0743.6542.6047.1944.2341.9548.7753.7438.8433.199.2437.78
Aug 202040.3036.5234.4034.0736.7635.5536.2140.2752.2936.9131.724.6140.57
Jul 202032.5430.2530.3729.3533.4229.8734.6237.9948.9825.1711.401.8520.27
Jun 202029.4925.5926.0026.2625.8525.5930.6328.0648.3927.5521.192.0528.25
May 202025.0823.7817.7517.6714.8715.4121.3321.7938.5517.1812.377.7319.46
Apr 202027.6028.1617.5118.9713.4114.6817.6124.7933.3015.629.084.6919.81
Mar 202035.0633.4822.4724.7523.8324.0227.7431.9736.9418.9113.318.3520.35
Feb 202036.4433.2021.6929.5526.2528.3635.8639.2640.8718.0717.6812.8324.44
Jan 202042.0142.6634.6137.0737.9737.8541.0847.4444.1425.8824.1224.2327.14
Dec 201946.1345.5231.9337.4036.4736.3633.8143.3344.5534.5535.9837.1938.40
Nov 201951.8151.8240.9642.7145.9544.4142.1948.1750.3942.1141.7941.8945.71
Oct 201941.8640.6437.2237.9638.6237.6247.1552.8353.1239.5338.2436.6446.36
Sep 201940.6143.8635.3636.5835.5533.5842.1351.1655.9936.1534.9531.1248.76
Aug 201941.6746.4136.6537.4133.3633.6944.9549.5961.6038.4937.2535.3248.74
Jul 201945.7349.3039.4939.6237.7037.7651.4652.3256.5238.9235.5034.8045.96
Jun 201944.5343.4232.8736.2329.2427.4947.1648.5858.3333.1525.0628.5930.73
May 201947.5649.2238.0940.1937.2038.0048.3950.6755.4037.7035.0639.1539.86
Apr 201949.9049.4437.5440.8438.1237.9250.4053.3953.1939.4139.6641.3441.37
Mar 201951.6149.6730.7040.5033.8537.6148.8452.8646.5634.3939.3841.6939.98
Feb 201957.3855.0243.0146.8546.6147.5754.0257.6449.5043.2545.5645.9746.75
Jan 201968.5879.4249.9558.3061.1560.4861.9667.6456.1350.8854.3454.4855.81
Average wholesale price, Jan to Oct 2025 against Jan to Oct 2026, by country (€ per MWh) Official statistic

Each bar is the simple average of the ten monthly values (our calculation), so both years cover the same months. Hover or tap a country for the change and for what 1 MW of constant load would pay for wholesale energy in a year at that price.

Source: Ember: European Wholesale Electricity Price Data (monthly, CC-BY-4.0, updated 4 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab). Averages and changes are our calculation. Accessed 4 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
CountryJan to Oct 2025 (€/MWh)Jan to Oct 2026 (€/MWh)Change1 MW all year at the 2026 average (€m, wholesale only)
Italy122.9153.8+25.1%1.35
Ireland114.2148.2+29.8%1.30
United Kingdom95.7123.7+29.3%1.08
Poland100.6122.9+22.2%1.08
Netherlands86.9114.7+32%1.00
Germany88.0114.1+29.7%1.00
Belgium83.4114.1+36.8%1.00
Denmark81.4113.1+38.9%0.99
Norway41.697.9+135.3%0.86
France63.190.2+42.9%0.79
Spain66.882.9+24.1%0.73
Sweden40.769.4+70.5%0.61
Finland39.958.2+45.9%0.51

How the 1 MW figure is worked out: 1 MW of load running every hour of the year uses 8,760 MWh. At the UK's Jan to Oct 2026 average of €123.7 per MWh that is about €1.08m of wholesale energy. A whole site uses more than its IT load, because cooling and power conversion add to it (the PUE), so multiply by the site's PUE for facility energy. See what 1 GW of IT load needs from the grid for the PUE steps.

Our commentary (not advice): the chart shows the market price a data centre's supplier buys at, not the operator's bill, so a rise like 2026's reaches operators when fixed-price contracts are renewed or through the unhedged part of their supply. The spread between markets is the steadier signal: from 2020 to 2026 (January to Oct for 2026), Sweden's and Finland's yearly averages were below Germany's and the UK's in every year of Ember's data, while in 2019 Germany was slightly cheaper than both (our calculation). Related: Europe and UK data centres, US capacity prices in PJM, compare markets.

US spending on data centre buildings, monthly, at an annual rate (US$bn) Official statistic

Value of private construction put in place for data centre buildings, seasonally adjusted annual rate. Census counts the building only, not servers, racks or IT equipment, and puts power plants and grid lines in a separate category. The latest month is preliminary and will be revised in the next two releases.

Source: US Census Bureau: Construction Spending: private construction time series, seasonally adjusted annual rate (opens in a new tab) Published 1 Oct 2026, accessed 31 Oct 2026.

Show the data as a table
MonthUS$bn a yearStatus
Aug 2026US$85.0bnPreliminary
Jul 2026US$79.0bnPublished
Jun 2026US$72.7bnPublished
May 2026US$65.7bnPublished
Apr 2026US$61.9bnPublished
Mar 2026US$58.1bnPublished
Feb 2026US$57.4bnPublished
Jan 2026US$56.2bnPublished
Dec 2025US$55.5bnPublished
Nov 2025US$53.0bnPublished
Oct 2025US$54.3bnPublished
Sep 2025US$50.7bnPublished

Our commentary (not advice): spending on US data centre buildings ran at US$85.0bn a year in Aug 2026, 73% more than in Aug 2025 and about 5 times the rate of Jan 2023. This is only the shell, cooling and electrical fit-out counted by Census, not the chips and servers that make up most hyperscaler capex above. Full regional picture: US and North America data centres.

Broadcom, Anthropic and four lenders · 26 Oct 2026 · Committed

US$63 billion to finance Broadcom AI chips leased to Anthropic

Bank of America, Citi and Morgan Stanley arrange the first-lien financing and Blackstone provides the committed second-lien portion, through a new special purpose vehicle that buys Broadcom XPU accelerators and networking and leases them to Anthropic. Broadcom gives residual value support equal to the first-lien portion. Deliveries are expected from calendar 2027.

Source: Broadcom Inc. (press release): Bank of America, Blackstone, Citi and Morgan Stanley Announce Landmark $63 Billion Financing Structure to Enable AI Compute Capacity in Partnership with Broadcom (opens in a new tab). How the buildout is financed matters: here the chips sit in a separate vehicle and are leased, rather than bought by the AI company.

AWS: sales, profit and margin by quarter, and the Gulf outages

Not investment advice. Amazon's filed AWS segment results, one company forecast and one analyst estimate, each with its date. We make no forecasts of our own.

AWS quarterly sales and operating income, Q2 2025 to Q3 2026 (US$bn) Filed

Amazon's AWS segment figures from its Q3 2026 results (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1, filed 29 October 2026). Sales and operating income are both in US dollars, so they share one axis. Amazon does not report results by AWS region, so the UAE and Bahrain regions cannot be seen in these numbers. The strikes came in Q1 2026.

Source: Amazon.com, Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Amazon.com Announces Third Quarter Results, supplemental financial information (opens in a new tab) Published 29 Oct 2026, accessed 31 Oct 2026.

Show the data as a table
QuarterAWS salesAWS operating income
Q2 2025US$30.9bnUS$10.2bn
Q3 2025US$33.0bnUS$11.4bn
Q4 2025US$35.6bnUS$12.5bn
Q1 2026US$37.6bnUS$14.2bn
Q2 2026US$42.2bnUS$16.6bn
Q3 2026US$46.0bnUS$17.8bn
AWS operating margin by quarter (% of AWS sales) Filed

Operating income as a share of AWS sales, as reported by Amazon. A percentage, so it has its own chart rather than sharing the US$ axis.

Source: Amazon.com, Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Amazon.com Announces Third Quarter Results, supplemental financial information (opens in a new tab) Accessed 31 Oct 2026.

Show the data as a table
QuarterOperating margin
Q2 202532.9%
Q3 202534.6%
Q4 202535.0%
Q1 202637.7%
Q2 202639.4%
Q3 202638.7%
Published outlook and estimate, side by side (not ours)
WhoWhat they saidTypeDateSource
Amazon (Andy Jassy, CEO)Projected AWS revenue growth of over 40% in both 2027 and 2028Company forecast29 Oct 2026Amazon investor relations: Amazon.com Announces Third Quarter Results (opens in a new tab)
Synergy Research GroupAmazon held 26% of worldwide cloud infrastructure services spending in Q3 2026, ahead of Microsoft (19%) and Google (16%)Analyst estimate (not a forecast)29 Oct 2026Synergy Research Group: Cloud Market Growth Rate Surges to Well Over 50% per Year; Q3 Revenues Reach $168 Billion (opens in a new tab)

Our commentary (not advice): AWS sales rose from US$30.9bn in Q2 2025 to US$46.0bn in Q3 2026, 49% higher on our calculation, and the margin moved from 32.9% to 38.7%. The March 2026 drone strikes left two of the three UAE zones impaired and later the Bahrain region unavailable, and AWS suspended relevant billing in the UAE region, but Amazon does not report results by region, so the effect cannot be seen in these totals. For investors the lesson is physical risk to assets, not this quarter's numbers. Full explainer: the AWS UAE and Bahrain attacks.

AWS vs Azure vs Google Cloud: revenue, growth and margins, and is AI capex paying off? Filed

Not investment advice. Revenue, operating income and growth rates are from each company's quarterly results filed with the SEC (Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1). Margins, differences and ratios are our calculation. We make no forecasts of our own and do not rate the shares.

The three biggest cloud companies are also the biggest buyers of data centre capacity, chips, cooling and power. Their cloud sales show whether the money they spend on new data centres is coming back as revenue. In the July to September 2026 quarter all three grew faster than a year earlier, and Google Cloud more than doubled.

Key takeaways

  • Biggest: AWS, with US$46.0bn of sales in Q3 2026.
  • Fastest: Google Cloud, up 103% year on year, against 48% for Azure and 39% for AWS (as reported).
  • Payback check: cloud revenue is rising fast, but capex is rising faster. Each parent company's Q3 2026 capex was Amazon 120%, Microsoft 103%, Alphabet 114% higher than a year earlier (our calculation), and larger than its cloud revenue in the quarter.

Flag of United StatesAWSFlag of United StatesMicrosoft AzureFlag of United StatesGoogle Cloud

Confirmed

US$33.2bn

Microsoft Azure revenue in Q3 2026, up 48%, now shown in dollars under Microsoft's new segments

Source: Microsoft Corp. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Microsoft Announces First Quarter Results (FY27, quarter to 30 September 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

US$30.7bn

Google Cloud revenue in Q3 2026, up 103%, its fastest growth on record

Source: Alphabet Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Alphabet Announces Third Quarter 2026 Results (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

US$677bn

Microsoft commercial remaining performance obligation (signed contracts not yet earned), up 73%

Source: Microsoft Corp. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Microsoft Announces First Quarter Results (FY27, quarter to 30 September 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Cloud revenue, Q3 2025 against Q3 2026: AWS vs Azure vs Google Cloud (US$bn) Filed

All three are calendar July to September quarters (Microsoft's fiscal Q1 FY27). AWS and Google Cloud are reported segments. Azure is the revenue line Microsoft began reporting in October 2026 under its new segments, with Q3 2025 recast by Microsoft, so it is not the same as the older Intelligent Cloud segment. Hover or tap a bar for growth and the definition.

Sources: Amazon.com, Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Amazon.com Announces Third Quarter Results (Q3 2026) (opens in a new tab); Microsoft Corp. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Microsoft Announces First Quarter Results (FY27, quarter to 30 September 2026) (opens in a new tab); Alphabet Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Alphabet Announces Third Quarter 2026 Results (opens in a new tab); Azure definition: Microsoft Corp. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): FY27 Segments and Investor Metrics (opens in a new tab). Accessed 2 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
CloudQ3 2025Q3 2026Change (our calculation)Basis
AWSUS$33.0bnUS$46.0bn+US$13.0bn (39%)Reported segment revenue
Microsoft AzureUS$22.4bnUS$33.2bn+US$10.8bn (48%)Azure revenue as defined from FY27 (more purely Microsoft's consumption-based platform and infrastructure business), Q3 2025 recast by Microsoft
Google CloudUS$15.2bnUS$30.7bn+US$15.6bn (103%)Reported segment revenue
Year-on-year cloud revenue growth by quarter, as reported (%) Filed

Growth as each company stated it in its results release. Q3 2025 to Q2 2026: 'Azure and other cloud services revenue' growth as reported then. Q3 2026: 'Azure revenue' growth under the FY27 definition. Not strictly the same measure. Click a name in the legend to hide or show a line.

Sources: Amazon.com, Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Amazon.com Announces Third Quarter Results (Q3 2025) (opens in a new tab); Amazon.com, Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Amazon.com Announces Fourth Quarter Results (Q4 2025) (opens in a new tab); Amazon.com, Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Amazon.com Announces First Quarter Results (Q1 2026) (opens in a new tab); Amazon.com, Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Amazon.com Announces Second Quarter Results (Q2 2026) (opens in a new tab); Amazon.com, Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Amazon.com Announces Third Quarter Results (Q3 2026) (opens in a new tab); Microsoft Corp. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Microsoft first quarter FY26 results (quarter to 30 September 2025) (opens in a new tab); Microsoft Corp. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Microsoft Cloud and AI Strength Drives Second Quarter Results (FY26) (opens in a new tab); Microsoft Corp. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Microsoft Cloud and AI Strength Fuels Third Quarter Results (FY26) (opens in a new tab); Microsoft Corp. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Microsoft Cloud and AI Strength Fuels Fourth Quarter Results (FY26) (opens in a new tab); Microsoft Corp. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Microsoft Announces First Quarter Results (FY27, quarter to 30 September 2026) (opens in a new tab); Alphabet Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Alphabet Announces Third Quarter 2025 Results (opens in a new tab); Alphabet Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Alphabet Announces Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Results (opens in a new tab); Alphabet Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Alphabet Announces First Quarter 2026 Results (opens in a new tab); Alphabet Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Alphabet Announces Second Quarter 2026 Results (opens in a new tab); Alphabet Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Alphabet Announces Third Quarter 2026 Results (opens in a new tab). Accessed 2 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
QuarterAWSMicrosoft AzureGoogle Cloud
Q3 202520%40% (Azure and other cloud services)34%
Q4 202524%39% (Azure and other cloud services)48%
Q1 202628%40% (Azure and other cloud services)63%
Q2 202637%43% (Azure and other cloud services)82%
Q3 202639%48%103%
Segment operating margin: AWS vs Google Cloud by quarter (% of segment revenue) Filed

Operating income divided by segment revenue, our calculation from the filed figures. Google Cloud's margin rose from 20.7% to 36.2% in five quarters, close to AWS at 38.7%. Microsoft does not report Azure operating income, so it has no line here.

Sources: Amazon.com, Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Amazon.com Announces Third Quarter Results (Q3 2026) (opens in a new tab); Alphabet Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Alphabet Announces Second Quarter 2026 Results (opens in a new tab); Alphabet Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Alphabet Announces Third Quarter 2026 Results (opens in a new tab); Alphabet Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Alphabet Announces Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Results (opens in a new tab); Alphabet Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Alphabet Announces First Quarter 2026 Results (opens in a new tab). Accessed 2 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
QuarterAWS revenueAWS operating incomeAWS marginGoogle Cloud revenueGoogle Cloud operating incomeGoogle Cloud margin
Q2 2025US$30.9bnUS$10.2bn32.9%US$13.6bnUS$2.8bn20.7%
Q3 2025US$33.0bnUS$11.4bn34.6%US$15.2bnUS$3.6bn23.7%
Q4 2025US$35.6bnUS$12.5bn35%US$17.7bnUS$5.3bn30.1%
Q1 2026US$37.6bnUS$14.2bn37.7%US$20.0bnUS$6.6bn32.9%
Q2 2026US$42.2bnUS$16.6bn39.4%US$24.8bnUS$8.8bn35.6%
Q3 2026US$46.0bnUS$17.8bn38.7%US$30.7bnUS$11.1bn36.2%
Is AI capex paying off? Cloud revenue against company-wide capex in Q3 2026 (US$bn) Filed

Capex is each parent company's purchases of property and equipment in the quarter, from its 10-Q, and pays for retail, advertising and other businesses too, so this is a rough yardstick, not a return on investment. Data centres take years to fill, so today's capex earns revenue over many years. Hover or tap a bar for the ratio.

Sources: cloud revenue as above; capex: US Securities and Exchange Commission: EDGAR XBRL company facts (10-Q and 10-K filings) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 2 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
CompanyCloud revenue Q3 2026Company-wide capex Q3 2026Cloud revenue as % of capex (our calculation)Cloud revenue added in a year (our calculation)
Amazon (AWS)US$46.0bnUS$77.3bn60%US$13.0bn
Microsoft (Microsoft Azure)US$33.2bnUS$39.4bn84%US$10.8bn
Alphabet (Google Cloud)US$30.7bnUS$51.4bn60%US$15.6bn
Signed contracts not yet earned, as each company reported them (definitions differ, so never added up or ranked)
CompanyFigureWhat it measuresSource
Google CloudUS$155bnbacklog at the end of Q3 2025Alphabet Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Alphabet Announces Third Quarter 2025 Results (opens in a new tab)
Google Cloudover US$460bnbacklog at the end of Q1 2026, which Alphabet said nearly doubled quarter on quarterAlphabet Inc. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Alphabet Announces First Quarter 2026 Results (opens in a new tab)
MicrosoftUS$677bncommercial remaining performance obligation at 30 September 2026, up 73% (all commercial contracts, not only Azure)Microsoft Corp. (SEC Form 8-K, exhibit 99.1): Microsoft Announces First Quarter Results (FY27, quarter to 30 September 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Our commentary (not advice): between Q3 2025 and Q3 2026 the three clouds together added US$39.3bn of quarterly revenue on our calculation, while their parent companies spent US$168.0bn on property and equipment in Q3 2026 alone. Revenue is growing at its fastest pace in years and Google Cloud's margin has caught up with AWS, so the new capacity is being sold. But capex is still growing faster than cloud revenue, which is why free cash flow has turned negative (see hyperscaler free cash flow). For engineers and suppliers, the backlog figures matter most: they are contracts that still need data centres, power and cooling to be built. Related: AWS results, hyperscalers list, chip makers.

Picks and shovels: Q3 2026 results of listed power and cooling suppliers Filed

Hyperscaler capex ends up as orders for switchgear, UPS, chillers and grid equipment. These seven listed suppliers reported their July to September 2026 quarter between 16 October and 3 November (nVent and ABB added on 1 November 2026, Eaton on 3 November, as part of a quarterly supplier results tracker). All grew sales by double digits, and their order books grew faster than their sales.

>100%

Vertiv: organic orders growth in Q3 2026, year on year

Source: Vertiv (opens in a new tab)

US$42.2bn

GE Vernova: Electrification equipment backlog, up 60% in a year (includes US$5bn from Prolec GE)

Source: GE Vernova (opens in a new tab)

Trane Technologies

US$12.5bn

Trane Technologies: backlog, up 73%; Americas Commercial HVAC backlog up about 80%

Source: Trane Technologies (opens in a new tab)

Triple-digit

Schneider Electric: growth in data centre demand in Q3 2026, the company says

Source: Investing.com (opens in a new tab)

US$12.1bn

ABB: record orders in Q3 2026, up 40% (40% comparable), with data centre orders up by triple digits; book-to-bill 1.24

Source: ABB (opens in a new tab)

nVent

>70%

nVent: organic sales growth in its infrastructure vertical in Q3 2026, mainly data centres; record orders, no order total given

Source: The Motley Fool (opens in a new tab)

+46%

Eaton: Electrical backlog at the end of September 2026, year on year (Electrical Global up 121%, including Boyd Thermal); twelve-month rolling organic orders up 39% in Electrical Americas and 51% in Electrical Global

Source: Eaton (Business Wire) (opens in a new tab)

Q3 2026 revenue growth: listed power and cooling suppliers (%, year on year) Filed

Reported growth includes acquisitions and currency. Organic growth strips them out, as defined by each company. GE Vernova is its Electrification segment only (grid and switchgear), and its reported growth includes the Prolec GE acquisition. Schneider Electric is the whole group in euros. ABB is the whole group, and its organic figure is ABB's comparable growth. nVent is the whole group. Eaton is the whole group, including its Aerospace and Mobility segments (see the Eaton segment chart below). Percentages only, so different currencies and sizes can share one chart.

Flag of United StatesVertivFlag of United StatesGE Vernova ElectrificationFlag of United KingdomnVentFlag of IrelandEatonFlag of IrelandTrane TechnologiesFlag of FranceSchneider ElectricFlag of SwitzerlandABB

Sources: Vertiv: Vertiv Reports Strong Third Quarter 2026 (press release, 28 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab); GE Vernova: Third quarter 2026 press release (SEC filing, 28 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab); nVent: nVent Delivers Record Sales and Orders in Q3 2026 (press release, SEC filing, 30 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab); Eaton (Business Wire): Eaton Reports Record Third Quarter 2026 Results, with Strong Organic Growth, Accelerating Record Orders and Backlog; Raises Organic Growth Guidance (press release, 3 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab); Trane Technologies: Trane Technologies Reports Strong Third-Quarter Results (29 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab); Investing.com: Schneider Electric raises 2026 target as Q3 sales beat forecasts on data centres (16 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab); ABB: Q3 2026 results (group press release, 20 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 3 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
CompanyScopeReported growthOrganic growthResults date
VertivGroup61.2%55%28 Oct 2026
GE Vernova ElectrificationElectrification segment51%16%28 Oct 2026
nVentGroup43.7%43.9%30 Oct 2026
EatonGroup28%19%3 Nov 2026
Trane TechnologiesGroup18%16%29 Oct 2026
Schneider ElectricGroup17.9%16.9%16 Oct 2026
ABBGroup14%14%20 Oct 2026
Company forecasts for 2026, side by side (the companies' own guidance, not ours) Forecast
CompanyMeasureForecastGivenSource
VertivFull-year 2026 net salesUS$14.45bn to US$14.85bn (organic growth 37% to 39%)28 Oct 2026Vertiv: Vertiv Reports Strong Third Quarter 2026 (press release, 28 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab)
GE VernovaFull-year 2026 Electrification revenueUS$14.5bn to US$15.0bn (includes about US$3.1bn from Prolec GE)28 Oct 2026GE Vernova: Third quarter 2026 press release (SEC filing, 28 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab)
Trane TechnologiesFull-year 2026 revenue growthAbout 13.5% reported, about 11% organic29 Oct 2026Trane Technologies: Trane Technologies Reports Strong Third-Quarter Results (29 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab)
nVentFull-year 2026 sales growth48% to 49% reported, 38% to 39% organic (raised from 37% to 39% and 32% to 34%)30 Oct 2026nVent: nVent Delivers Record Sales and Orders in Q3 2026 (press release, SEC filing, 30 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab)
ABBFull-year 2026 comparable revenue growth"Low teens" range, positive book-to-bill, Operational EBITA margin up at least 270 basis points20 Oct 2026ABB: Q3 2026 results (group press release, 20 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab)
EatonFull-year 2026 organic growth13% to 15%, segment margins 24.1% to 24.5%, adjusted EPS US$13.70 to US$13.803 Nov 2026Eaton (Business Wire): Eaton Reports Record Third Quarter 2026 Results, with Strong Organic Growth, Accelerating Record Orders and Backlog; Raises Organic Growth Guidance (press release, 3 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Eaton earnings, Q3 2026: where the growth came from

Eaton reported on 3 November 2026: record sales of US$8.9bn, up 28% (19% organic, 8% from acquisitions, 1% currency), record segment margins of 25.3% and backlog up 46% in its Electrical businesses. The chart splits sales by segment, a year apart. Hover or tap a bar for the margin, organic growth, orders and backlog Eaton gives for that segment.

Eaton Q3 2026 sales by segment, a year apart (US$bn) Filed

Sales and segment operating profit as filed in Eaton's Q3 2026 release (US$m, converted to US$bn here). Margins and organic growth are as Eaton states them. Electrical Global's reported growth includes Boyd Thermal, bought on 12 March 2026 (31 percentage points of the 58%). Backlog and orders are Eaton's year-on-year changes; it gives no dollar backlog total in the release and no backlog for Mobility, which it plans to separate.

Source: Eaton (Business Wire): Eaton Reports Record Third Quarter 2026 Results, with Strong Organic Growth, Accelerating Record Orders and Backlog; Raises Organic Growth Guidance (press release, 3 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 3 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
SegmentQ3 2025 sales (US$m)Q3 2026 sales (US$m)Operating profit Q3 2026 (US$m)Operating margin (Eaton)Organic growth (Eaton)Twelve-month organic ordersBacklog, year on year
Electrical Americas3,4104,1721,24329.8%22%+39%+33%
Electrical Global1,7242,72757621.1%27%+51%+121%
Aerospace1,0791,19629824.9%6%+20%+33%
Mobility77585214617.2%9%not givennot given

Our commentary (not advice): the gap between the two bars matters. Vertiv's 61% reported growth was 55% organic, so most of it came from existing businesses. GE Vernova Electrification's 51% was 16% organic, so most of the jump came from buying Prolec GE. Schneider Electric and Trane grew about 16% to 17% organically. nVent, which describes itself as a maker of electrical connection and protection products, grew 43.9% organically, about the same as its reported growth, and says its infrastructure sales, mainly data centres, grew by more than 70%. ABB grew 14% on a comparable basis, but its orders rose 40%, so its order book is growing faster than its sales. Eaton grew 28%, of which 19% was organic, and its Electrical Global segment's 121% backlog growth includes Boyd Thermal, the liquid cooling maker it bought in March 2026, so part of that jump is acquired, not organic. Order books (above) are the better guide to 2027, and the companies' own forecasts are in the table. Related: hyperscaler capex, supplier news.

Data centre landlords: Equinix vs Digital Realty, Q3 2026 results and 2026 guidance Filed

Not investment advice. Results are from each company's SEC filings. The 2026 guidance lines are the companies' own forecasts, shown with the date each was given, not ours. Bookings and backlog are defined differently by each company, so they sit side by side and are never added up or ranked.

Quarterly revenue as filed: Equinix and Digital Realty (US$bn) Filed

GAAP revenue for each quarter. Digital Realty's Q2 2026 figure includes US$201m of one-off promote income, so its Q3 dip is not a fall in rent. Hover or tap a quarter for the note.

Sources: Equinix via SEC EDGAR: Equinix Reports Third-Quarter Results and Raises 2026 Guidance (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 28 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab); Equinix via SEC EDGAR: Equinix Reports First-Quarter Results and Raises Full-Year Financial Outlook (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 29 Apr 2026) (opens in a new tab); Equinix via SEC EDGAR: Equinix Provides Robust 2026 Outlook Driven by Strong Fourth-Quarter Results (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 11 Feb 2026) (opens in a new tab); Digital Realty via SEC EDGAR: Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Financial Supplement (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 29 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 1 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
QuarterEquinix (US$m)Digital Realty (US$m)
Q3 20252,3161,577.2
Q4 20252,4201,634.7
Q1 20262,4441,635.2
Q2 20262,6251,924
Q3 20262,5711,902.4
Raised three times: 2026 revenue guidance at each update (index, February = 100) Forecast

Midpoint of each company's full-year 2026 revenue guidance, indexed to its February figure. Equinix has raised its midpoint by 1.7% since February and Digital Realty by 6.6% (Digital Realty excludes promote income). Hover or tap a point for the full ranges.

Sources: the companies' guidance as restated in Equinix via SEC EDGAR: Equinix Reports Third-Quarter Results and Raises 2026 Guidance (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 28 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab), Equinix via SEC EDGAR: Equinix Reports Second-Quarter Results, Raises 2026 Guidance and Long-Term Outlook (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 29 Jul 2026) (opens in a new tab), Equinix via SEC EDGAR: Equinix Reports First-Quarter Results and Raises Full-Year Financial Outlook (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 29 Apr 2026) (opens in a new tab), Equinix via SEC EDGAR: Equinix Provides Robust 2026 Outlook Driven by Strong Fourth-Quarter Results (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 11 Feb 2026) (opens in a new tab) and Digital Realty via SEC EDGAR: Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Financial Supplement (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 29 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab) (which lists all four Digital Realty updates). Accessed 1 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
CompanyGivenLow (US$m)High (US$m)Basis
Equinix11 Feb 202610,12310,223Total revenues
Equinix29 Apr 202610,14410,244Total revenues
Equinix29 Jul 202610,20510,285Total revenues
Equinix28 Oct 202610,32510,365Total revenues
Digital Realty5 Feb 20266,6006,700Total revenue excluding promote income
Digital Realty23 Apr 20266,6506,750Total revenue excluding promote income
Digital Realty23 Jul 20266,8506,950Total revenue excluding promote income
Digital Realty29 Oct 20267,0507,125Total revenue excluding promote income
Equinix and Digital Realty, Q3 2026, side by side (each company's own figures and definitions)
MeasureEquinixDigital Realty
Q3 2026 revenueUS$2,571m, up 11% on Q3 2025US$1,902m, up 21% on Q3 2025
Bookings in Q3 2026Record annualised gross bookings of US$533m, up 35% year on yearRecord US$627m of new leases (annualised GAAP base rent) at Digital Realty's share, US$855m at 100% share
Signed but not yet startedNot published as a figure in the Q3 releaseRecord backlog of US$1.8bn at Digital Realty's share, US$2.5bn at 100% share
Large leases (over 1 MW) in Q3 2026Not published in the Q3 release143.6 MW at an average GAAP base rent of US$275 per kW a month (Digital Realty's share)
2026 capital spending guidanceNon-recurring capex US$4,710m to US$5,690m (excluding xScale and real estate acquisitions), up from US$3,385m to US$3,865m (excluding xScale) in February. Total capex US$5bn to US$6bnNot compared here (Digital Realty gives development spend in its supplement on a different basis)
LeverageNot published in the Q3 releaseNet debt to Adjusted EBITDA 5.2x at 30 Sep 2026 (4.9x pro forma, company calculation)
CapacityNearly 40% more cabinets planned for delivery in 2026 than first expectedAbout 3.2 GW of IT capacity in place and about 9.8 GW of buildable IT capacity under development or held for future development
Digital Realty new leases signed in Q3 2026 by region (MW, Digital Realty's share) Filed

Megawatts of new leases signed in the quarter. Asia Pacific signed the most capacity and at the highest average rent per kW. Hover or tap a bar for the rent.

Source: Digital Realty via SEC EDGAR: Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release and Financial Supplement (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 29 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 1 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
RegionMW leasedUS$ per kW a month
Americas75.6267
EMEA29.5220
Asia Pacific79.7296

Our commentary (not advice): both landlords describe demand from AI and cloud customers as lifting prices as well as volumes. Digital Realty's record backlog is rent already signed that starts between now and 2028 or later, while Equinix, best known for retail colocation and interconnection, has raised its 2026 non-recurring capex guidance by more than a third since February to deliver capacity sooner. Leverage and the cost of debt now matter as much as demand, so watch Digital Realty's 5.2x net debt to Adjusted EBITDA and both companies' Q4 guidance in February 2027. Related: supplier results, data centre operators, capex data.

Flag of Australia NEXTDC Goodman Why NEXTDC shares dropped, and what Digital Realty and Goodman paid for 9.9%: the M3 Melbourne power delay and capex guidance Filed

Not investment advice. All amounts are in Australian dollars. The stake figures are from the buyers' ASX release and their Form 603 substantial holder notice; the purchases by day, the total cost and the averages are our calculation from the notice's trade-by-trade list and match the A$9.22 average the buyers state. NEXTDC's results and guidance are the company's own, for its financial year to 30 June. We do not set price targets or rate the shares.

Between 3 and 6 November 2026 Digital Realty and Goodman Group, through a 50:50 vehicle, bought 9.9% of NEXTDC, one of Australia's largest listed data centre operators. The price tells the story of a grid connection: NEXTDC's shares had fallen after it said on 21 October that suspended 66 kV power works by the network operator Jemena would delay the next increase in grid supply to its M3 Melbourne campus until its 2028 financial year, and cut its FY27 guidance. For engineers and developers this is a live example of how a power connection, not demand, sets the delivery date; for investors, of how the market prices that delay.

Flag of AustraliaConfirmed

9.9%

of NEXTDC bought by Digital Realty and Goodman: 75,215,528 shares from 3 to 6 November 2026

Source: Goodman Group and Digital Realty (ASX release): Digital Realty and Goodman acquisition of 9.9% interest in NEXTDC (9 November 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

A$693.7m

paid in total at an average A$9.22 a share (our calculation from the Form 603 trade list)

Source: ASX: Form 603: Notice of initial substantial holder in NEXTDC Limited, with Annexure C list of purchases (9 November 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

A$140m

of FY27 net revenue, and the same of underlying EBITDA, taken out of NEXTDC's guidance with the affected M3 contracts

Source: NEXTDC (ASX release): M3 Melbourne Power Delay and Revised FY27 Guidance (21 October 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

565.1 MW

forward order book of signed contracts not yet billing at 30 June 2026 (pro forma), 3.2 times billing utilisation

Source: NEXTDC (ASX release): FY26 Record Results and Record FY27 Growth Guidance (27 August 2026) (opens in a new tab)

NEXTDC shares bought by Digital Realty and Goodman, by day, 3 to 6 November 2026 (million shares) Filed

Most of the stake, 59.95 million shares, was bought on 5 November at A$9.50, the price in the term sheet published after the market closed on 4 November, which DCD reported as a 45.5% premium to that day's close. Earlier purchases were at about A$6 a share and later ones up to A$10.40. Tap or hover a bar for the day's average price.

Sources: ASX: Form 603: Notice of initial substantial holder in NEXTDC Limited, with Annexure C list of purchases (9 November 2026) (opens in a new tab) (Annexure C, our aggregation by day); Goodman Group and Digital Realty (ASX release): Digital Realty and Goodman acquisition of 9.9% interest in NEXTDC (9 November 2026) (opens in a new tab); DCD (DatacenterDynamics): Digital Realty and Goodman Group line up AU$715m bid for stake in Australia's NextDC (4 November 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 11 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
Day (2026)PurchasesSharesAverage price (A$, our calculation)Lowest to highest (A$)
3 Nov291,050,0006.195.995 to 6.27
4 Nov596,650,0006.416.245 to 6.58
5 Nov5961,517,5149.509.07 to 9.5
6 Nov705,998,01410.069.4 to 10.4
Total21775,215,5289.225.995 to 10.4
NEXTDC FY27 guidance before and after the M3 power delay, against FY26 (A$m) Forecast

Bars show NEXTDC's own guidance range for the year to 30 June 2027 as given on 27 August and as revised on 21 October, next to the FY26 result. The October range leaves out the affected M3 contracts entirely, including capacity already billing; NEXTDC says service level credits on those contracts could take EBITDA below the revised range. Hover or tap a bar for its basis.

Sources: NEXTDC (ASX release): FY26 Record Results and Record FY27 Growth Guidance (27 August 2026) (opens in a new tab); NEXTDC (ASX release): M3 Melbourne Power Delay and Revised FY27 Guidance (21 October 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 11 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
MeasureFY26 actual (A$m)FY27 guidance, 27 Aug (A$m)FY27 guidance, 21 Oct (A$m)
Net revenue405615 to 640475 to 500
Underlying EBITDA248.8385 to 410245 to 265
Capital expenditure3,3975,250 to 5,7504,500 to 5,000 (includes about A$230m of capitalised interest, which the August range did not)
NEXTDC capacity: built, billing and contracted megawatts, 30 June 2025 and 2026 Filed

Contracted utilisation tripled in the year while built capacity grew 38% (our calculation), so most of the contracted megawatts still have to be built and powered. NEXTDC expected 197 MW of the order book to start billing in FY27 and 221 MW in FY28 (its August expectation, before the M3 delay). Contracted and order book figures are pro forma, as disclosed on 21 July 2026.

Source: NEXTDC (ASX release): FY26 Record Results and Record FY27 Growth Guidance (27 August 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 11 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
Measure30 June 2025 (MW)30 June 2026 (MW)
Built capacity207.9287.9
Billing utilisation110.9175
Contracted utilisation (pro forma)244.8740.1
Forward order book (pro forma)133.9565.1

Key takeaways

Our commentary (not advice): for developers, engineers and procurement teams, M3 shows that a contracted hall can still wait on a distribution network upgrade, so power works, poles and cable routes belong on the critical path and in community engagement plans from the start. For consultants and investors, the stake values Australian data centre equity at a time when a single grid delay moved a year of guidance. Related: Equinix vs Digital Realty results, data centre M&A deals, Rest of Asia Pacific, compare data centre markets, latest news.

AI clouds on borrowed money: Oracle and CoreWeave capex, debt and backlog (RPO) Filed

Not investment advice. Capex, operating cash flow, debt and remaining performance obligations (RPO) are from each company's 10-Q and 10-K on SEC EDGAR. The companies file cash flow as year-to-date totals, so single quarters and free cash flow are our calculation. Oracle's targets are Oracle's own forecasts with their date, not ours. We do not rate the debt or the shares.

Oracle and CoreWeave rent out AI computing power from data centres they lease or build. Both are spending faster than their operations bring in cash, and both have signed customer contracts worth several times their debt. The charts show the gap, how it is being filled and what the contracts are worth.

Flag of United StatesOracleFlag of United StatesCoreWeave

Confirmed

US$664bn

Oracle remaining performance obligations at 31 Aug 2026, up from US$455.3bn a year earlier

Source: Oracle via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 31 August 2026 (filed 11 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

US$125.3bn

Oracle notes payable and other borrowings at 31 Aug 2026

Source: Oracle via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 31 August 2026 (filed 11 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

US$35.6bn

CoreWeave debt at 30 Jun 2026, 3.2 times the level a year earlier (our calculation)

Source: CoreWeave via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 June 2026 (filed 12 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

25%

of CoreWeave's Q2 2026 revenue went on net interest (US$640m against US$267m a year earlier), our calculation

Source: CoreWeave via SEC EDGAR: CoreWeave Reports Strong Second Quarter 2026 Results (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 11 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Oracle: operating cash flow, capex and free cash flow by fiscal quarter (US$bn) Filed

Oracle's fiscal year ends on 31 May, so Q1 FY27 is June to August 2026. Free cash flow is operating cash flow less capital expenditures, our calculation, and negative in all five quarters (red). Q1 FY27 operating cash flow includes US$11.4bn of customer prepayments recorded as deferred revenue. Oracle's own release gives Q1 FY27 free cash flow as negative US$5bn. Hover or tap a quarter for revenue and the filing.

Sources: Oracle via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 31 August 2025 (filed 10 Sep 2025) (opens in a new tab); Oracle via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 November 2025 (filed 11 Dec 2025) (opens in a new tab); Oracle via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 28 February 2026 (filed 11 Mar 2026) (opens in a new tab); Oracle via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-K for the year ended 31 May 2026 (filed 22 Jun 2026) (opens in a new tab); Oracle via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 31 August 2026 (filed 11 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab); Oracle via SEC EDGAR: Oracle Announces Q1 Results (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 10 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 1 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
QuarterOperating cash flow (US$m)Capex (US$m)Free cash flow, our calculation (US$m)Revenue (US$m)Borrowings at quarter end (US$m)RPO (US$bn)
Q1 FY26 (Jun-Aug 2025)8,1408,502-36214,92691,315455.3
Q2 FY26 (Sep-Nov 2025)2,06612,033-9,96716,058108,075523.3
Q3 FY26 (Dec 2025-Feb 2026)7,15118,635-11,48417,190134,605552.6
Q4 FY26 (Mar-May 2026)14,62016,493-1,87319,184129,541638
Q1 FY27 (Jun-Aug 2026)23,10328,499-5,39619,345125,337664
CoreWeave: operating cash flow, capex and free cash flow by quarter (US$bn) Filed

Free cash flow is operating cash flow less purchases of property and equipment, our calculation, and negative in all five quarters (red). Revenue more than doubled to US$2.58bn in Q2 2026, while debt rose from US$11.2bn to US$35.6bn. Hover or tap a quarter for revenue and the filing.

Sources: CoreWeave via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 June 2025 (filed 13 Aug 2025) (opens in a new tab); CoreWeave via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2025 (filed 13 Nov 2025) (opens in a new tab); CoreWeave via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-K for 2025 (filed 2 Mar 2026) (opens in a new tab); CoreWeave via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 31 March 2026 (filed 8 May 2026) (opens in a new tab); CoreWeave via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 June 2026 (filed 12 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab); CoreWeave via SEC EDGAR: CoreWeave Reports Strong Second Quarter 2026 Results (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 11 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 1 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
QuarterOperating cash flow (US$m)Capex (US$m)Free cash flow, our calculation (US$m)Revenue (US$m)Debt at quarter end (US$m)RPO (US$bn)
Q2 2025-2512,453-2,7041,21311,17130.1
Q3 20251,6892,389-7001,36514,20550
Q4 20251,5594,060-2,5011,57221,61560.7
Q1 20262,9847,695-4,7112,07825,14998.8
Q2 20266796,422-5,7432,57535,551103.7
Signed contracts against debt: remaining performance obligations and debt at the latest filing (US$bn) Filed

RPO is contracted revenue not yet earned, so it is future income only if the capacity is delivered. Oracle expects to recognise about 13% of the US$664bn within 12 months, 37% in months 13 to 36, 34% in months 37 to 60 and the rest after that (10-Q, 31 Aug 2026). Oracle's RPO is 5.3 times its borrowings and CoreWeave's 2.9 times its debt (our calculation). Lease liabilities are not included in debt here.

Sources: Oracle via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 31 August 2026 (filed 11 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab); CoreWeave via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 June 2026 (filed 12 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 1 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
CompanyDateRPO (US$bn)Debt (US$bn)Debt measure
Oracle31 Aug 2026664125.3Notes payable and other borrowings, current plus non-current, at the end of each quarter
CoreWeave30 Jun 2026103.735.6Debt carrying amount as tagged in each filing (all debt facilities and notes)
Oracle's own targets, given at its Investor Day on 28 October 2026 (company forecasts, not ours) Forecast
MeasureOracle target
Total revenue, FY27 (year to May 2027)At least US$90bn (reaffirmed)
Total revenue, FY30US$225bn or more, more than 35% a year growth from FY26
CapexPeak in FY27 and FY28, stepping down in FY29
Free cash flowPositive in the second half of FY28, at least US$30bn in FY29
New money from capital markets, FY27 to FY30Limited to US$20bn (about US$10bn equity, US$10bn gross debt), excluding refinancing and on top of the US$20bn of shares sold in Q1 FY27
Net debt to adjusted EBITDABelow 3.5 times in FY29 (net debt includes borrowings, vendor financing and lease liabilities, less cash)

Source: Oracle via SEC EDGAR: Oracle Investor Day 2026: Accelerating Value Creation (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 28 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab). Oracle says vendor financing, customer-provided hardware and customer prepayments are expected to reduce its upfront cash needs.

How the gap was filled (from the filings): in Q1 FY27 Oracle sold US$19.9bn of shares through its at-the-market programme, repaid US$4.2bn of debt and took US$11.4bn of customer prepayments. On 22 Sep 2026 CoreWeave completed a US$4.2bn offering of 2.875% convertible senior notes due 2033 (upsized from US$3.0bn). The same filing lists its existing senior notes at 9.250% (2030), 9.000% (2031), 9.750% (2031), 9.625% (2032) and 8.500% (2032), and 1.75% convertible notes due 2031 and 2032. CoreWeave reports 1.5 GW of active power and about 3.7 GW contracted.

Our commentary (not advice): both companies are buying GPUs, power and buildings years before the contracts pay out, so their capex runs ahead of cash from operations and the difference comes from bonds, loans, share sales and customer prepayments. For suppliers of cooling, power and construction this matters because orders from these buyers depend on that financing staying open. CoreWeave reported Q3 2026 on 10 November (see CoreWeave Q3 against guidance; the debt and RPO figures here stay at 30 June until we read its Q3 10-Q). Signs to watch are Oracle's Q2 FY27, usually in December, interest cost against revenue, how much RPO turns into revenue within 12 months, and whether Oracle keeps to its US$20bn limit on new capital. Related: hyperscaler free cash flow, chip and lease financing, capex data, hyperscalers and cloud markets.

Flag of United States Data centre moratorium risk by state after the 2026 midterms: 37.5 GW of 2028 capacity Forecast

Not investment advice. The gigawatt figures are a published estimate by Michael Cembalest of J.P. Morgan Asset Management (Eye on the Market, 4 November 2026, from Aterio and SemiAnalysis data), not our forecast. No state has passed a new pause because of the election yet. "Pause" and "conditions" are JPMAM's labels for what a governor could do. The sector share moves are as reported by Moneycontrol, which does not name the index provider.

After the 3 November midterms, the question for anyone building, supplying or financing US data centres is not Congress but the states. JPMAM lists ten states where the incoming or sitting governor has backed a pause on new data centres or conditions on them, and how many gigawatts each was expected to add in 2028. Projects already under construction for 2027 are mostly safe. The 2028 wave, much of which has not broken ground, is where the risk sits.

US 2028 data centre capacity by state: may be paused or may face conditions (GW, JPMAM estimate) Forecast

Each bar is the capacity JPMAM expects the state to add in 2028, coloured by the outcome it gives for the governor who won. Tap or hover a state to see JPMAM's outcome under either party. Texas, Georgia and Iowa use the Democratic column (Institutional Investor reports all three flipped). Ohio, Illinois, Arizona, Wyoming and Oregon have the same outcome either way. For Pennsylvania and Oklahoma we use the column that makes the states add up to JPMAM's own totals (37.5 GW paused, about 15 GW with conditions). Use the legend to show one outcome at a time.

Sources: J.P. Morgan Asset Management (Michael Cembalest, Eye on the Market): Now You Can See Everything: on the midterms, AI, markets, the Theranos film and corporate fraud (4 Nov 2026, PDF) (opens in a new tab) (table source: Aterio, SemiAnalysis, JPMAM); Institutional Investor: Michael Cembalest: Data Centers Could Be a Victim of the Democratic Sweep of Congress (opens in a new tab). State sums are our calculation. Accessed 9 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
State2028 GW expectedOutcome (Republican governor)Outcome (Democratic governor)Outcome used here
Texas26.5ConditionsPausePause
Ohio5.2PausePausePause
Georgia5.1ConditionsPausePause
Pennsylvania4.7PauseConditionsConditions
Illinois2.9ConditionsConditionsConditions
Arizona2.7ConditionsConditionsConditions
Oklahoma2.1ConditionsPauseConditions
Iowa1.6PauseConditionsConditions
Wyoming0.8ConditionsConditionsConditions
Oregon0.7PausePausePause
How the 96 GW expected in 2028 splits (GW, JPMAM estimate) Forecast

Pause and conditions are the sums of the ten states above (37.5 GW and 14.8 GW). The rest (43.7 GW) is in states JPMAM does not list, which does not mean it carries no local risk: ballot measures and county rules also apply.

Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management (Michael Cembalest, Eye on the Market): Now You Can See Everything: on the midterms, AI, markets, the Theranos film and corporate fraud (4 Nov 2026, PDF) (opens in a new tab). The remainder is our subtraction. Accessed 9 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
Part of the 2028 pipelineGW
May be paused37.5
May face conditions14.8
Not in the ten states listed43.7
Share price moves by AI segment, first week of November 2026 (%, as reported) Reported, not confirmed

The fall was concentrated in the parts of the AI trade that depend most on new capacity and new financing, while the rest of the S&P 500 barely moved. These are basket moves as reported, not an index we calculate.

Source: Moneycontrol: US midterm backlash puts 37.5 GW of US AI data-centre capacity at risk (9 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 9 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
SegmentChange (%)
Memory chip shares-18.4
Optical networking shares-17.7
AI chip shares-16.6
Neocloud shares-13.8
Data centre related shares-13
S&P 500 excluding AI stocks-0.3

Key takeaways

  • JPMAM estimates 37.5 GW of the 96 GW of US capacity expected in 2028 may be paused and another 15 GW may face conditions. Texas is 26.5 GW of the paused total.
  • The 2027 pipeline (37 GW) is 75% under construction, so near-term deliveries are less exposed than orders for 2028.
  • Conditions JPMAM lists: paying grid costs to protect other customers, ending tax incentives, water limits, onsite backup power, labour requirements, no non-disclosure agreements during permitting. Cembalest writes that most of these "seem sensible".

Our commentary (not advice): for cooling, power and construction suppliers, a pause shows up first as orders for 2028 projects being pushed back, not as cancellations of sites already being built. Conditions such as onsite backup power or water limits change what gets bought (more generators, more dry or closed-loop heat rejection) rather than whether it is bought. Watch new governors' first orders, state utility commission large-load rules and county moratoriums. Related: data centre policy tracker, US data centre power, US ballot measures on data centres, power, water and noise explained.

Flag of United States CoreWeave Q3 2026 earnings against guidance: revenue, capex, interest and power Filed Forecast

Not investment advice. Q3 2026 revenue, interest expense, adjusted operating income, power and backlog are from CoreWeave's results release of 10 November 2026. Q3 capex is CoreWeave's own capex measure, as stated by its chief financial officer on the 10 November call. The Q3 ranges are the guidance CoreWeave gave on 11 August 2026, and the full-year figures are its own guidance as given in August and November: company forecasts, not ours. Whether a result is above, within or below a range, and every percentage change, is our calculation.

CoreWeave rents out AI computing power built on NVIDIA chips and is one of the biggest single buyers of data centre capacity, power and cooling. Its third-quarter results, published after the US market close on 10 November, show how fast contracted capacity is being switched on and paid for. The charts set each reported figure against the range CoreWeave gave in August and against Q2.

Confirmed

US$3.66bn

Q3 2026 revenue, above the top of the range of US$3.45bn to US$3.6bn and up 168% on a year earlier (our calculation)

Source: CoreWeave investor relations: CoreWeave Reports Strong Third Quarter 2026 Results (10 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

US$14.5bn

Q3 2026 capex (CoreWeave's measure), above the top of the range of US$11.5bn to US$13.5bn, with some Q4 deliveries brought forward

Source: The Motley Fool (transcript of CoreWeave's Q3 2026 call): CoreWeave (CRWV) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (10 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

1.7 GW+

Active power at 30 September 2026, up from about 1.5 GW at 30 June, against more than 4.6 GW contracted

Source: CoreWeave investor relations: CoreWeave Reports Strong Third Quarter 2026 Results (10 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab)

CoreWeave revenue and capex: Q3 2026 actual against Q3 guidance and Q2 (US$bn) Filed

Grey bars are Q2 and the August guidance range for Q3, the green bar is what CoreWeave reported. Hover or tap a bar for its value, or open the table. Revenue came in above the top of the range and capex above the top of the range. Capex is CoreWeave's own measure, the basis of its guidance. The cash paid for property and equipment in the Q3 cash flow statement was US$9.441bn, a different measure that we do not reconcile.

Sources: CoreWeave investor relations: CoreWeave Reports Strong Third Quarter 2026 Results (10 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab) (Q3 revenue, cash flow); The Motley Fool (transcript of CoreWeave's Q3 2026 call): CoreWeave (CRWV) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (10 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab) (Q3 capex); CoreWeave investor relations: CoreWeave Reports Strong Second Quarter 2026 Results (11 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab) (Q2 revenue); Investing.com (transcript of CoreWeave's Q2 2026 call): Earnings call transcript: CoreWeave tops Q2 2026 estimates, shares jump 13.5% (11 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab) (Q2 capex and Q3 guidance). Accessed 11 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
MeasureQ2 2026 actual (US$bn)Q3 guidance low (US$bn)Q3 guidance high (US$bn)Q3 2026 actual (US$bn)Against the range (our comparison)
Revenue2.5753.453.63.661above the top of the range
Capex9.411.513.514.5above the top of the range
Interest expense against adjusted operating income: Q3 2026 actual, guidance and Q2 (US$m) Filed

Interest expense, net, was US$846m, below the bottom of the range, and adjusted operating income was US$379m, above the top of the range. Adjusted operating income is a non-GAAP measure that sits before interest, so this is a side-by-side, not a profit figure. GAAP net loss was US$709m against US$110m a year earlier.

Sources: CoreWeave investor relations: CoreWeave Reports Strong Third Quarter 2026 Results (10 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab) (Q3); CoreWeave investor relations: CoreWeave Reports Strong Second Quarter 2026 Results (11 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab) (Q2); Investing.com (transcript of CoreWeave's Q2 2026 call): Earnings call transcript: CoreWeave tops Q2 2026 estimates, shares jump 13.5% (11 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab) (Q3 guidance). Accessed 11 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
MeasureQ2 2026 actual (US$m)Q3 guidance low (US$m)Q3 guidance high (US$m)Q3 2026 actual (US$m)Against the range (our comparison)
Interest expense640860940846below the bottom of the range
Adjusted operating income128200260379above the top of the range
CoreWeave full-year 2026 guidance: August against November (midpoints, US$bn) Forecast

Each bar is the midpoint of a company guidance range (our calculation). Hover or tap a bar for the full ranges. CoreWeave raised its 2026 revenue, adjusted operating income and exit run-rate guidance on 10 November and raised the low end of its capex range. These are CoreWeave's forecasts, not ours.

Sources: Investing.com (transcript of CoreWeave's Q2 2026 call): Earnings call transcript: CoreWeave tops Q2 2026 estimates, shares jump 13.5% (11 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab) (August guidance); CoreWeave investor relations: CoreWeave Reports Strong Third Quarter 2026 Results (10 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab) (November guidance). Accessed 11 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
MeasureGuidance on 11 Aug 2026Guidance on 10 Nov 2026
2026 revenueUS$12.4bn to US$13.2bnUS$13.0bn to US$13.3bn (raised)
2026 adjusted operating incomeUS$960m to US$1.15bnUS$1.275bn to US$1.375bn (raised)
2026 capexUS$35bn to US$39bnUS$37bn to US$39bn (low end raised)
Annualised revenue run rate at end 2026US$18.5bn to US$19.5bnUS$20bn to US$21bn (raised)
Q4 2026 interest expensenot givenUS$1.05bn to US$1.15bn
Active power at end 2026more than 1.85 GWmore than 1.85 GW (unchanged)
CoreWeave power: active and contracted at 30 June and 30 September, and its targets (GW) Filed

Revenue starts when a contracted cluster is switched on, which needs power. Active power is what is delivering revenue now, contracted power is signed but not yet all built. CoreWeave reports 'more than' 1.7 GW, 4.6 GW and 1.3 GW at 30 September, so those bars are floors. The end-2026 and 2030 figures are company targets. Hover or tap a bar for the type of figure.

Sources: CoreWeave investor relations: CoreWeave Reports Strong Third Quarter 2026 Results (10 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab); CoreWeave investor relations: CoreWeave Reports Strong Second Quarter 2026 Results (11 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab); Investing.com (transcript of CoreWeave's Q2 2026 call): Earnings call transcript: CoreWeave tops Q2 2026 estimates, shares jump 13.5% (11 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 11 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
MeasureGigawattsType of figure
Active, 30 Jun 20261.5Reported
Active, 30 Sep 20261.7Reported (more than)
Active target, end 20261.85Company target (more than), kept in November
Contracted, 30 Jun 20263.7Reported
Contracted, 30 Sep 20264.6Reported (more than)
Contracted outside US, 30 Sep1.3Reported (more than), includes India, Indonesia and Spain
Active goal, 20308Company goal (at least), given in August
CoreWeave's 2026 guidance as given on 11 August and 10 November 2026 (company forecasts, not ours) Forecast
Measure11 Aug 202610 Nov 2026
2026 revenueUS$12.4bn to US$13.2bnUS$13.0bn to US$13.3bn (raised)
2026 adjusted operating incomeUS$960m to US$1.15bnUS$1.275bn to US$1.375bn (raised)
2026 capexUS$35bn to US$39bnUS$37bn to US$39bn (low end raised)
Annualised revenue run rate at end 2026US$18.5bn to US$19.5bnUS$20bn to US$21bn (raised)
Q4 2026 interest expensenot givenUS$1.05bn to US$1.15bn
Active power at end 2026more than 1.85 GWmore than 1.85 GW (unchanged)

Sources: Investing.com (transcript of CoreWeave's Q2 2026 call): Earnings call transcript: CoreWeave tops Q2 2026 estimates, shares jump 13.5% (11 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab); CoreWeave investor relations: CoreWeave Reports Strong Third Quarter 2026 Results (10 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab). Results date: CoreWeave investor relations: CoreWeave Announces Date of Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Conference Call (27 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab).

Key takeaways

  • Q3 revenue of US$3.661bn beat the top of CoreWeave's own range (US$3.6bn), and adjusted operating income of US$379m beat the top of its range (US$260m).
  • Capex of US$14.5bn ran above the top of the US$11.5bn to US$13.5bn range because some Q4 deliveries came early, and construction in progress fell to US$9.3bn from US$11.9bn, as stated on the call.
  • Interest expense of US$846m came in just below the guided range, but CoreWeave expects US$1.05bn to US$1.15bn in Q4, still well above Q3 adjusted operating income (our comparison of different measures).
  • More than 200 MW of active power was added in the quarter to more than 1.7 GW, while contracted power rose by more than 900 MW to more than 4.6 GW, so the gap still to build widened. More than 1.3 GW of contracted power is outside the US, including India, Indonesia and Spain.
  • On the call CoreWeave put new four to five year contracts at US$20m to US$25m of annual revenue per MW and short contracts at about US$40m, its weighted average cost of debt at 7.9%, and said it expects about US$9bn of customer prepayments and deposits in the next three months.

Sources: CoreWeave investor relations: CoreWeave Reports Strong Third Quarter 2026 Results (10 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab); The Motley Fool (transcript of CoreWeave's Q3 2026 call): CoreWeave (CRWV) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (10 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab).

Our commentary (not advice): for cooling, power and construction suppliers the useful numbers are capex running ahead of plan and contracted power growing faster than active power: equipment is being installed early, and the queue of sites still to fit out got longer, not shorter. More than a quarter of contracted power is now outside the US. The financing signals are mixed: interest is still rising each quarter, while CoreWeave says it is leaning more on customer prepayments and secured loans tied to contracts than on unsecured bonds. Related: Oracle and CoreWeave capex, debt and backlog, bitcoin miners' AI pivot, hyperscaler free cash flow, direct liquid cooling.

Flag of Netherlands Nebius Nebius Q3 2026 earnings preview: what Nebius guided, what analysts expect and who pays for the build-out Filed Forecast

Not investment advice. Revenue, ARR, cash, debt, deferred revenue and cash capex are from Nebius's results releases and shareholder letters. The 2026 ranges are Nebius's own guidance as stated on its earnings calls, and the Q3 2026 revenue bar is the Zacks consensus estimate published on 9 November 2026: both are forecasts, not results. Q3 2025 revenue, the sums and the revenue still needed in the second half are our calculation. Nebius reports before the US market opens on 12 November 2026 and this block will be updated with the actual figures. We do not set price targets or rate the shares.

Nebius, listed on Nasdaq and based in Amsterdam, rents out NVIDIA GPU capacity from its own and leased data centres in Europe, the US and Israel, and is building gigawatt-scale sites in Missouri and Pennsylvania. It is one of the 'neoclouds' whose results show whether contracted AI capacity is turning into revenue, and how much of the cost of building it customers pay up front. The charts set what Nebius has reported against what it has promised for 2026.

Flag of NetherlandsConfirmed

US$3.0bn

annualised run-rate revenue (ARR) at 30 June 2026, up from US$1.25bn at the end of 2025; guidance is US$7bn to US$9bn by the end of 2026 (company forecast)

Sources: Nebius Group (results release): Nebius reports second quarter 2026 financial results (12 August 2026) (opens in a new tab); The Motley Fool (call transcript): Nebius (NBIS) Q2 2026 earnings call transcript (call of 12 August 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

US$981.3m

revenue in the first half of 2026. Full-year guidance of US$3bn to US$3.4bn needs US$2.02bn to US$2.42bn in the second half (our calculation)

Sources: Nebius Group (results release): Nebius reports second quarter 2026 financial results (12 August 2026) (opens in a new tab); The Motley Fool (call transcript): Nebius (NBIS) Q2 2026 earnings call transcript (call of 12 August 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Projected

5 GW

of contracted power targeted by the end of 2026 (company target, land and power secured), with 800 MW to 1 GW by the end of 2026 of connected power

Sources: Nebius Group (SEC Form 6-K, exhibit 99.2): Letter to shareholders, Q2 2026 (12 August 2026) (opens in a new tab); The Motley Fool (call transcript): Nebius (NBIS) Q2 2026 earnings call transcript (call of 12 August 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Nebius group revenue by quarter, Q1 2025 to Q2 2026, and the analyst consensus for Q3 2026 (US$m) Filed

Solid bars are reported revenue; the dashed bar is the Zacks consensus estimate of US$916.78m published on 9 Nov 2026, an analyst forecast, not a Nebius figure. Q3 2025 is our calculation from the full-year 2025 total. Nebius gave no guidance for Q3 alone. Tap or hover a bar for its basis.

Sources: Nebius Group (results release): Nebius reports second quarter 2026 financial results (12 August 2026) (opens in a new tab); Nebius Group: Letter to shareholders, Q1 2026 (13 May 2026) (opens in a new tab); Nebius Group: Letter to shareholders, Q4 2025 (12 February 2026) (opens in a new tab); Zacks Investment Research (via Yahoo Finance): Nebius Stock Ahead of Q3 Earnings: Should You Buy, Hold or Sell? (9 November 2026) (opens in a new tab) (forecast). Accessed 11 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
QuarterGroup revenue (US$m)Type of figure
Q1 202550.9reported (year-earlier column)
Q2 2025105.1reported (year-earlier column)
Q3 2025146.1our calculation: full-year 2025 US$529.8m minus first half US$156.0m and Q4 US$227.7m
Q4 2025227.7reported
Q1 2026399reported
Q2 2026582.3reported
Q3 2026916.78forecast: Zacks consensus estimate published 9 November 2026, not a Nebius figure
Nebius annualised run-rate revenue (ARR) against its end-2026 guidance (US$bn) Forecast

Nebius calculates ARR as AI cloud revenue in the last month of the quarter times 12. The dashed bar is the low end of its US$7bn to US$9bn guidance for the end of 2026, reaffirmed on 12 August; it is a company forecast. Reaching it means more than doubling ARR in six months, from capacity that Nebius says takes several months to turn into revenue after it is connected.

Sources: Nebius Group: Letter to shareholders, Q4 2025 (12 February 2026) (opens in a new tab); Nebius Group: Letter to shareholders, Q1 2026 (13 May 2026) (opens in a new tab); Nebius Group (results release): Nebius reports second quarter 2026 financial results (12 August 2026) (opens in a new tab); The Motley Fool (call transcript): Nebius (NBIS) Q2 2026 earnings call transcript (call of 12 August 2026) (opens in a new tab) (guidance). Accessed 11 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
DateARR (US$bn)Type of figure
30 Sep 20250.551reported
31 Dec 20251.25reported
31 Mar 20261.92reported
30 Jun 20263reported
31 Dec 2026 target (low end)7company guidance of US$7bn to US$9bn, reaffirmed 12 August 2026
Nebius 2026 capex guidance as given in February, May and August, against cash paid in the first half (US$bn) Forecast

The first three bars are Nebius's own guidance ranges for 2026; the last is cash paid for property, equipment and intangible assets in January to June from the cash flow statement, a different measure from Nebius's own capex figure (about US$2.5bn in Q1 and about US$5.7bn in Q2, as stated in its letters). Nebius raised the range in May to build capacity for 2027 and reaffirmed it in August. Tap or hover a bar for its basis.

Sources: The Motley Fool (call transcript): Nebius (NBIS) Q1 2026 earnings call transcript (call of 13 May 2026) (opens in a new tab); The Motley Fool (call transcript): Nebius (NBIS) Q2 2026 earnings call transcript (call of 12 August 2026) (opens in a new tab); Nebius Group (results release): Nebius reports second quarter 2026 financial results (12 August 2026) (opens in a new tab); Nebius Group (SEC Form 6-K, exhibit 99.2): Letter to shareholders, Q2 2026 (12 August 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 11 Nov 2026.

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MeasureLow (US$bn)High (US$bn)Basis
Capex guidance, 12 Feb 20261620Prior range, as stated on the 13 May 2026 call
Capex guidance, 13 May 2026 (raised)2025Raised for 2027 capacity coming online early next year
Capex guidance, 12 Aug 2026 (reaffirmed)2025Reaffirmed on the Q2 call
Paid in H1 2026 (cash flow)8.138.13Purchases of property and equipment and intangible assets, first half, from the cash flow statement: US$8,130.3m. Nebius's own capex measure was about US$2.5bn in Q1 and about US$5.7bn in Q2
Who pays for the build-out: Nebius cash, debt and customer prepayments, 31 December 2025 and 30 June 2026 (US$m) Filed

Deferred revenue is mostly customer prepayments: Nebius says about 70% of the deals it closed in Q2 included a prepayment covering 50% to 60% of the related capex, and it expects more than US$9bn of prepayments in 2026. Debt and deferred revenue each add the current and non-current lines (our calculation). Since 30 June Nebius has raised or arranged about US$10.0bn more (our sum of the table below; the Citi facility is a 364-day facility, not necessarily drawn).

Sources: Nebius Group (results release): Nebius reports second quarter 2026 financial results (12 August 2026) (opens in a new tab) (balance sheets); Nebius Group (SEC Form 6-K, exhibit 99.2): Letter to shareholders, Q2 2026 (12 August 2026) (opens in a new tab) (prepayments). Accessed 11 Nov 2026.

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Measure31 Dec 2025 (US$m)30 Jun 2026 (US$m)
Cash and cash equivalents3,678.18,042.1
Debt (current plus non-current)4,127.78,545.7
Deferred revenue (customer prepayments, current plus non-current)1,577.55,975.2
Financing Nebius has announced since 30 June 2026 Filed
DateWhatAmountTerms
July 2026First secured debt facility, backed by deployed GPUs and an investment-grade customer contract (Nebius Group (SEC Form 6-K, exhibit 99.2): Letter to shareholders, Q2 2026 (12 August 2026) (opens in a new tab))US$0.775bnSOFR plus 2.50%
24 Aug 2026Convertible senior notes closed: US$3.45bn of 0.50% notes due 2030 and US$2.3bn of 4.50% notes due 2034 (Nebius Group (newsroom): Closing of private offering of convertible senior notes, gross proceeds of about US$5.75 billion (24 August 2026) (opens in a new tab))US$5.75bn0.50% and 4.50% coupons
22 Oct 2026Senior secured facility from Citi for data centre development and GPU procurement (Nebius Group (newsroom): Nebius secures US$3.5 billion financing facility with Citi (22 October 2026) (opens in a new tab))US$3.5bn364-day maturity, Term SOFR plus 2.75% rising to at most 3.50%

What to watch on 12 November

Our commentary (not advice): for cooling, power and construction suppliers, Nebius's capex range is the order book signal: Nebius says the money goes mainly on GPUs and related hardware and on data centre expansion, and the May increase was to build capacity for 2027, so halls and plant for that capacity are being bought now. Customer prepayments covering half or more of the capex make those projects less dependent on debt markets, but the gap between connected power and revenue is several months, so any slip in fit-out or commissioning shows up in ARR. For operators and procurement teams, Nebius's own price points (more than US$20m of annual revenue per MW for one to three year contracts, US$40m to US$50m for short ones) show what scarce capacity earns. Related: CoreWeave Q3 against guidance, AI clouds on borrowed money, miners' AI pivot.

Big Tech bond issuance for AI: debt, borrowing and what they pay Filed

Not investment advice. Debt, borrowing and capex are from each company's 10-Q and 10-K on SEC EDGAR. Bond amounts, coupons and maturities are from each issuer's pricing term sheet or prospectus supplement. Shares of capex, sums and changes are our calculation. A coupon is the interest rate fixed at issue, not today's market yield. We do not rate the bonds or the shares.

In the first nine months of 2025 Amazon borrowed US$0.7bn and Meta nothing, according to their cash flow statements. In the same months of 2026 Amazon, Alphabet and Meta between them borrowed about US$225bn, and in the six days from 29 October to 3 November Microsoft, Oracle, Meta and Alphabet priced another US$50bn of dollar bonds and €6bn of euro bonds (our sums of the term sheets). These charts show how fast the debt has grown, how much of the building it pays for and what each company pays to borrow.

Key takeaways

  • Long-term debt at Amazon, Alphabet and Meta rose by about US$291bn in seven quarters, from US$11.9bn (Alphabet), US$57.6bn (Amazon), US$28.8bn (Meta) at the end of 2024 (our calculation).
  • New borrowing matched about 66% of Amazon's capex and 65% of Alphabet's in the first nine months of 2026, against 1% and 60% a year earlier.
  • Microsoft's debt fell to US$35.5bn by 30 September 2026 and its cash flow statement shows no new long-term borrowing in fiscal 2026, before its US$25bn bond on 29 October.
  • For 10-year money, Microsoft's coupon is 5.55%, Meta's 6.55% and Oracle's 8.000% (its 2037 notes), so the market charges Oracle much more to borrow.

Microsoft · US$25bn · 29 Oct 2026Oracle · US$10bn · 2 Nov 2026Meta · US$15bn · 3 Nov 2026Alphabet · €6bn · 2 Nov 2026

Confirmed

US$115.1bn

Amazon's new long-term borrowing in the first nine months of 2026, against US$0.7bn a year earlier

Source: Amazon via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (filed 30 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

US$126.1bn

Alphabet long-term debt at 30 September 2026, about 10.6 times the level at the end of 2024 (our calculation)

Source: Alphabet via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (filed 29 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

2,066

Maturity year of Microsoft's longest new notes (6.350% coupon), 40 years after issue

Source: Microsoft via SEC EDGAR: Prospectus supplement for US$25bn of notes, dated 29 Oct 2026 (424B2) (opens in a new tab)

Big Tech long-term debt at each quarter end, December 2024 to September 2026 (US$bn) Filed

Carrying value of current plus non-current long-term debt as filed, excluding leases and commercial paper. Microsoft (dashed) has a June fiscal year, but its balance sheet dates are the same calendar quarter ends. Click a name in the legend to hide or show it, and hover or tap a quarter for the basis.

Sources: Alphabet via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (filed 29 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab); Amazon via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (filed 30 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab); Meta via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (filed 22 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab); Microsoft via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (filed 28 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab); earlier quarters from SEC EDGAR: XBRL company facts API (quarter-end long-term debt as tagged in each 10-Q and 10-K) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 4 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
Quarter endAlphabet (US$m)Amazon (US$m)Meta (US$m)Microsoft (US$m)
31 Dec 202411,88257,64028,82644,970
31 Mar 202511,88658,38828,82942,881
30 Jun 202524,60755,72328,83243,151
30 Sept 202523,60254,73928,83443,208
31 Dec 202548,54368,39658,74440,262
31 Mar 202679,499121,90658,74840,262
30 Jun 2026100,164132,22483,66440,294
30 Sept 2026126,118179,95283,66935,481
New borrowing against capex, first nine months of 2025 and 2026 (US$bn) Filed

Capex is purchases of property and equipment from each cash flow statement. Borrowing is gross new debt as filed, before repayments, and each company names the line differently (see the table). Money is fungible, so this does not show which bond paid for which building, only the scale of borrowing next to spending.

Sources: Alphabet via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (filed 29 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab); Amazon via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (filed 30 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab); Meta via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (filed 22 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 4 Nov 2026.

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CompanyCapex 9M 2025 (US$m)Capex 9M 2026 (US$m)New borrowing 9M 2025 (US$m)New borrowing 9M 2026 (US$m)Repayments 9M 2026 (US$m)Borrowing as % of capex 9M 2026, our calculationCash flow line used
Alphabet63,596131,95338,00285,2228,87965%Proceeds from issuance of debt, net of costs (includes commercial paper)
Amazon92,297175,670746115,1002,75966%Proceeds from long-term debt
Meta48,30883,055024,910030%Proceeds from issuance of long-term debt
What Big Tech pays to borrow: coupon by maturity year on the bonds priced 29 October to 3 November 2026 Filed

Each dot is one fixed-rate tranche, sized by the amount sold. Floating rate notes are left out because they have no fixed coupon. Alphabet's line (dashed) is in euros, where base interest rates are lower, so compare its shape rather than its level with the dollar lines. Click a name in the legend to hide or show it.

Sources: Microsoft via SEC EDGAR: Prospectus supplement for US$25bn of notes, dated 29 Oct 2026 (424B2) (opens in a new tab); Microsoft via SEC EDGAR: Pricing term sheet, trade date 29 Oct 2026 (FWP) (opens in a new tab); Oracle via SEC EDGAR: Prospectus supplement for US$10bn of notes, filed 4 Nov 2026 (424B2) (opens in a new tab); Meta via SEC EDGAR: Pricing term sheet for US$15bn of senior notes, trade date 3 Nov 2026 (FWP) (opens in a new tab); Alphabet via SEC EDGAR: Pricing term sheet for €6bn of notes, trade date 2 Nov 2026 (FWP) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 4 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
IssuerPricedTotalFixed-rate tranches (maturity, coupon, amount in millions)AlsoRatings in the term sheet
Microsoft29 Oct 2026US$25bn2028: 4.850%, 2,000 · 2029: 5.000%, 3,250 · 2031: 5.200%, 3,250 · 2033: 5.350%, 2,500 · 2036: 5.550%, 4,000 · 2046: 6.150%, 2,000 · 2056: 6.250%, 4,000 · 2066: 6.350%, 2,000plus US$1bn of floating rate notes due 2028 and US$1bn due 2029Aaa (Moody's), AAA (S&P), as stated in the term sheet
Oracle2 Nov 2026US$10bn2029: 7.000%, 2,000 · 2031: 7.450%, 1,750 · 2033: 7.850%, 2,250 · 2037: 8.000%, 2,500 · 2046: 8.650%, 1,500alongside a concurrent offering of 86,206,897 new sharesNot stated
Meta3 Nov 2026US$15bn2031: 5.850%, 3,250 · 2033: 6.250%, 3,250 · 2036: 6.550%, 4,000 · 2046: 7.350%, 1,750 · 2056: 7.500%, 2,750a euro offering in six tranches was launched on 4 November and had not been priced when we checkedAa3 stable (Moody's), AA- negative (S&P), as stated in the term sheet
Alphabet2 Nov 2026€6bn2028: 3.700%, 750 · 2030: 4.050%, 1,250 · 2032: 4.250%, 750 · 2035: 4.500%, 750 · 2039: 4.875%, 750 · 2045: 5.250%, 1,000plus €750m of floating rate notes due 2028; euro coupons are not comparable with dollar coupons because base interest rates differNot stated

Also in the filings: Oracle sold its US$10bn of notes alongside 86,206,897 new shares (Oracle via SEC EDGAR: Prospectus supplement for 86,206,897 shares of common stock, filed 4 Nov 2026 (424B5) (opens in a new tab)), and its own debt, capex and backlog are tracked in AI clouds on borrowed money. Meta launched its first euro bonds on 4 November in six tranches, with amounts not yet filled in when we checked (Meta via SEC EDGAR: Preliminary prospectus supplement for euro senior notes, 4 Nov 2026 (424B5, amounts not yet completed) (opens in a new tab)). Bloomberg reports that Microsoft's bond was its first US offering since 2017 (Bloomberg Law: Oracle Raises $20 Billion for AI Growth as Meta Weighs New Debt (Microsoft's first US offering since 2017, as reported) (opens in a new tab), reported).

Our commentary (not advice): the filings show the largest AI spenders moving from paying for data centres out of cash flow to borrowing for a large part of it, and paying higher coupons on long-dated money than on short. For suppliers of cooling, power and construction, order books now depend partly on bond markets staying open to these buyers, not only on their cash flow. Signs to watch are the next 10-Q filings (debt and interest cost), the pricing of Meta's euro bonds and whether coupons on new deals keep rising. Related: is capex bigger than their cash flow?, Oracle and CoreWeave debt and backlog, hyperscaler capex 2026.

Chip makers: NVIDIA vs AMD vs Broadcom revenue, gross margin and data centre sales by quarter Filed

Not investment advice. Revenue, gross profit and operating income are GAAP figures from each company's 10-Q and 10-K on SEC EDGAR. Fourth fiscal quarters are not filed on their own, so they are our calculation (full year less nine months), and so are all margins and shares. Guidance is each company's own forecast with its date, not ours. We do not rate the shares.

Key takeaways

  • NVIDIA's revenue roughly doubled in a year, from US$46.7bn to US$96.2bn a quarter, and 92% of it now comes from data centres.
  • Broadcom's AI chip revenue (US$16.7bn, up 221%) grew fastest of the three measures. Broadcom attributes the demand to custom AI accelerators and networking.
  • AMD's data centre revenue more than doubled to US$6.7bn, but its gross margin (53.8%) is far below NVIDIA's (75.0%).

These three companies design many of the chips going into AI data centres: GPUs from NVIDIA and AMD, and custom accelerators and network chips from Broadcom. Every chip they sell has to be installed in a rack with power and cooling, so their results are a useful read-across for data centre builders and suppliers. See how chip power drives rack density and cooling.

Flag of United StatesNVIDIAFlag of United StatesAMDFlag of United StatesBroadcom

Confirmed

US$89.0bn

NVIDIA data center segment revenue, Q2 FY27, up 117% on a year earlier

Source: NVIDIA via SEC EDGAR: NVIDIA Announces Financial Results for Second Quarter Fiscal 2027 (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 26 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

US$6.7bn

AMD data center segment revenue, Q2 2026, up 107% on a year earlier

Source: AMD via SEC EDGAR: AMD Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 4 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

75.0%

NVIDIA GAAP gross margin, Q2 FY27, against 72.4% a year earlier

Source: NVIDIA via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 26 July 2026 (filed 26 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Quarterly revenue as filed: NVIDIA, AMD and Broadcom (US$bn) Filed

Each company's fiscal quarter is placed under the calendar quarter it mostly covers (our alignment), and the tooltip shows the exact fiscal quarter. NVIDIA's fiscal year ends in late January, so Q2 FY27 is 27 April to 26 July 2026. AMD's fiscal year follows the calendar year. Broadcom's fiscal year ends in early November, so Q3 FY26 is 4 May to 2 August 2026. Fourth fiscal quarters are our calculation from the 10-K. Hover or tap a quarter for details.

Sources: NVIDIA via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 26 July 2026 (filed 26 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab); NVIDIA via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 26 October 2025 (filed 19 Nov 2025) (opens in a new tab); NVIDIA via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-K for the year ended 25 January 2026 (filed 25 Feb 2026) (opens in a new tab); NVIDIA via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 26 April 2026 (filed 20 May 2026) (opens in a new tab); AMD via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 27 June 2026 (filed 5 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab); AMD via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 27 September 2025 (filed 5 Nov 2025) (opens in a new tab); AMD via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-K for the year ended 27 December 2025 (filed 4 Feb 2026) (opens in a new tab); AMD via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 28 March 2026 (filed 6 May 2026) (opens in a new tab); Broadcom via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 2 August 2026 (filed 10 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab); Broadcom via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-K for the year ended 2 November 2025 (filed 18 Dec 2025) (opens in a new tab); Broadcom via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 1 February 2026 (filed 11 Mar 2026) (opens in a new tab); Broadcom via SEC EDGAR: Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 3 May 2026 (filed 9 Jun 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 4 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
Company and fiscal quarterCalendar quarter (our alignment)Revenue (US$m)Gross profit (US$m)Operating income (US$m)
NVIDIA Q2 FY26 (28 Apr to 27 Jul 2025)Q2 202546,74333,85328,440
NVIDIA Q3 FY26 (28 Jul to 26 Oct 2025)Q3 202557,00641,84936,010
NVIDIA Q4 FY26 (27 Oct 2025 to 25 Jan 2026), our calculationQ4 202568,12751,09344,299
NVIDIA Q1 FY27 (26 Jan to 26 Apr 2026)Q1 202681,61561,15753,536
NVIDIA Q2 FY27 (27 Apr to 26 Jul 2026)Q2 202696,22172,14263,734
AMD Q2 2025 (to 28 Jun 2025)Q2 20257,6853,059-134
AMD Q3 2025 (to 27 Sep 2025)Q3 20259,2464,7801,270
AMD Q4 2025 (to 27 Dec 2025), our calculationQ4 202510,2705,5771,752
AMD Q1 2026 (to 28 Mar 2026)Q1 202610,2535,4161,476
AMD Q2 2026 (to 27 Jun 2026)Q2 202611,5366,2031,990
Broadcom Q3 FY25 (5 May to 3 Aug 2025)Q2 202515,95210,7035,887
Broadcom Q4 FY25 (4 Aug to 2 Nov 2025), our calculationQ3 202518,01512,2497,508
Broadcom Q1 FY26 (3 Nov 2025 to 1 Feb 2026)Q4 202519,31113,1578,563
Broadcom Q2 FY26 (2 Feb to 3 May 2026)Q1 202622,18715,41510,788
Broadcom Q3 FY26 (4 May to 2 Aug 2026)Q2 202629,59120,45615,955
GAAP gross margin by quarter: NVIDIA, AMD and Broadcom (% of revenue) Filed

Gross margin is revenue less the cost of making and delivering the products, as a share of revenue (our calculation from filed figures). A percentage, so it has its own chart. Q2 2025 includes about US$800m of inventory and related charges for Instinct MI308 GPUs after US export controls, as stated by AMD. The tooltip also shows operating margin.

Sources: the same 10-Q and 10-K filings as the revenue chart above. Accessed 4 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
Company and fiscal quarterGross margin, our calculation (%)Operating margin, our calculation (%)
NVIDIA Q2 FY26 (28 Apr to 27 Jul 2025)72.460.8
NVIDIA Q3 FY26 (28 Jul to 26 Oct 2025)73.463.2
NVIDIA Q4 FY26 (27 Oct 2025 to 25 Jan 2026)7565
NVIDIA Q1 FY27 (26 Jan to 26 Apr 2026)74.965.6
NVIDIA Q2 FY27 (27 Apr to 26 Jul 2026)7566.2
AMD Q2 2025 (to 28 Jun 2025)39.8-1.7
AMD Q3 2025 (to 27 Sep 2025)51.713.7
AMD Q4 2025 (to 27 Dec 2025)54.317.1
AMD Q1 2026 (to 28 Mar 2026)52.814.4
AMD Q2 2026 (to 27 Jun 2026)53.817.3
Broadcom Q3 FY25 (5 May to 3 Aug 2025)67.136.9
Broadcom Q4 FY25 (4 Aug to 2 Nov 2025)6841.7
Broadcom Q1 FY26 (3 Nov 2025 to 1 Feb 2026)68.144.3
Broadcom Q2 FY26 (2 Feb to 3 May 2026)69.548.6
Broadcom Q3 FY26 (4 May to 2 Aug 2026)69.153.9
How much of each company is data centre or AI business? Share of latest-quarter revenue (%) Filed

Each company measures this differently: NVIDIA and AMD report a Data Center segment, while Broadcom reports AI semiconductor revenue, a company measure inside its semiconductor segment. So the bars show each company's own split, not a like-for-like market share.

Sources: NVIDIA via SEC EDGAR: NVIDIA Announces Financial Results for Second Quarter Fiscal 2027 (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 26 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab); AMD via SEC EDGAR: AMD Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 4 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab); Broadcom via SEC EDGAR: Broadcom Inc. Announces Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results and Quarterly Dividend (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 2 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 4 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
CompanyQuarterMeasureData centre or AI revenue (US$m)Total revenue (US$m)Share, our calculation (%)
NVIDIAQ2 FY27 (27 Apr to 26 Jul 2026)Data Center segment revenue89,00096,22192
AMDQ2 2026 (to 27 Jun 2026)Data Center segment revenue6,70011,53658
BroadcomQ3 FY26 (4 May to 2 Aug 2026)AI semiconductor revenue (company measure)16,70029,59156
Next-quarter revenue guidance (US$bn, company forecasts) Forecast

Ranges are the companies' own forecasts, given with their last results: NVIDIA for Q3 FY27 (to late October 2026), AMD for Q4 2026 (to late December 2026), Broadcom for Q4 FY26 (to 1 November 2026). Broadcom gave a single figure. Exact wording is in the table. These are not CoolPower Index forecasts.

Sources: NVIDIA via SEC EDGAR: NVIDIA Announces Financial Results for Second Quarter Fiscal 2027 (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 26 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab); AMD Investor Relations: AMD Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results (press release, 3 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab); Broadcom via SEC EDGAR: Broadcom Inc. Announces Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results and Quarterly Dividend (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 2 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 4 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
CompanyQuarterCompany guidance
NVIDIAQ3 FY27 (to late October 2026)Revenue of US$108.0bn, plus or minus 2%, with GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins of 74.0%, plus or minus 50 basis points. NVIDIA assumes no Data Center compute revenue from China.
AMDQ4 2026 (to late December 2026)Revenue of about US$17bn, plus or minus 3%, and non-GAAP gross margin of about 55% (given 3 Nov 2026 with Q3 results). The range in the chart is our arithmetic on AMD's plus or minus 3%.
BroadcomQ4 FY26 (to 1 November 2026)Revenue of about US$34.8bn and AI semiconductor revenue of about US$21.7bn, with non-GAAP operating income of about 66% of revenue.

Just reported: AMD Q3 2026, data centre sales nearly double Filed

Not investment advice. Figures from AMD's Q3 2026 earnings release and slides filed on 3 November 2026 (GAAP, US$). Segment margins and the guidance check are our calculation. Guidance is AMD's own forecast, not ours.

Confirmed

US$8.5bn

Data Center segment revenue, Q3 2026, up 97% on a year earlier

Source: AMD Investor Relations: AMD Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results (press release, 3 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

64%

of AMD's revenue came from data centres in Q3 2026, against 47% a year earlier (our calculation)

Confirmed

33.7%

Data Center operating margin, against 24.7% a year earlier (our calculation from segment figures)

Projected

US$17.0bn

Q4 2026 revenue guidance midpoint, plus or minus 3% (AMD forecast, not ours)

Source: AMD Investor Relations: AMD Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results (press release, 3 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab)

AMD revenue by segment: Q3 2025, Q2 2026 and Q3 2026 (US$bn) Filed

Bars show each segment a year apart and a quarter apart. Client and Gaming are one reporting segment at AMD and are shown as its two disclosed businesses. Tap or hover a segment for year-on-year change and operating margin (our calculation).

Sources: AMD Investor Relations: AMD Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results (press release, 3 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab); AMD via SEC EDGAR: AMD Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results (8-K, 3 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab); AMD via SEC EDGAR: Q3 2026 financial results slides (8-K Exhibit 99.2, 3 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab). Published 3 November 2026, accessed 4 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
Segment or businessQ3 2025 revenue (US$m)Q2 2026 revenue (US$m)Q3 2026 revenue (US$m)Year-on-year change, our calculation (%)Operating margin Q3 2026, our calculation (%)
Data Center4,3416,7188,5469733.7
Client2,7503,0622,9497reported with Gaming
Gaming1,298779773-40reported with Gaming
Embedded8579771,1092940.8
Total9,24611,53613,3774521.2
AMD guidance against the result: Q3 2026 range, Q3 actual and Q4 2026 range (US$bn) Forecast

Q3 guidance was given on 4 August 2026 and Q4 guidance on 3 November 2026, both AMD forecasts. The middle bar is reported Q3 2026 revenue, drawn in the same style only so the three sit on one scale. These are not CoolPower Index forecasts.

Sources: AMD via SEC EDGAR: AMD Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 4 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab); AMD Investor Relations: AMD Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results (press release, 3 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 4 Nov 2026.

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ItemLow (US$m)High (US$m)Basis
Q3 2026 guidance, given 4 Aug 202612,70013,300AMD forecast
Q3 2026 reported revenue13,37713,377Filed 3 Nov 2026
Q4 2026 guidance, given 3 Nov 202616,49017,510AMD forecast (about US$17bn plus or minus 3%, range our arithmetic)

Below the headline (from the release): GAAP net income included a US$1.1bn charge for the change in fair value of warrants AMD issued to certain customers, which AMD says moves with its share price and does not affect non-GAAP results or free cash flow. Free cash flow was US$0.6bn, against US$1.5bn a year earlier, and total debt rose to US$7.1bn from US$3.2bn at the end of June. AMD says Anthropic, Meta, Microsoft, OpenAI and Oracle Cloud Infrastructure are running workloads on its first Helios rack-scale systems with Instinct MI450 GPUs. AMD's Q3 2026 quarter is not yet in the five-quarter charts above, which stop at calendar Q2 2026 so all three companies line up; it will move in when NVIDIA and Broadcom have also reported the same calendar quarter. The buyers' side: hyperscaler capex 2026 by quarter.

Our commentary (not advice): chips sold have to be installed in racks with power and cooling, so these results matter beyond the chip industry. All three companies guided higher for the next quarter. NVIDIA keeps about three quarters of each sales dollar as gross profit, against just over half at AMD, and Broadcom attributes its growth to custom AI accelerators and networking. For cooling and power suppliers the mix matters, because the newest rack-scale systems from NVIDIA (GB300 NVL72) and AMD (MI455X) are specified for liquid cooling, while custom accelerators follow each buyer's own rack design. Dates to watch: NVIDIA: NVIDIA reports Q3 FY27 on 17 November 2026 (opens in a new tab). Related: TSMC vs SK hynix vs Micron (memory and foundry), AI clouds on borrowed money, hyperscaler free cash flow, Rubin shipping specifications, NVIDIA Kyber explained.

AI servers and switches: Supermicro and Arista earnings, Q3 2026 Filed

Not investment advice. Figures from each company's results release of 3 November 2026 for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (US$, GAAP unless stated). Supermicro calls its figures preliminary and unaudited. Margins, growth rates and the cash bridge sums are our calculation. Guidance and targets are each company's own, not ours. We do not rate the shares.

Key takeaways

  • Supermicro's sales rose about 298% in a year to US$19.9bn, more than five times Arista's US$3.7bn. Arista grew 58.5%, which it calls its fastest since its IPO.
  • The two earn very different margins: Supermicro kept 10.4% of sales as operating income, Arista 44.9% (our calculation).
  • Supermicro's record profit did not turn into cash this quarter: money owed by customers and inventory grew by about US$6.0bn, so operating cash flow was minus US$0.4bn even after US$3.1bn of customer prepayments (deferred revenue).

Every AI rack needs servers to hold the chips and switches to connect them. Supermicro builds the servers and complete racks, many of them liquid cooled, and Arista sells the Ethernet switches that join GPUs into clusters. Both report the same calendar quarter, so their results are a direct read on how fast AI clusters are being built, one step after the chip makers and one step before the power and cooling suppliers.

Flag of United StatesSupermicro · AI servers and rack-scale systems, including direct liquid cooled racksFlag of United StatesArista Networks · Ethernet switches and routers for AI and cloud data centres

Confirmed

US$19.9bn

Supermicro net sales, Q1 FY2027 (Jul to Sep 2026), against US$5.0bn a year earlier (preliminary)

Source: Supermicro (Business Wire): Supermicro Announces First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2027 Financial Results (3 Nov 2026, preliminary, unaudited) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

US$3.66bn

Arista revenue, Q3 2026, up 58.5% on a year earlier and above its own US$3.3bn guidance

Source: Arista Networks (Business Wire): Arista Networks, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results (3 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Projected

4,000

direct liquid cooled racks a month Supermicro says it is on track to build by December 2026, out of more than 8,000 racks (company target)

Source: The Motley Fool: Super Micro (SMCI) Q1 2027 Earnings Call Transcript (3 Nov 2026 call) (opens in a new tab)

Projected

77

US$bn, midpoint of Supermicro's fiscal 2027 sales guidance of US$72bn to US$82bn (company forecast, not ours)

Source: Supermicro (Business Wire): Supermicro Announces First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2027 Financial Results (3 Nov 2026, preliminary, unaudited) (opens in a new tab)

Quarterly revenue a year apart: Supermicro and Arista, July to September (US$bn) Filed

Both quarters end on 30 September, so the bars compare the same three months. Supermicro's fiscal year starts in July, so these are its Q1 FY2026 and Q1 FY2027. Tap a legend item to hide a year, and hover or tap a company for growth.

Sources: Supermicro (Business Wire): Supermicro Announces First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2027 Financial Results (3 Nov 2026, preliminary, unaudited) (opens in a new tab); Arista Networks (Business Wire): Arista Networks, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results (3 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab); Arista Networks via SEC EDGAR: Form 8-K, results for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (filed 3 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab). Published 3 November 2026, accessed 4 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
Company and fiscal quarterRevenue (US$m)Gross profit (US$m)Operating income (US$m)Net income (US$m)
Supermicro Q1 FY2026 (Jul to Sep 2025)5,017.8467.4182.3168.3
Supermicro Q1 FY2027 (Jul to Sep 2026)19,945.82,5412,064.51,594.2
Arista Networks Q3 2025 (Jul to Sep 2025)2,308.31,490.2978.2853
Arista Networks Q3 2026 (Jul to Sep 2026)3,657.62,325.71,642.41,560.4
Gross and operating margin, July to September 2025 and 2026 (% of revenue) Filed

Gross margin is revenue less the cost of the products sold, operating margin also takes off research, sales and admin costs, both GAAP and as a share of revenue (our calculation from the released figures). Supermicro's gross margin was 17.5% in the April to June quarter, its release says, so the latest quarter fell back from that.

Sources: the same two releases as the revenue chart. Accessed 4 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
MeasureJul to Sep 2025 (%)Jul to Sep 2026 (%)
Supermicro gross margin9.312.7
Supermicro operating margin3.610.4
Arista Networks gross margin64.663.6
Arista Networks operating margin42.444.9
Why Supermicro's record profit came with negative operating cash flow, July to September 2026 (US$bn) Filed

Green bars add cash, red bars take it away, and the dark bar is the result. From the condensed cash flow statement in the release. Receivables are money owed by customers, prepayments are deferred revenue (customers paying before delivery), non-cash items are depreciation, share-based pay and other non-cash lines. Non-cash items and other working capital are our sums of the lines shown there.

Source: Supermicro (Business Wire): Supermicro Announces First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2027 Financial Results (3 Nov 2026, preliminary, unaudited) (opens in a new tab) (condensed consolidated statement of cash flows, preliminary). Accessed 4 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
LineUS$m
Net income1,594.2
Non-cash153.8
Receivables-3,559.8
Inventory-2,477.4
Prepayments3,053.7
Other working capital801.5
Operating cash flow-434.0
Forecast What each company expects next (their forecasts, given 3 November 2026, not ours)
CompanyPeriodCompany guidanceSource
SupermicroQ2 FY2027 (Oct to Dec 2026)Net sales of US$19.5bn to US$21.5bn for the quarter ending 31 December 2026Supermicro (Business Wire): Supermicro Announces First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2027 Financial Results (3 Nov 2026, preliminary, unaudited) (opens in a new tab)
SupermicroFiscal year 2027 (Jul 2026 to Jun 2027)Net sales of US$72.0bn to US$82.0bn, raised on the call from US$65bn to US$72bnSupermicro (Business Wire): Supermicro Announces First Quarter of Fiscal Year 2027 Financial Results (3 Nov 2026, preliminary, unaudited) (opens in a new tab)
Arista NetworksQ4 2026 (Oct to Dec 2026)Revenue of US$3.9bn to US$4.0bn and a non-GAAP operating margin of 48% to 49%Arista Networks (Business Wire): Arista Networks, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results (3 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab)
Arista Networks2027 (first outlook)About US$18.5bn, growth of 38% to 40%, said on the callThe Motley Fool: Arista (ANET) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (3 Nov 2026 call) (opens in a new tab)

What the companies said about racks, cooling and scale (company statements and targets, not verified by us):

Our commentary (not advice): for data centre builders the useful signal is the rack count, not the share price. If Supermicro reaches its own target of more than 4,000 direct liquid cooled racks a month, each of those racks needs a coolant distribution unit or a share of one, plus heat rejection outside, so the target is a read-across to CDU, pump and dry cooler demand. Arista's move into liquid-cooled switch racks points the same way. Both are company targets, and Supermicro's results are still preliminary. See how the secondary cooling loop works and what 1 GW of IT load needs in power and water.

Flag of United States AI optical networking stocks: Corning, Coherent and Lumentum results to September 2026 Filed

Not investment advice. Figures are from each company's own quarterly report (10-Q) and results release: Corning for Q3 2026 (to 30 September, released 27 October), Coherent for its fiscal Q1 2027 (to 30 September, 4 November) and Lumentum for its fiscal Q1 2027 (to 26 September, 2 November 2026). Revenue and gross profit are GAAP figures as filed. Growth rates, shares and margins are our calculation. Segment profit is each company's own measure, so it is shown in the table, not compared on a chart. Guidance is the companies' own.

Every GPU in an AI cluster talks to thousands of others through optical links: fibre and connectors from the rack to the spine, laser-driven transceivers at each end, and, increasingly, optical circuit switches and optics packaged next to the chip. These three listed US companies make much of that kit, so their results show how fast AI networks are being built. For data centre teams, more optics means more heat at the switch and the rack, and more fibre to plan into halls and between campuses.

Confirmed

79.1%

rise in Coherent's Datacenter & Communications revenue on a year earlier, to US$1.95bn (our calculation)

Source: Coherent Corp. (SEC filing): Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

84%

growth in Corning's Enterprise Networks sales (including hyperscale data centres) in Q3 2026, as stated

Source: Corning (SEC filing, Exhibit 99.1): Corning Reports Third-Quarter 2026 Financial Results (27 October 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

136.5%

rise in Lumentum's quarterly revenue on a year earlier, to US$1.26bn

Source: Lumentum (SEC filing): Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 26 September 2026 (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

more than US$108m

Lumentum revenue from optical circuit switches in the quarter, as stated in its 10-Q

Source: Lumentum (SEC filing): Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 26 September 2026 (opens in a new tab)

Revenue from data centres and networks, a year earlier and latest quarter (US$bn) Filed

Corning: Optical Communications segment. Coherent: Datacenter & Communications segment. Lumentum reports no data centre line, so its whole revenue is shown. Each segment also sells to telecom carriers, so none of these is pure data centre revenue. The quarters end on slightly different dates (tap a bar).

Sources: Corning (SEC filing): Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (opens in a new tab); Coherent Corp. (SEC filing): Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (opens in a new tab); Lumentum (SEC filing): Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 26 September 2026 (opens in a new tab). Accessed 10 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
CompanyLine shownQuarterA year earlier (US$m)Latest (US$m)Change (%, our calculation)Share of company revenue now (%, our calculation)
CorningOptical Communications segmentQ3 2026 (to 30 Sep 2026)165223794449
Coherent Corp.Datacenter & Communications segmentFiscal Q1 2027 (to 30 Sep 2026)10901951.779.182.3
LumentumWhole company (no separate data centre line)Fiscal Q1 2027 (to 26 Sep 2026)533.81262.6136.5100
Gross margin, a year earlier and latest quarter (GAAP gross profit as % of revenue, whole company) Filed

Our calculation from GAAP revenue and cost of sales; it matches the gross margins the companies print (Corning 37.3%, Coherent 39.1%, Lumentum 51.0%). Gross margin depends on product mix (fibre, lasers, modules and, at Corning, display glass and solar), so a higher figure is not a ranking.

Sources: Corning (SEC filing): Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (opens in a new tab); Coherent Corp. (SEC filing): Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 September 2026 (opens in a new tab); Lumentum (SEC filing): Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 26 September 2026 (opens in a new tab). Accessed 10 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
CompanyGross margin a year earlier (%)Gross margin now (%)Profit measure (company's own)A year earlier (US$m)Latest (US$m)
Corning37.137.3Optical Communications segment net income295532
Coherent Corp.36.639.1Datacenter & Communications segment profit269.3508.7
Lumentum3451GAAP income from operations (no segment profit reported)6.7359.8
Lumentum revenue by product type, a year apart (US$m) Filed

Systems, which include cloud transceivers and optical circuit switches, more than tripled. Lumentum's two largest end customers took 37% and 11% of revenue in the quarter. Lumentum has agreed to be bought by Marvell Technology in an all-stock deal the companies value at about US$115bn, expected to close in the first half of 2028 subject to approvals.

Sources: Lumentum (SEC filing): Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 26 September 2026 (opens in a new tab); Marvell Technology and Lumentum: Marvell and Lumentum to combine, creating a category leader in AI connectivity (2 November 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 10 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
Product typeQuarter to 27 Sep 2025 (US$m)Quarter to 26 Sep 2026 (US$m)
Components (laser chips, pump lasers, transport)379.2754.2
Systems (cloud transceivers, optical circuit switches)154.6508.4

What the companies expect (their forecasts, not ours)

Key takeaways

  • Optics is growing faster than the rest of these companies: Coherent's data centre and communications segment was 82.3% of its revenue, against 68.9% a year earlier, and Optical Communications was 49% of Corning's sales.
  • Margins rose with volume at all three, most of all at Lumentum (gross margin 34% to 51%), which points to tight supply of lasers and transceivers. Coherent says it is adding indium phosphide capacity in Sherman, Texas, and Sweden to meet an industry-wide shortage.
  • Buyers are paying up front: Corning recorded a US$1.0bn customer deposit under a supply agreement running to the end of 2029, and Lumentum says its second near- or co-packaged optics win is backed by purchase commitments above US$5bn.
  • Policy is a risk to supply: Reuters reported on 10 November that Microsoft is lobbying against an expected US ban on new models of Chinese optical transceivers (Reuters (via Investing.com): Exclusive: Microsoft presses Trump to scuttle expected ban on Chinese data center technology (10 November 2026) (opens in a new tab)).

Our commentary (not advice): for data centre designers, optics is a power and cooling question as well as a network one. Every pluggable transceiver adds watts at the switch, and co-packaged optics moves that heat onto the switch package, where liquid cooling is more likely. More fibre per rack also takes space in trays and risers. Related: AI servers and switches, chip makers, M&A deals, how chip power drives rack density and cooling, direct liquid cooling.

Memory and foundry: TSMC vs SK hynix vs Micron revenue and margins by quarter Filed

Not investment advice. Revenue and operating income are as each company reported them in its own currency (TSMC in NT$, SK hynix in won, Micron in US$). SK hynix's latest quarter is preliminary and unaudited. Index values and margins are our calculation. Guidance is each company's own forecast with its date, not ours. We do not rate the shares.

Every AI accelerator is made in a foundry and needs stacks of high bandwidth memory (HBM) beside it. TSMC is a contract chipmaker (a foundry) that manufactures chips other companies design, and SK hynix and Micron make the DRAM and HBM memory that AI servers use. Their results show how hard the AI build-out is pulling on chip supply before the chips reach a data centre rack.

Key takeaways

  • Memory grew fastest: revenue in the latest quarter was about 4.3 times a year earlier at SK hynix and 4.8 times at Micron, against 1.5 times at TSMC (our calculation, each in its own currency).
  • Margins swapped places: a year ago TSMC had the highest operating margin of the three (50.6%). In Q3 2026 SK hynix (79.7%) and Micron (80.7%) were both above TSMC (58.7%).
  • AI is most of TSMC: high performance computing, which includes AI accelerators, was 68% of TSMC revenue in 3Q26, up from 57% a year earlier.

Flag of TaiwanTSMCFlag of South KoreaSK hynixFlag of United StatesMicron

Flag of TaiwanConfirmed

US$46.7bn

TSMC revenue in 3Q26 (NT$1,494.24bn), up 50.9% on a year earlier in NT$

Source: TSMC: TSMC Reports Third Quarter EPS of NT$29.43 (15 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Flag of South KoreaConfirmed

104.6 tn won

SK hynix revenue in 3Q26, up 327.9% on a year earlier (preliminary)

Source: SK hynix Newsroom: SK hynix Announces 3Q26 Financial Results (28 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Flag of United StatesConfirmed

US$54.2bn

Micron revenue in its fiscal Q4 2026 (to 3 Sep 2026, 14 weeks), against US$11.3bn a year earlier

Source: Micron via SEC EDGAR: Micron Technology Reports Record Fiscal Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2026 Results (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 30 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

68%

share of TSMC revenue from high performance computing in 3Q26, as reported

Source: TSMC Investor Relations: 3Q26 Management Report (15 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Revenue growth since Q3 2025: TSMC, SK hynix and Micron (index, Q3 2025 = 100, each in its own currency) Filed

An index shows growth without converting currencies: 200 means revenue doubled since Q3 2025. Micron's fiscal quarters are placed under the calendar quarter they mostly cover (our alignment) and its latest quarter had 14 weeks instead of 13, which flatters it slightly. Hover or tap a quarter for the reported revenue. Tap a legend name to hide or show a company.

Sources: TSMC Investor Relations: 3Q26 Management Report (15 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab); TSMC Investor Relations: 1Q26 Management Report (16 Apr 2026) (opens in a new tab); TSMC Investor Relations: 4Q25 Management Report (15 Jan 2026) (opens in a new tab); SK hynix Newsroom: SK hynix Announces 3Q26 Financial Results (28 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab); SK hynix Newsroom: SK hynix Announces 1Q26 Financial Results (23 Apr 2026) (opens in a new tab); SK hynix Newsroom: SK hynix Announces FY25 Financial Results (28 Jan 2026) (opens in a new tab); Micron via SEC EDGAR: Micron Technology Reports Record Fiscal Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2026 Results (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 30 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab); SEC EDGAR: Micron Technology company facts (XBRL from 10-Q and 10-K filings, fiscal 2025 and 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 2 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
Company and quarterCalendar quarter (our alignment)Revenue as reportedOperating income as reportedIndex (Q3 2025 = 100)
TSMC 3Q25Q3 2025NT$989.92bnNT$500.69bn100
TSMC 4Q25Q4 2025NT$1,046.09bnNT$564.9bn106
TSMC 1Q26Q1 2026NT$1,134.1bnNT$658.97bn115
TSMC 2Q26Q2 2026NT$1,270.38bnNT$766.6bn128
TSMC 3Q26Q3 2026NT$1,494.24bnNT$876.45bn151
SK hynix 3Q25Q3 202524.4 trillion won11.4 trillion won100
SK hynix 4Q25Q4 202532.8 trillion won19.2 trillion won134
SK hynix 1Q26Q1 202652.6 trillion won37.6 trillion won215
SK hynix 2Q26Q2 202679.3 trillion won60.5 trillion won324
SK hynix 3Q26Q3 2026104.6 trillion won83.3 trillion won428
Micron FQ4 2025 (May to Aug 2025), our calculationQ3 2025US$11.3bnUS$3.7bn100
Micron FQ1 2026 (Aug to Nov 2025)Q4 2025US$13.6bnUS$6.1bn121
Micron FQ2 2026 (Nov 2025 to Feb 2026)Q1 2026US$23.9bnUS$16.1bn211
Micron FQ3 2026 (Feb to May 2026)Q2 2026US$41.5bnUS$33.3bn366
Micron FQ4 2026 (May to Sep 2026, 14 weeks), our calculationQ3 2026US$54.2bnUS$43.8bn479
Operating margin by quarter: TSMC, SK hynix and Micron (% of revenue) Filed

Operating income as a share of revenue, our calculation from the reported figures (TSMC TIFRS, SK hynix K-IFRS, Micron GAAP). Accounting standards differ, so read the lines as a trend rather than an exact comparison. A percentage, so it has its own chart.

Sources: the same releases and filings as the chart above. Accessed 2 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
Calendar quarterTSMC operating marginSK hynix operating marginMicron operating margin
Q3 202550.6%46.6%32.3%
Q4 202554%58.4%45%
Q1 202658.1%71.5%67.6%
Q2 202660.3%76.3%80.4%
Q3 202658.7%79.7%80.7%
TSMC: high performance computing (HPC) share of revenue by quarter (%) Filed

TSMC groups revenue by platform. HPC covers the processors and AI accelerators that go into data centres and PCs. Smartphones were 21% of revenue in 3Q26. Hover or tap a bar for revenue and gross margin.

Sources: TSMC Investor Relations: 3Q26 Management Report (15 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab); TSMC Investor Relations: 1Q26 Management Report (16 Apr 2026) (opens in a new tab); TSMC Investor Relations: 4Q25 Management Report (15 Jan 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 2 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
QuarterHPC shareNet revenue (NT$bn)Net revenue (US$bn)Gross margin
3Q2557%989.9233.1059.5%
4Q2555%1,046.0933.7362.3%
1Q2661%1,134.135.9066.2%
2Q2666%1,270.3840.2067.7%
3Q2668%1,494.2446.7266.4%
Next-quarter revenue guidance: TSMC and Micron (US$bn, company forecasts) Forecast

Ranges are the companies' own forecasts, given with their last results. SK hynix does not give numeric revenue guidance, so it is not shown. These are not CoolPower Index forecasts.

Sources: TSMC Investor Relations: 2026 Q3 Quarterly Results and 4Q26 guidance (opens in a new tab); Micron via SEC EDGAR: Micron Technology Reports Record Fiscal Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2026 Results (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 30 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 2 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
CompanyQuarterWhat the company said
TSMC4Q26Revenue US$52.3bn to US$54.3bn, gross margin 65.0% to 67.0%, operating margin 56.5% to 58.5%, at an assumed US$1 = NT$31.8 (given 15 Oct 2026). TSMC Investor Relations: 2026 Q3 Quarterly Results and 4Q26 guidance (opens in a new tab)
SK hynix4Q26No numeric revenue guidance. In its 3Q26 release SK hynix says it has signed long-term agreements with 14 major customers, including leading cloud companies, covering more than 50% of its 2027 to 2028 production capacity (company statement, 28 Oct 2026). SK hynix Newsroom: SK hynix Announces 3Q26 Financial Results (28 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab)
MicronFQ1 2027Revenue US$61.5bn plus or minus US$1.5bn, GAAP gross margin about 85.95% (given 30 Sep 2026). Micron via SEC EDGAR: Micron Technology Reports Record Fiscal Fourth-Quarter and Full-Year 2026 Results (8-K Exhibit 99.1, 30 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Our commentary (not advice): memory makers are now earning margins that used to belong to the foundry. A year ago Micron kept about a third of its revenue as operating profit. In its latest quarter it kept 80.7%, and SK hynix 79.7%. That points to memory, not only GPUs, as a constraint on how many AI servers can be built, which matters for data centre schedules and for the cooling and power orders that follow them. SK hynix says long-term agreements cover more than half of its 2027 to 2028 production capacity. Dates to watch: TSMC's monthly revenue reports and its 4Q26 results against the guidance above, and Micron's fiscal Q1 2027 results against its own range. Related: NVIDIA vs AMD vs Broadcom, chip power and rack density, Asia Pacific.

Who is buying data centre cooling and power companies? M&A deals, prices and multiples, 2024 to 2026 Committed

Not investment advice. Prices are the headline figures in each buyer's or seller's announcement, on the basis and in the currency it states (cash at closing, purchase price, enterprise value or total transaction value). Earn-outs are shown separately and never added in. Multiples are the buyer's own unless marked as our calculation. Deals are not added up because the bases differ. This is a tracker of announced deals, not a complete census, and we do not rate the shares.

Liquid cooling and power distribution have become things the biggest equipment groups would rather buy than build. Since October 2024, makers of electrical gear (Eaton, Schneider Electric, nVent, Vertiv), HVAC groups (Trane Technologies, Johnson Controls), and newcomers from water chemistry (Ecolab), oilfield services (SLB), electronics manufacturing (Flex), building materials (Kingspan) and consumer electronics (Samsung) have all paid for cooling or power specialists. For buyers of equipment this matters because a supplier you know may now sit inside a larger group, with new contracts, support routes and product bundles. See the supplier directory and Q3 results of listed suppliers.

Key takeaways

  • Liquid cooling makers fetched the highest multiples: buyers stated about 29 times EBITDA for CoolIT Systems and 22.5 times for Boyd Thermal. The other deals with a multiple, cooling (Kelvion about 11, PurgeRite about 10) and power (9.4 to 13), sat between about 9 and 13 times (buyers' figures and our calculation, on different years' EBITDA).
  • The largest deal is still Eaton and Boyd Thermal: US$9.5bn, announced 3 Nov 2025, of which US$1.5bn of Boyd Thermal's forecast 2026 sales of US$1.7bn is liquid cooling.
  • 2026 is busier: 14 of the 19 deals we track were announced in 2026, and Vertiv alone has made 4 purchases since November 2025 (PurgeRite, Strategic Thermal Labs, UtilityInnovation Group, King Environmental Services).

Flag of United StatesMotivairFlag of United StatesFibrebondFlag of GermanyFläktGroupFlag of United StatesBoyd ThermalFlag of United StatesPurgeRiteFlag of United StatesLiquidStackFlag of United StatesAlloy EnterprisesFlag of IrelandBMC Manufacturing GroupFlag of United StatesMaverick PowerFlag of United StatesUtilityInnovation GroupFlag of United StatesEPC PowerFlag of United StatesFlow Control HoldingsFlag of ItalyCOL GroupFlag of IrelandKing Environmental Services

Confirmed

19

cooling and power deals tracked since October 2024, 14 of them announced in 2026

Sources: company announcements listed below

Confirmed

US$9.5bn

largest headline price: Eaton for Boyd Thermal (liquid cooling), completed 12 Mar 2026

Source: Eaton: Eaton signs agreement to acquire Boyd Thermal (3 Nov 2025) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

29x

highest stated multiple: Ecolab paid about 29 times CoolIT's estimated next-12-month adjusted EBITDA

Source: Ecolab: Ecolab to acquire CoolIT Systems (20 Mar 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

4

acquisitions by Vertiv since November 2025 (two services, one cold-plate engineering, one power)

Source: Vertiv announcements

Cooling and power deals by announcement date, October 2024 to November 2026 Committed

Each dot is one announced acquisition or merger, teal for cooling and thermal, amber for power and electrical. Hover or tap a dot for the price, what was bought and whether the deal has closed. Deals with undisclosed prices are included.

Sources: the buyers' and sellers' announcements listed in the table. Accessed 3 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
AnnouncedBuyerBoughtAreaWhat it makes or doesHeadline priceStatusSource
17 Oct 2024Schneider ElectricMotivair (75% stake) (Buffalo, New York)Cooling and thermalLiquid cooling: CDUs, rear door heat exchangers, cold plates and chillersUS$850m in cash for an initial 75% stake, including the value of a tax step-up. Schneider expects to buy the remaining 25% in 2028.Completed 28 Feb 2025Schneider Electric: Schneider Electric acquires Motivair Corporation (17 Oct 2024) (opens in a new tab); Schneider Electric: Schneider Electric completes acquisition of Motivair Corporation (28 Feb 2025) (opens in a new tab)
11 Mar 2025EatonFibrebond (Minden, Louisiana)Power and electricalPre-integrated modular power enclosuresUS$1.4bnCompletedEaton: Eaton signs agreement to acquire Fibrebond Corporation (11 Mar 2025) (opens in a new tab); Eaton: Eaton completes acquisition of Fibrebond (opens in a new tab)
14 May 2025Samsung ElectronicsFläktGroup (Herne, Germany)Cooling and thermalHVAC, including air and liquid cooling for data centres€1.5bn for all sharesCompleted 6 Nov 2025Samsung Global Newsroom: Samsung Electronics acquires leading global HVAC solutions provider FläktGroup (14 May 2025) (opens in a new tab); FläktGroup: Samsung Electronics completes acquisition of HVAC company (6 Nov 2025) (opens in a new tab)
3 Nov 2025EatonBoyd Thermal (United States)Cooling and thermalLiquid cooling and thermal systems (US$1.5bn of forecast 2026 sales of US$1.7bn in liquid cooling)US$9.5bnCompleted 12 Mar 2026Eaton: Eaton signs agreement to acquire Boyd Thermal (3 Nov 2025) (opens in a new tab); Eaton: Eaton completes acquisition of Boyd Thermal (12 Mar 2026) (opens in a new tab)
3 Nov 2025VertivPurgeRite (Houston, Texas)Cooling and thermalFlushing, purging and filtration of liquid cooling loops (services)About US$1.0bn in cash at closing. Plus up to US$250m in cash tied to 2026 performance.Completed 4 Dec 2025Vertiv: Vertiv announces intent to acquire PurgeRite (3 Nov 2025) (opens in a new tab); Vertiv: Vertiv completes acquisition of PurgeRite (4 Dec 2025) (opens in a new tab)
10 Feb 2026Trane TechnologiesLiquidStack (Carrollton, Texas)Cooling and thermalLiquid and immersion coolingNot disclosedSigned, expected to close early 2026 (completion not checked)Trane Technologies: Trane Technologies to acquire LiquidStack (10 Feb 2026) (opens in a new tab)
18 Feb 2026Johnson ControlsAlloy Enterprises (Boston, Massachusetts)Cooling and thermalDirect liquid cooling components (cold plates)Not disclosedSigned, expected to close in Johnson Controls' fiscal Q3 (completion not checked)Johnson Controls: Johnson Controls signs agreement to acquire Alloy Enterprises (18 Feb 2026) (opens in a new tab)
20 Mar 2026EcolabCoolIT SystemsCooling and thermalDirect liquid cooling: CDUs, cold plates, liquid loops and rack manifoldsAbout US$4.75bn in cash at closingCompleted 2 Jul 2026Ecolab: Ecolab to acquire CoolIT Systems (20 Mar 2026) (opens in a new tab); Ecolab: Ecolab closes CoolIT acquisition (2 Jul 2026) (opens in a new tab)
27 Apr 2026VertivStrategic Thermal LabsCooling and thermalCold-plate design and server-side liquid cooling validationNot statedCompleted 27 Apr 2026Vertiv: Vertiv acquires Strategic Thermal Labs (27 Apr 2026) (opens in a new tab)
11 Aug 2026KingspanBMC Manufacturing Group (Ashbourne, Co Meath, Ireland)Power and electricalLow-voltage switchgear and critical power management for data centres€850m initially (€600m cash and €250m in new Kingspan shares), as reported. Up to €50m more deferred, contingent on profit targets (deal worth up to €900m).Completed 25 Sep 2026The Irish Times: Kingspan buys data centre specialist BMC Manufacturing in deal worth up to €900m (11 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab); Kingspan Group plc (Euronext Dublin): Acquisition update: completion of the acquisition of BMC Manufacturing Group (25 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab)
24 Aug 2026nVentMaverick Power (McKinney, Texas)Power and electricalLow- and medium-voltage switchgear, switchboards and modular powerUS$1.75bn. Plus up to US$550m in cash tied to 2027 and 2028 performance.CompletednVent: nVent to acquire Maverick Power (24 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab); nVent: nVent completes acquisition of Maverick Power (opens in a new tab)
31 Aug 2026SLBKelvionCooling and thermalThermal management and heat exchange (data centres expected to be US$1.2bn to US$1.3bn of 2026 revenue)About US$3.4bn in cash plus about US$0.7bn of debt assumedSigned, expected to close in the first half of 2027SLB: SLB to acquire Kelvion (31 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab)
2 Sept 2026VertivUtilityInnovation Group (Raleigh, North Carolina)Power and electricalMicrogrid controls, onsite generation orchestration and behind-the-meter powerAbout US$1.45bn in cash at closing. Plus up to US$1.15bn in cash tied to EBITDA targets over 12 and 24 months.Completed 27 Oct 2026Vertiv: Vertiv announces agreement to acquire UtilityInnovation Group (2 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab); Vertiv: Vertiv completes acquisition of UtilityInnovation Group (27 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab)
3 Sept 2026FlexEPC Power (California)Power and electrical800V data centre power conversion and grid-forming systemsUS$4.4bn. EPC Power expects about US$800m of revenue in 2026 (price about 5.5 times that, our calculation). No EBITDA multiple given.CompletedFlex: Flex to acquire EPC Power (3 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab); Flex: Flex completes acquisition of EPC Power (opens in a new tab)
10 Sept 2026BlackstoneFlow Control Holdings (Cincinnati, Ohio)Cooling and thermalFlow components for CDUs, in-row manifolds and secondary fluid networksNot disclosedSigned, expected to close in Q4 2026Blackstone: Blackstone to acquire Flow Control Holdings (10 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab)
25 Sept 2026EatonCOL Group (Turin, Milan, Bergamo and Catania, Italy)Power and electricalMedium-voltage switchgear (SF6-free), grid automation and modular powerEnterprise value of €810m. COL Group forecasts sales of €250m for 2027.Signed, expected to close in Q1 2027Eaton: Eaton signs agreement to acquire COL Group (25 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab)
14 Oct 20263CDatalec (merger, now 3C Datalec)Cooling and thermalLiquid cooling and data centre engineering servicesNot disclosedMerged3C Datalec: 3C merges with Datalec (14 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab)
26 Oct 2026VertivKing Environmental Services (near Dublin, Ireland)Cooling and thermalFlushing, treatment and commissioning of liquid cooling pipework (services)Not disclosed (not material to Vertiv)Completed 26 Oct 2026Vertiv: Vertiv completes acquisition of King Environmental Services (26 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab)
2 Nov 2026Omen AIAquatic LabsCooling and thermalReal-time coolant chemistry sensingUS$16m in cash and stockCompletedOmen AI via PR Newswire: Omen AI acquires Aquatic Labs (2 Nov 2026) (opens in a new tab)
Headline prices of US$ deals (US$bn, each on its announced basis) Committed

Teal bars are cooling and thermal deals, amber bars power and electrical. Bases differ: Motivair is 75% of the equity, Kelvion includes about US$0.7bn of debt assumed (our sum), and Vertiv's and nVent's earn-outs are not included. Omen AI's US$16m purchase of Aquatic Labs is in the table only. Hover or tap a bar for the basis and source.

Sources: Eaton: Eaton signs agreement to acquire Boyd Thermal (3 Nov 2025) (opens in a new tab); Ecolab: Ecolab to acquire CoolIT Systems (20 Mar 2026) (opens in a new tab); Flex: Flex to acquire EPC Power (3 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab); SLB: SLB to acquire Kelvion (31 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab); nVent: nVent to acquire Maverick Power (24 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab); Vertiv: Vertiv announces agreement to acquire UtilityInnovation Group (2 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab); Eaton: Eaton signs agreement to acquire Fibrebond Corporation (11 Mar 2025) (opens in a new tab); Vertiv: Vertiv announces intent to acquire PurgeRite (3 Nov 2025) (opens in a new tab); Schneider Electric: Schneider Electric acquires Motivair Corporation (17 Oct 2024) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 3 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
DealAreaHeadline priceBasisAnnounced
Eaton / Boyd ThermalCooling and thermalUS$9.5bnPurchase price3 Nov 2025
Ecolab / CoolIT SystemsCooling and thermalAbout US$4.75bn in cash at closingCash at closing20 Mar 2026
Flex / EPC PowerPower and electricalUS$4.4bnTransaction value3 Sept 2026
SLB / KelvionCooling and thermalAbout US$3.4bn in cash plus about US$0.7bn of debt assumedTotal transaction value (cash plus assumed debt, our sum)31 Aug 2026
nVent / Maverick PowerPower and electricalUS$1.75bnPurchase price24 Aug 2026
Vertiv / UtilityInnovation GroupPower and electricalAbout US$1.45bn in cash at closingCash at closing2 Sept 2026
Eaton / FibrebondPower and electricalUS$1.4bnPurchase price11 Mar 2025
Vertiv / PurgeRiteCooling and thermalAbout US$1.0bn in cash at closingCash at closing3 Nov 2025
Schneider Electric / MotivairCooling and thermalUS$850m in cash for an initial 75% stake, including the value of a tax step-upCash for 75% of the equity17 Oct 2024
Headline prices of euro deals (€bn, each on its announced basis) Committed

Shown separately in euros so no exchange rate is chosen for you. Kingspan's figure is the initial price, with up to €50m more deferred.

Sources: Samsung Global Newsroom: Samsung Electronics acquires leading global HVAC solutions provider FläktGroup (14 May 2025) (opens in a new tab); The Irish Times: Kingspan buys data centre specialist BMC Manufacturing in deal worth up to €900m (11 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab); Eaton: Eaton signs agreement to acquire COL Group (25 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 3 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
DealAreaHeadline priceBasisAnnounced
Samsung Electronics / FläktGroupCooling and thermal€1.5bn for all sharesPurchase of all shares14 May 2025
Kingspan / BMC Manufacturing GroupPower and electrical€850m initially (€600m cash and €250m in new Kingspan shares), as reportedInitial consideration11 Aug 2026
Eaton / COL GroupPower and electricalEnterprise value of €810mEnterprise value25 Sept 2026
What buyers paid: price as a multiple of the target's EBITDA (times) Committed

EBITDA is earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation, a common yardstick for deal prices. The years differ (2025, 2026, 2027 or the next 12 months) and some include expected synergies, so read the bars as a rough guide. Fibrebond and BMC are our calculation from the price and the EBITDA figure in the announcement or report.

Sources: Ecolab: Ecolab to acquire CoolIT Systems (20 Mar 2026) (opens in a new tab); Eaton: Eaton signs agreement to acquire Boyd Thermal (3 Nov 2025) (opens in a new tab); Vertiv: Vertiv announces agreement to acquire UtilityInnovation Group (2 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab); Eaton: Eaton signs agreement to acquire Fibrebond Corporation (11 Mar 2025) (opens in a new tab); nVent: nVent to acquire Maverick Power (24 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab); SLB: SLB to acquire Kelvion (31 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab); Vertiv: Vertiv announces intent to acquire PurgeRite (3 Nov 2025) (opens in a new tab); The Irish Times: Kingspan buys data centre specialist BMC Manufacturing in deal worth up to €900m (11 Aug 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 3 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
DealAreaMultipleOn whatWho calculated it
Ecolab / CoolIT SystemsCooling and thermalabout 29xestimated next-12-month adjusted EBITDA (24 times estimated 2027)Stated by the buyer
Eaton / Boyd ThermalCooling and thermalabout 22.5xBoyd Thermal's estimated 2026 adjusted EBITDAStated by the buyer
Vertiv / UtilityInnovation GroupPower and electricalabout 13xexpected 2027 EBITDAStated by the buyer
Eaton / FibrebondPower and electricalabout 12.7x2025 adjusted EBITDA estimate of US$110mOur calculation
nVent / Maverick PowerPower and electricalabout 11.5xanticipated 2026 adjusted EBITDA (about 10.5 times adjusted for tax benefits)Stated by the buyer
SLB / KelvionCooling and thermalabout 11xestimated 2026 EBITDA before synergies (about 8.5 times with expected synergies)Stated by the buyer
Vertiv / PurgeRiteCooling and thermalabout 10xexpected 2026 EBITDA including expected cost synergiesStated by the buyer
Kingspan / BMC Manufacturing GroupPower and electricalabout 9.4xexpected 2026 EBITDA of about €90m, as reportedOur calculation

Our commentary (not advice): the two highest multiples went to makers of direct liquid cooling hardware. Ecolab and Eaton paid more than 20 times EBITDA for CoolIT and Boyd Thermal, while the other cooling, services and power deals with a multiple sat between about 9 and 13 times. That suggests buyers were paying most for proven liquid cooling products and customer relationships, not for cooling or power in general. Several buyers also pay part of the price only if the business keeps growing (Vertiv's earn-outs of up to US$1.15bn for UIG and US$250m for PurgeRite, nVent's up to US$550m for Maverick Power), which shifts some of the risk back to the sellers. For equipment buyers, check who owns your supplier now, whether product lines or service contracts change, and whether a bundled power and cooling offer is better value than buying separately. Dates to watch: SLB and Kelvion (first half of 2027), Eaton and COL Group (Q1 2027) and Blackstone and Flow Control Holdings (Q4 2026). Related: supplier results, cooling technologies, directory.

AI lab funding: Anthropic vs OpenAI valuation over time, rounds and revenue multiples (with Mistral AI), 2025 to 2026 Committed

Not investment advice. These are private companies. Each figure is from the lab's own announcement of a priced round: money raised, lead investors and post-money valuation (what investors valued the company at, including the new money). Run-rate revenue is the company's own statement. Valuation divided by run-rate revenue is our calculation. Mistral AI's rounds are in euros and are never converted or added to the US$ figures. Rounds that are only reported as in talks are shown separately and are not used as a valuation.

The AI labs are the customers behind many of the biggest data centre and chip orders, so how much money they can raise decides how much compute they can sign for. In 2026 alone, Anthropic and OpenAI announced priced rounds that together raised about US$217bn (our sum of 3 announced rounds), and both say the money goes largely on compute. Anthropic's Series H announcement also lists agreements for up to 5 GW of new capacity with Amazon and 5 GW of TPU capacity with Google and Broadcom. See chip makers' results, AI clouds on borrowed money and AI news.

Key takeaways

  • Anthropic overtook OpenAI: its Series H on 28 May 2026 valued it at US$965bn post-money, against US$852bn for OpenAI's round closed on 31 Mar 2026.
  • 15.7 times in 15 months: Anthropic's post-money valuation went from US$61.5bn (Series E, 3 Mar 2025) to US$965bn (our calculation from its announcements).
  • Less paid per dollar of revenue: on Anthropic's own run-rate figures, its valuation was at most about 36.6 times run-rate revenue at the Series F, about 27.1 times at the Series G and at most about 20.5 times at the Series H (our calculation). OpenAI's March 2026 round works out at about 35.5 times its stated US$2bn a month (our calculation).
  • Europe's biggest round is much smaller: Mistral AI raised €3bn at more than €21bn post-money on 8 Sept 2026, led by Samsung Electronics, after ASML led its €1.7bn Series C at €11.7bn a year earlier.

Flag of United StatesAnthropicFlag of United StatesOpenAIFlag of FranceMistral AI

Confirmed

US$965bn

Anthropic post-money valuation after its US$65bn Series H, 28 May 2026

Source: Anthropic: Anthropic raises $65B in Series H funding at $965B post-money valuation (28 May 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

US$852bn

OpenAI post-money valuation after its US$122bn round, closed 31 Mar 2026

Source: OpenAI: OpenAI raises $122 billion to accelerate the next phase of AI (31 Mar 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

US$122bn

largest single round: OpenAI's committed capital, March 2026

Source: OpenAI: OpenAI raises $122 billion to accelerate the next phase of AI (31 Mar 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Confirmed

€21bn+

Mistral AI post-money valuation after its €3bn Series D, 8 Sep 2026

Source: Mistral AI: Mistral raises €3B to make sovereign, open-weight AI the technology frontier (8 Sep 2026) (opens in a new tab)

Post-money valuation at each priced round: Anthropic and OpenAI (US$bn, company announcements) Committed

Orange bars are Anthropic, green bars are OpenAI. Post-money valuations as each company announced them. Hover or tap a bar for the amount raised, the lead investors and what the round included. A valuation is the price investors agreed, not revenue or cash.

Sources: Anthropic: Anthropic raises Series E at $61.5B post-money valuation (3 Mar 2025) (opens in a new tab); OpenAI: New funding to build towards AGI (31 Mar 2025) (opens in a new tab); Anthropic: Anthropic raises $13B Series F at $183B post-money valuation (2 Sep 2025) (opens in a new tab); Anthropic: Anthropic raises $30 billion in Series G funding at $380 billion post-money valuation (12 Feb 2026) (opens in a new tab); OpenAI: OpenAI raises $122 billion to accelerate the next phase of AI (31 Mar 2026) (opens in a new tab); Anthropic: Anthropic raises $65B in Series H funding at $965B post-money valuation (28 May 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 3 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
RoundDateRaisedPost-money valuationLed bySource
Anthropic Series E, Mar 20253 Mar 2025US$3.5bnUS$61.5bnLightspeed Venture PartnersAnthropic
OpenAI SoftBank-led round, Mar 202531 Mar 2025US$40bnUS$300bnSoftBank GroupOpenAI
Anthropic Series F, Sept 20252 Sept 2025US$13bnUS$183bnICONIQAnthropic
Mistral AI Series C, Sept 20259 Sept 2025€1.7bn€11.7bnASMLMistral AI
Anthropic Series G, Feb 202612 Feb 2026US$30bnUS$380bnGIC and CoatueAnthropic
OpenAI funding round, Mar 202631 Mar 2026US$122bnUS$852bnSoftBank, with a16z, D. E. Shaw Ventures, MGX, TPG and T. Rowe Price-advised accountsOpenAI
Anthropic Series H, May 202628 May 2026US$65bnUS$965bnAltimeter, Dragoneer, Greenoaks and Sequoia CapitalAnthropic
Mistral AI Series D, Sept 20268 Sept 2026€3bnmore than €21bnSamsung ElectronicsMistral AI
Money raised in each priced round: Anthropic and OpenAI (US$bn, company announcements) Committed

OpenAI's 2025 round was up to US$40bn paid in two closings. Anthropic's Series G and Series H include money that hyperscalers had committed earlier (US$15bn of the Series H, including US$5bn from Amazon), so not all of it was new that day.

Sources: Anthropic: Anthropic raises Series E at $61.5B post-money valuation (3 Mar 2025) (opens in a new tab); OpenAI: New funding to build towards AGI (31 Mar 2025) (opens in a new tab); Anthropic: Anthropic raises $13B Series F at $183B post-money valuation (2 Sep 2025) (opens in a new tab); Anthropic: Anthropic raises $30 billion in Series G funding at $380 billion post-money valuation (12 Feb 2026) (opens in a new tab); OpenAI: OpenAI raises $122 billion to accelerate the next phase of AI (31 Mar 2026) (opens in a new tab); Anthropic: Anthropic raises $65B in Series H funding at $965B post-money valuation (28 May 2026) (opens in a new tab); SoftBank Group: Announcement regarding follow-on investments in OpenAI (1 Apr 2025) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 3 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
RoundRaisedWhat it included
Anthropic Series E, Mar 2025US$3.5bnAs announced
OpenAI SoftBank-led round, Mar 2025US$40bnUp to US$40bn agreed, paid in two closings (April and December 2025). SoftBank's filing gives a pre-money valuation of US$260bn.
Anthropic Series F, Sept 2025US$13bnAs announced
Anthropic Series G, Feb 2026US$30bnIncludes a portion of the investments previously announced by Microsoft and NVIDIA.
OpenAI funding round, Mar 2026US$122bnCommitted capital. Anchored by Amazon, NVIDIA and SoftBank, with Microsoft. OpenAI also expanded an undrawn revolving credit facility to about US$4.7bn.
Anthropic Series H, May 2026US$65bnIncludes US$15bn of investment previously committed by hyperscalers, of which US$5bn from Amazon. Micron, Samsung and SK hynix joined as strategic investors.
Valuation as a multiple of run-rate revenue at the round (times, our calculation) Our calculation

Post-money valuation divided by the run-rate revenue the company stated in the same announcement. Anthropic said 'over US$5bn' (Series F) and 'crossed US$47bn' (Series H), so those two multiples are upper bounds. OpenAI said it generates US$2bn of revenue a month, which we annualise to US$24bn. Run-rate revenue is a company measure, not audited annual revenue.

Sources: Anthropic: Anthropic raises $13B Series F at $183B post-money valuation (2 Sep 2025) (opens in a new tab); Anthropic: Anthropic raises $30 billion in Series G funding at $380 billion post-money valuation (12 Feb 2026) (opens in a new tab); OpenAI: OpenAI raises $122 billion to accelerate the next phase of AI (31 Mar 2026) (opens in a new tab); Anthropic: Anthropic raises $65B in Series H funding at $965B post-money valuation (28 May 2026) (opens in a new tab). Accessed 3 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
RoundPost-money valuationRun-rate revenue (company statement)Multiple (our calculation)
Anthropic Series F, Sept 2025US$183bnover US$5bn by August 2025at most 36.6x
Anthropic Series G, Feb 2026US$380bnUS$14bnabout 27.1x
OpenAI funding round, Mar 2026US$852bnUS$2bn of revenue a month (US$24bn a year, our annualisation)about 35.5x
Anthropic Series H, May 2026US$965bncrossed US$47bn in May 2026at most 20.5x
Priced rounds by date: Anthropic, OpenAI and Mistral AI, 2025 to 2026 Committed

One dot per priced round. Hover or tap a dot for the amount raised and the post-money valuation, in the currency each company used (Mistral AI in euros).

Sources: the company announcements listed in the table above. Accessed 3 Nov 2026.

Show the data as a table
DateLabRoundRaisedPost-money valuation
3 Mar 2025AnthropicSeries EUS$3.5bnUS$61.5bn
31 Mar 2025OpenAISoftBank-led roundUS$40bnUS$300bn
2 Sept 2025AnthropicSeries FUS$13bnUS$183bn
9 Sept 2025Mistral AISeries C€1.7bn€11.7bn
12 Feb 2026AnthropicSeries GUS$30bnUS$380bn
31 Mar 2026OpenAIfunding roundUS$122bnUS$852bn
28 May 2026AnthropicSeries HUS$65bnUS$965bn
8 Sept 2026Mistral AISeries D€3bnmore than €21bn

In talks, not closed Reported, not confirmed: OpenAI is seeking up to US$20bn, down from about US$30bn, at a reported US$1.25tn post-money valuation. The round had not closed. (31 Oct 2026, CNBC: OpenAI pares fundraising goal, now seeking up to $20B in latest round (31 Oct 2026) (opens in a new tab)) Not used as a valuation above until a round is announced as closed.

Our commentary (not advice): for data centre builders and suppliers, these rounds matter less as prices and more as the cash behind compute contracts. The largest backers are increasingly the companies that sell the labs chips, memory and cloud capacity (Amazon, NVIDIA and Microsoft in OpenAI's round, Micron, Samsung and SK hynix in Anthropic's Series H, Samsung leading Mistral AI's Series D), so part of the money returns to the same supply chain. That is a strength while demand grows and a shared risk if AI revenue disappoints. On its own run-rate figures, Anthropic's valuation has grown more slowly than its revenue since its Series F in September 2025, which narrows that risk for its suppliers. Related: cloud revenue against capex, AI model guide, how much power and water AI data centres use.

Gulf and Africa: where the money is going

Not investment advice. Amounts below are different kinds of money (pledges, planned investment, a cost estimate, a loan, a reported cost) over different periods, so they are shown side by side and never added up.

Saudi Arabia and UAE combined data centre market valuation (US$bn): Knight Frank figure for 2025 and forecast for end 2027 Forecast

Knight Frank's figure for the combined data centre market valuation of Saudi Arabia and the UAE. The end 2027 bar (dashed) is Knight Frank's forecast, published January 2026, not ours.

Source: Knight Frank: Data Centres Global Forecast 2026 (opens in a new tab) Published January 2026. Accessed 31 Oct 2026.

Show the data as a table
PeriodUS$bnType
2025US$35bnKnight Frank figure
End 2027 (forecast)US$115bnForecast (Knight Frank)

Our commentary (not advice): Gulf money is mostly state-linked (PIF's HUMAIN, Abu Dhabi's G42) paired with US hyperscalers and chip makers, while African projects are smaller and often debt-funded or telecom-led (Teraco's rand loan, Vodafone and MTN ventures). Knight Frank's own warning matters for anyone pricing these assets: more than 14 GW of MENA projects announced against about 5 GW it sees as realistic by 2030, and the March 2026 drone strikes on AWS in the UAE and Bahrain added physical risk to the picture. Regional detail: Middle East and Africa data centres.

Flag of BrazilFlag of MexicoFlag of Chile Latin America: hyperscaler pledges and the biggest project budgets

Not investment advice. These are the companies' own headline pledges, each over its own period (three years, through 2034 or 15 years), so they are shown side by side and never added up or turned into yearly rates. Amounts announced in Brazilian reais are shown with the US$ figure the company or Reuters gave at the time.

Hyperscaler cloud and AI investment pledges in Brazil, Mexico and Chile (US$bn, company announcements) Company pledge

Amber bars are AWS, blue bars are Microsoft. Each bar is a separate announcement with its own period and scope: Microsoft's pledges include AI skills programmes as well as infrastructure. Hover or tap a bar for its period, date and source. A pledge is a company statement of intent, not money already spent.

Sources: Amazon (press release): AWS to Launch an Infrastructure Region in Mexico (opens in a new tab); Amazon (press release): Amazon to Invest More Than $4 Billion to Launch Infrastructure Region in Chile (opens in a new tab); Microsoft News Center Brasil: Microsoft announces 14.7 billion Reais investment over three years in Cloud and AI infrastructure (opens in a new tab); About Amazon Brasil: AWS investirá mais de R$10 bilhões para expandir infraestrutura no Brasil (opens in a new tab); Microsoft Source LATAM: Microsoft announces $1.3 billion USD investment in Cloud and AI infrastructure in Mexico (opens in a new tab). Accessed 31 Oct 2026.

Show the data as a table
Company and countryHeadline pledgePeriod and scopeAnnouncedSource
Amazon Web Services, Mexicomore than US$5bnMexico, over 15 years, for the AWS Mexico (Central) Region26 Feb 2024Amazon (press release): AWS to Launch an Infrastructure Region in Mexico (opens in a new tab)
Amazon Web Services, Chilemore than US$4bnChile, long term, for the AWS South America (Chile) Region due by the end of 20267 May 2025Amazon (press release): Amazon to Invest More Than $4 Billion to Launch Infrastructure Region in Chile (opens in a new tab)
Microsoft, BrazilR$14.7bn (about US$2.7bn)Brazil, over three years, cloud and AI infrastructure plus AI skills training. US$ figure as converted by Reuters26 Sept 2024Microsoft News Center Brasil: Microsoft announces 14.7 billion Reais investment over three years in Cloud and AI infrastructure (opens in a new tab)
Amazon Web Services, BrazilR$10.1bn (US$1.8bn)Brazil, through 2034, to expand, build, connect, operate and maintain data centres in São Paulo state. US$ figure as given by AWS11 Sept 2024About Amazon Brasil: AWS investirá mais de R$10 bilhões para expandir infraestrutura no Brasil (opens in a new tab)
Microsoft, MexicoUS$1.3bnMexico, over three years, AI infrastructure plus skills, connectivity and small business programmes24 Sept 2024Microsoft Source LATAM: Microsoft announces $1.3 billion USD investment in Cloud and AI infrastructure in Mexico (opens in a new tab)

Our commentary (not advice): Latin American data centre money is led by US hyperscalers' long-dated pledges and by a few very large single projects, such as Omnia's campus for ByteDance at Pecém. Two things decide how much of it turns into running capacity: grid access (Brazil's data centre requests of 38 GW dwarf the 7,040 MW ONS has accepted) and rules, such as Brazil's Redata tax regime, which still needs its implementing regulation. In Chile, Santiago's vacancy of 4.3% and the AWS region due by the end of 2026 point to tight supply. Regional detail: Latin America data centres.

Planned: company guidance Forecast

Committed: disclosed future payments Committed

Anthropic · 26 Oct 2026

US$542bn to US$567bn of compute and infrastructure commitments

Fortune's total: about US$417bn of agreements with future minimum payments, plus an estimated US$125bn to US$150bn for capacity delivered in 2028 to 2031, where terms are not final and the S-1 gives a range. Datacenterfeed notes the S-1 separately lists about US$245bn signed after 30 June 2026 plus about US$21bn of short-term agreements, which Fortune's range does not mention.

Basis: Company disclosure in an S-1 registration statement that has not yet become effective, as reported by the press. Commitments are future payments, not money spent.

Sources: Fortune: Anthropic plans to spend up to $567 billion on compute and set up its own data centers, S-1 reveals (opens in a new tab), Datacenterfeed: Anthropic's S-1 Discloses $417 Billion in Added Compute Commitments (opens in a new tab)

Reported deals Reported, not confirmed

More reported developments are on AI news.

Capacity: running vs planned

Show data (3 figures)
CompanyTypeFigureSource
SpaceX (Super Intelligence)Operational1.7 GW of compute
Reported for the neocloud business in Q3 2026. 20 Oct 2026.
TechCrunch: SpaceX's AI business is beating expectations (opens in a new tab)
MetaPlannedAbout 1 million GPUs at full scale
Prometheus in New Albany, Ohio. Today it has hundreds of thousands of GPUs; the first phase is complete. 19 Oct 2026.
Engineering at Meta: Inside Prometheus: Meta's Journey to a Gigawatt-Scale Supercluster (opens in a new tab)
Google CloudPlannedUp to 960,000 Rubin GPUs across multiple sites
A5X general availability is due next month (November 2026). 21 Oct 2026.
NVIDIA Blog: Google Cloud and NVIDIA Announce General Availability of NVIDIA Vera Rubin Infrastructure (opens in a new tab)

GW of compute and GPU counts measure different things and are not added together.

Watch

Official videos from the International Energy Agency, Amazon and NVIDIA. They load from YouTube only when you press play. Company videos are promotional, so check figures against the filings above.

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Common questions

Who pays for all these data centres?

Mainly the big tech companies from their own profits, plus a growing amount of borrowed money and investment funds.

What is capex?

Capital expenditure: money a company spends on long-lasting things like buildings, servers and equipment.

Why it matters Big Tech capex is the clearest public sign of how much is being built for AI.

Is there an AI bubble?

Nobody knows. Some analysts warn of one and others do not. We show their views as clearly labelled predictions next to the known facts.

Why it matters Nothing on this site is investment advice.

Where do the money figures come from?

From company filings and named reports, each linked next to the number.

Is AI capex paying off?

Partly. Cloud revenue at AWS, Microsoft Azure and Google Cloud grew 39% to 103% in the year to Q3 2026, but their parent companies' capex grew faster and was larger than cloud revenue in the quarter.

Why it matters Cloud revenue is the clearest public sign that the new data centres are being filled and paid for.

Source: Amazon, Microsoft and Alphabet Q3 2026 results (SEC Form 8-K)

Which US utilities plan to spend the most on capex for data centre growth?

Among six large utilities serving data centre load, Duke Energy (US$103bn for 2026 to 2030) and AEP (US$100bn for 2027 to 2031) have the largest five-year capital plans, followed by Southern Company, Xcel Energy, Entergy and Dominion Energy.

Why it matters Data centres need generation, substations and transmission lines before they can be energised, so these plans show where grid capacity is being built.

Source: Company filings and results releases: Duke Energy, AEP, Southern Company, Xcel Energy, Entergy, Dominion Energy

SK hynix vs Micron vs TSMC: whose revenue grew fastest in 2026?

Comparing the July to September 2026 quarter with a year earlier, SK hynix's revenue rose 328% to 104.6 trillion won and Micron's latest quarter was 379% higher at US$54.2bn (a 14-week quarter), while TSMC grew 51% to NT$1,494bn (US$46.7bn).

Why it matters AI servers need memory as well as processors, and memory prices rose as demand for AI memory such as HBM grew, so memory makers' revenue and margins jumped fastest.

  • SK hynix operating margin 80% (3Q26)
  • Micron operating margin 80.7% (fiscal Q4 2026)
  • TSMC operating margin 58.7% (3Q26)

Source: TSMC 3Q26 Management Report, SK hynix 3Q26 results release, Micron fiscal Q4 2026 results (SEC 8-K)

Which data centre cooling companies have been bought, and for how much?

Big deals since late 2024 include Eaton buying Boyd Thermal for US$9.5bn, Ecolab buying CoolIT Systems for about US$4.75bn, SLB agreeing to buy Kelvion for about US$3.4bn in cash plus about US$0.7bn of debt, Samsung buying FläktGroup for €1.5bn and Vertiv buying PurgeRite for about US$1.0bn. Trane Technologies (LiquidStack) and Johnson Controls (Alloy Enterprises) did not disclose prices.

Why it matters Buyers stated about 29 times EBITDA for CoolIT and 22.5 times for Boyd Thermal, against about 9 to 13 times for the power deals with a multiple (buyers' figures and our calculation).

Source: Company announcements from Eaton, Ecolab, SLB, Samsung, Vertiv, Trane Technologies and Johnson Controls

What did Eaton report for Q3 2026?

Eaton's sales rose 28% to a record US$8.9bn in the July to September 2026 quarter, with 19% organic growth, and its Electrical backlog was 46% higher than a year earlier.

Why it matters Part of the jump is bought: Boyd Thermal, the liquid cooling maker Eaton acquired in March 2026, added 31 percentage points to Electrical Global's 58% sales growth.

  • Sales US$8.9bn, up 28% (19% organic)
  • Electrical backlog up 46% (Electrical Global up 121%)
  • Full-year 2026 organic growth guidance 13% to 15% (company forecast)

Source: Eaton third quarter 2026 results press release (Business Wire, 3 Nov 2026)

What are Anthropic and OpenAI valued at?

Anthropic was valued at US$965bn post-money after its US$65bn Series H on 28 May 2026. OpenAI was valued at US$852bn post-money after its US$122bn round closed on 31 Mar 2026. Mistral AI was valued at more than €21bn after its €3bn Series D on 8 Sep 2026.

Why it matters These labs sign many of the largest data centre, chip and cloud contracts, so the money they raise sets how much compute they can pay for.

  • Anthropic US$965bn (Series H, May 2026)
  • OpenAI US$852bn (March 2026)
  • Mistral AI more than €21bn (Series D, September 2026)

Source: Anthropic, OpenAI and Mistral AI funding announcements

How much did AMD's data centre business grow in Q3 2026?

AMD's Data Center segment sold US$8.5bn in the quarter to 26 September 2026, almost twice the US$4.3bn of a year earlier, and AMD expects about US$17bn of total revenue in Q4 2026, plus or minus 3% (its own forecast).

Why it matters Every AMD GPU and server CPU sold goes into a rack that needs power and cooling, so its data centre sales are a read-across for data centre builders.

  • Data Center revenue US$8.5bn, up 97%
  • 64% of AMD revenue from data centres
  • Q4 2026 guidance about US$17bn (AMD forecast)

Source: AMD Q3 2026 earnings release, 3 Nov 2026

How much are Big Tech companies borrowing for AI in 2026?

Far more than a year earlier. In the first nine months of 2026 Amazon borrowed about US$115bn, Alphabet about US$85bn and Meta about US$25bn, and between 29 October and 3 November 2026 Microsoft (US$25bn), Meta (US$15bn), Oracle (US$10bn) and Alphabet (€6bn) priced new bonds.

Why it matters Borrowing now pays for a large share of data centre building, so open bond markets matter to cooling, power and construction suppliers as well as cash flow.

  • Amazon new long-term borrowing US$115.1bn in 9 months of 2026, against US$0.7bn a year earlier
  • Alphabet long-term debt US$126.1bn at 30 September 2026
  • Oracle's 2046 notes carry an 8.650% coupon

Source: Company 10-Q filings for Q3 2026 and bond term sheets on SEC EDGAR, 29 Oct to 4 Nov 2026

How did Supermicro and Arista do in Q3 2026?

Both grew fast in the quarter to 30 September 2026. Supermicro's net sales nearly quadrupled to US$19.9bn (preliminary) and Arista's revenue rose 58.5% to US$3.66bn. Arista kept far more of each dollar as operating income (about 45%) than Supermicro (about 10%), and Supermicro's operating cash flow was negative because receivables and inventory grew.

Why it matters Servers and switches are bought just before racks are powered and cooled, so these results are an early read on how many AI racks are about to need liquid cooling and power.

  • Supermicro net sales US$19.9bn, up from US$5.0bn a year earlier
  • Arista revenue US$3.66bn, Q4 2026 guidance US$3.9bn to US$4.0bn (Arista forecast)
  • Supermicro target of more than 4,000 direct liquid cooled racks a month by December 2026 (company target)

Source: Supermicro and Arista results releases, 3 Nov 2026, and earnings call transcripts

How much does electricity cost in European data centre markets in 2026?

On the wholesale market, power in the UK averaged about €124 per MWh from January to October 2026, up from about €96 in the same months of 2025. Italy was the dearest of the 13 markets we track (about €154) and Finland the cheapest (about €58). A data centre pays more than this, because network charges, taxes and supplier margins come on top.

Why it matters Electricity is the biggest running cost of a data centre, so the price gap between countries is one of the things that decides where new capacity is built.

  • UK wholesale average €123.7 per MWh, January to October 2026 (our calculation from Ember's monthly data)
  • 1 MW running all year at that price: about €1.08m of wholesale energy (our calculation)
  • All 13 markets averaged more in January to October 2026 than in the same months of 2025

Source: Ember, European Wholesale Electricity Price Data (from ENTSO-E, EMR and SEMOpx), accessed 4 Nov 2026

Did CoreWeave beat its Q3 2026 guidance?

Yes on revenue and adjusted operating income: CoreWeave reported US$3.66bn of revenue for the quarter to 30 September 2026, above its own range of US$3.45bn to US$3.6bn, and US$379m of adjusted operating income, above US$200m to US$260m. It also spent more than planned: capex was US$14.5bn against a range of US$11.5bn to US$13.5bn.

Why it matters CoreWeave is one of the biggest single buyers of data centre power and cooling, so its spending shows how fast AI capacity is being fitted out.

  • Active power more than 1.7 GW and contracted power more than 4.6 GW at 30 September 2026
  • Revenue backlog about US$132.5bn
  • 2026 revenue guidance raised to US$13.0bn to US$13.3bn (company forecast)

Source: CoreWeave Q3 2026 results release and earnings call, 10 Nov 2026; Q3 guidance from its 11 Aug 2026 call. Not investment advice.

How fast are data centre cooling orders growing at Carrier and Johnson Controls?

Very fast: Carrier said its data centre orders rose about 300% in July to September 2026 on a year earlier, and Johnson Controls' orders in the Americas rose 58%, which it put down to sustained data centre demand.

Why it matters Chillers and coolant distribution units are ordered months before a data centre opens, so these order books show the cooling plant still to be delivered.

  • Carrier backlog more than US$8.5bn, up 60%, at 30 September 2026
  • Johnson Controls backlog US$23.0bn, up 43% organically
  • Carrier data centre sales more than US$550m in the quarter, with a US$2bn target for 2026 (company target)

Source: Carrier Q3 2026 results release and call, 29 Oct 2026; Johnson Controls fiscal Q4 2026 results release, 27 Oct 2026. Not investment advice.

Why did Digital Realty and Goodman buy 9.9% of NEXTDC?

They have not given a reason beyond seeking to work with NEXTDC's board on the challenges facing the company. They bought 9.9% at an average A$9.22 a share from 3 to 6 November 2026, after NEXTDC's shares fell when it cut its FY27 guidance over a power delay at its M3 Melbourne campus, and both reserve the right to bid for control later.

Why it matters The stake shows how a single grid connection delay can move the value of a data centre operator, and puts two large operators on NEXTDC's share register.

  • 75,215,528 shares, about A$693.7m in total (our calculation from the Form 603 notice)
  • FY27 net revenue guidance cut from A$615m to A$640m to A$475m to A$500m on 21 October 2026 (company guidance)
  • Forward order book 565.1 MW at 30 June 2026 (pro forma)

Source: Goodman Group and Digital Realty ASX release and Form 603 notice, 9 Nov 2026; NEXTDC ASX releases of 27 Aug and 21 Oct 2026. Not investment advice.

When does Nebius report Q3 2026 results, and what are analysts expecting?

Nebius reports its third-quarter 2026 results before the US market opens on Thursday 12 November 2026, with a call at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time. The Zacks consensus estimate published on 9 November was revenue of US$916.78m and a loss of 61 cents a share, against Q2 revenue of US$582.3m. Nebius gave no guidance for Q3 alone; its 2026 guidance is US$3.0bn to US$3.4bn of revenue and US$7bn to US$9bn of annualised run-rate revenue by the end of the year.

Why it matters Nebius is a neocloud building AI data centres in Europe and the US, so its revenue, capex and connected power show whether contracted capacity is being built and paid for on time.

  • Q3 2026 revenue consensus US$916.78m (Zacks, 9 Nov 2026, analyst forecast)
  • ARR US$3.0bn at 30 June 2026; guidance US$7bn to US$9bn by end-2026 (company forecast)
  • 2026 capex guidance US$20bn to US$25bn, raised from US$16bn to US$20bn in May (company forecast)

Source: Nebius results release and shareholder letter of 12 Aug 2026, Q1 2026 call of 13 May 2026, results date notice of 30 Oct 2026; Zacks via Yahoo Finance, 9 Nov 2026. Not investment advice.